FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town Prédiction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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FC Levadia Tallinn

Home

5 : 0

HT 3 - 0

Match aller 5-0 · Cumulé 10-0

Caernarfon Town

Away

Prédiction IA FC Levadia Tallinn pour gagner ou match nul

72%

19%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town : Sportiko estime que FC Levadia Tallinn a 72% de chances de s'imposer, Caernarfon Town 8% et le match nul 19%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%
Home 2H Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

FC Levadia Tallinn produced a dominant display to sweep aside Welsh side Caernarfon Town 5–0 in the first qualifying round of the UEFA Europa Conference League, with the tie effectively settled well before the break. The Estonian outfit struck early through a fourth-minute opener and added further goals in the 21st and 33rd minutes — the third coming from the penalty spot — to establish a commanding 3–0 lead at half-time.

Caernarfon offered little in response after the interval, and Levadia continued to press with a fourth goal on 70 minutes before wrapping up the scoring late on through a fifth in the 89th minute. A flurry of substitutions from both sides around the hour mark briefly disrupted the rhythm, while a cluster of yellow cards — three in total, two arriving simultaneously in the 65th minute — reflected some frustration from the visitors as the match slipped beyond them.

The result was emphatic and largely as anticipated; our pre-match AI model had rated a Levadia win as the most likely outcome at 72%, a call that proved well-founded. The Estonian club advance comfortably to the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

4' ⚽ 1–0

21' ⚽ 2–0

Penalty

33' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

⇄ 58'

Yellow Card

65' ▮

▮ 65'

Yellow Card

66' ⇄

▮ 67'

Yellow Card

70' ⚽ 4–0

⇄ 76'

⇄ 87'

89' ⚽ 5–0

FT 5–0

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Confidence High (72%)

At a glance

Notre approche

FC Levadia Tallinn pour gagner ou match nul

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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FC Levadia Tallinn

DWWWW

Caernarfon Town

WDWWL

Last 1 meetings FC Levadia Tallinn · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

FC Levadia Tallinn faces Caernarfon Town in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams looking to establish early momentum in the tournament. Levadia, historically strong in their domestic league, will rely on their tactical discipline and home-derived experience. Conversely, Caernarfon Town will aim to leverage their attacking prowess, focusing on quick transitions and set-pieces to capitalize on any defensive lapses. Key player performances will be crucial as both teams strive for a positive result in this competitive matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Caernarfon Town goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	2	1
1	11	9	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	11	7	2	1
4	6	4	1
5	3	2	1

↑ FC Levadia Tallinn goals · most likely 2–0 (13.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	2.4%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
1	10.9%	9.2%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
2	13.8%	9.4%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
3	10.7%	7.3%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
4	6.2%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Levadia Tallinn	Draw	Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn	49.8%	2.6%	0.6%
Draw	21.8%	11.9%	3.5%
Caernarfon Town	2.6%	2.7%	4.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town

1 FC Levadia Tallinn Wins

0 Draws

0 Caernarfon Town Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	Caernarfon Town	0 - 5	FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Levadia Tallinn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Trans Narva	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	H Tammeka	W	6 - 0
12 Sep	H Vaprus	W	4 - 0
09 Sep	H Kuressaare	W	4 - 0
06 Sep	A Paide	W	0 - 2

Caernarfon Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Cambrian & Clydach	W	9 - 1
15 Sep	A Llandudno	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	A Ammanford AFC	W	0 - 5
04 Sep	H Flint Town United	W	3 - 0
31 Aug	H The New Saints	L	2 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.