Lahti vs HJK Helsinki Prédiction

Veikkausliiga Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 15
FT
Post on X
Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour HJK Helsinki
14%
27%
60%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lahti vs HJK Helsinki : Sportiko estime que Lahti a 14% de chances de s'imposer, HJK Helsinki 60% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Timeline

Yellow Card
16' ▮
FT 2–0
Lahti
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
31 O. Maukonen G 7.0 19' – – – 12 (10%) –
3 R. Sans D 6.7 19' – – – 9 (7%) –
18 Y. Cassubie M 6.6 19' – – – 9 (8%) 1
27 R. Yapi D 6.5 19' – – – 7 (6%) –
Neemias Barbosa 6.4 19' – – – 4 (1%) –
10 O. Koskinen M 6.3 19' – – – 8 (4%) –
77 M. Sarr F 6.2 19' – – – 4 (3%) –
Nícolas 6.0 19' – – – 17 (16%) –
HJK Helsinki
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 T. Cissokho D 6.9 19' – – – 20 (18%) –
1 J. Öst G 6.8 19' – – – 4 (3%) –
29 S. Haarala F 6.7 19' – – 1 16 (12%) 1
7 Alfie Cicale M 6.7 19' – – 1 6 (3%) 1
L. Möller 6.6 19' – – – 10 (8%) –
9 M. Borchers F 6.5 19' – – – 1 (1%) –
28 M. Ylitolva D 6.5 19' – – – 7 (6%) 1
2 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D 6.4 19' – – – 23 (19%) –
15 J. Kallinen M 6.3 19' – – – 8 (7%) 1
10 L. Lingman M 6.2 19' – – – 14 (12%) 1
14 L. Montano D 6.1 19' – – – 5 (5%) –
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour HJK Helsinki
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Lahti
DLWWW
HJK Helsinki
DDWLW

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, Lahti will face HJK Helsinki. Lahti has shown a mixed performance this season, currently sitting mid-table with a goal difference of -4, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, HJK Helsinki is a strong contender, leading the league with a solid attack, boasting 28 goals scored in 17 matches. Their away form has been consistent, with 5 wins out of 8 away fixtures. This matchup will be crucial for Lahti to improve their standings, while HJK aims to solidify their position at the top.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
14%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
60%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lahti
Martim Ferreira 4 gls
HJK Helsinki
M. Borchers 4 gls
T. Pukki 3 gls

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Head to Head: Lahti vs HJK Helsinki

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lahti — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H FF Jaro D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Ilves L 3 - 1
08 Sep H Mariehamn W 2 - 1
31 Aug A VPS W 0 - 1
21 Aug A SJK W 1 - 2

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Gnistan D 1 - 1
13 Sep A KuPS D 0 - 0
09 Sep H Inter Turku W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Inter Turku L 1 - 0
31 Aug A Ilves W 1 - 2

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
KuPS
25 13 9 3 +17 48
2
Inter Turku
25 13 9 3 +14 48
3
HJK Helsinki
25 12 6 7 +10 42
4
Gnistan
25 11 8 6 +8 41
5
VPS
25 10 6 9 +5 36
6
AC Oulu
25 10 4 11 -3 34

Relegation Play-Off

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lahti
25 10 6 9 +6 36
2
Ilves
25 10 4 11 +4 34
3
Turku PS
25 8 8 9 +1 32
4
SJK
25 5 9 11 -7 24
5
Mariehamn
25 4 5 16 -27 17
6
FF Jaro
25 3 8 14 -28 17

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Joonas Rantanen
1 Öst
14 Montano
3 Cissokho
2 Lyons-Foster
28 Ylitolva
10 Lingman
7 Cicale
15 Kallinen
22 Möller
29 Haarala
9 Borchers

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Jesse Öst G
28 Miska Ylitolva D
2 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D
3 Till Cissokho D
14 Leonel Montano D
10 Lucas Lingman M
29 Santeri Haarala F
22 Liam Möller M
15 Jere Kallinen M
7 Alfie Cicale M
9 Mads Borchers F

Substitutes

12 Mitja Haapanen G
13 Kaius Simojoki D
31 Mihailo Bogićević D
8 Pyry Mentu M
17 Martin Kirilov M
26 Lassi Lappalainen M
32 Mouhamed Gueye M
4 Alexander Ring M
20 Teemu Pukki F

Lahti

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Goncalo Pereira
31 Maukonen
3 Sans
4 Müller
5 Dantas
27 Yapi
10 Koskinen
18 Cassubie
8 Montiel
11 Ferreira
19 Barbosa
77 Sarr

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Osku Maukonen G
27 Romaric Yapi D
5 Nicolas Gianini Dantas D
4 José Müller D
3 Romain Sans D
8 Tòfol Montiel M
18 Yohan Cassubie M
10 Otso Koskinen M
77 Momodou Sarr F
19 Neemias Barbosa F
11 Martim Ferreira F

Substitutes

12 Aatu Hakala G
2 Joel Lehtonen D
6 Väinö Vehkonen D
7 Daniel Heikkinen M
14 Erik Andersson M
20 Justus Ojanen M
28 Armend Kabashi M
9 Aaron Lindholm F
17 Amir Belabid F

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