Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. Prédiction

Premier Division · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

St Patrick's Athl.

Away

Prédiction IA St Patrick's Athl. gagnant

13%

84%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. : Sportiko estime que Waterford a 3% de chances de s'imposer, St Patrick's Athl. 84% et le match nul 13%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5 75%
Away 2H Over 0.5 75%
Moins de 3,5 buts 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

John Mahon Yellow Card

17' ▮

⇄ 21'

Romal Palmer ⇄ Barry Baggley

Jørgen Voilås Yellow Card

32' ▮

Conan Noonan assist: Tom Lonergan

40' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Jason McClelland ⇄ Anto Breslin

▮ 51'

Luke Turner Yellow Card

Jordan Houston Yellow Card

55' ▮

▮ 61'

Joe Redmond Yellow Card

⇄ 69'

Luke Turner ⇄ Chris Forrester

⇄ 77'

James Brown ⇄ Darragh Nugent

⇄ 78'

Ryan Edmondson ⇄ Sam Rooney

Pádraig Amond ⇄ Dean McMenamy

83' ⇄

Conan Noonan ⇄ Trae Coyle

89' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 90+5'

Aidan Keena Penalty

FT 1–1

Waterford

Match Stats

St Patrick's Athl.

32% Ball Possession 68%

8 Total Shots 9

4 Shots on Goal 1

1 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 3

8 Shots insidebox 6

0 Shots outsidebox 3

2 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 5

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

104 Total passes 277

57 Passes accurate 229

5 Free Kicks 5

Waterford

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
Conan Noonan	8.2	53'	1	–	1	6 (4%)	–
Stephen McMullan	7.2	53'	–	–	–	15 (6%)	–
Tom Lonergan	7.1	53'	–	1	2	8 (3%)	–
Hayden Cann	7.0	53'	–	–	1	6 (1%)	1
Jordan Houston	7.0	53'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	2
Benny Couto	6.9	53'	–	–	1	15 (10%)	–
Samuel Glenfield	6.6	53'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	1
John Mahon	6.5	53'	–	–	1	5 (2%)	–
Jørgen Voilås	6.4	53'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	1

St Patrick's Athl.

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
Jamie Lennon	7.0	53'	–	–	1	35 (32%)	2
Barry Baggley	7.0	32'	–	–	–	22 (21%)	–
Sean Hoare	6.9	53'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	–
Joseph Anang	6.8	53'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	–
Aidan Keena	6.7	53'	–	–	3	22 (18%)	2
Joe Redmond	6.6	53'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	2
Luke Turner	6.6	53'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	–
Kian Leavy	6.4	53'	–	–	2	20 (16%)	–
Jason McClelland	6.4	46'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	1
Anto Breslin	6.3	7'	–	–	–	2	–
James Brown	6.2	53'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	1
Romal Palmer	6.2	21'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–

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Confidence High (84%)

At a glance

Notre approche

St Patrick's Athl. gagnant

Most likely score

0:2 · 19.9%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Waterford

LDDWW

St Patrick's Athl.

WWWDL

Last 2 meetings Waterford · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier Division clash, Waterford will face St Patrick's Athletic. Waterford has shown a solid home performance, with a record of 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 home matches. Conversely, St Patrick's Athletic has struggled on the road, with only 1 win in their last 6 away games. Key players to watch include Waterford's leading scorer, who contributes significantly to their attacking threats, and St Patrick's Athletic's defense, which will need to tighten up to avoid conceding early. Overall, Waterford enters this match as the likely favorite based on current form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

13%

45%

Away

84%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

St Patrick's Athl. goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	15	20	16	10	5
1	1	5	6	5	3	2
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Waterford goals · most likely 0–2 (19.9%)

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Players in form

Waterford

T. Lonergan 14 gls

P. Amond 9 gls

St Patrick's Athl.

R. Edmondson 10 gls

A. Keena 10 gls

K. Leavy 6 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

84%

Draw

13%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

84%

Draw

13%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

97% Away (No Draw) 3% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

62% Away Win by 2+ 0% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

84% Away Scores More 13% Equal Goals 3% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	15.3%	19.9%	16.5%	10.3%
1	1.3%	5.4%	6.0%	5.0%	3.1%
2	0.3%	0.7%	0.9%	0.7%	0.5%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Waterford	Draw	St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford	1.4%	1.3%	1.4%
Draw	1.2%	9.6%	23.4%
St Patrick's Athl.	0.1%	1.2%	60.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

Away Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.

1 Waterford Wins

0 Draws

1 St Patrick's Athl. Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Aug 2026	St Patrick's Athl.	0 - 2	Waterford
20 Mar 2026	Waterford	0 - 2	St Patrick's Athl.

Waterford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Shamrock Rovers	L	3 - 2
14 Sep	H Derry City	D	2 - 2
11 Sep	H Dundalk	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Sligo Rovers	W	3 - 0
28 Aug	A St Patrick's Athl.	W	0 - 2

St Patrick's Athl. — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sligo Rovers	W	0 - 1
14 Sep	A Dundalk	W	0 - 4
11 Sep	H Shamrock Rovers	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Bohemians	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Waterford	L	0 - 2

Premier Division Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	St Patrick's Athl.	32	17	8	7	52	25	+27	59
2	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	49	31	+18	59
3	Bohemians	31	16	8	7	55	37	+18	56
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45	42	+3	41
5	Dundalk	32	10	11	11	49	53	-4	41
6	Shelbourne	31	9	12	10	41	44	-3	39
7	Galway United	31	9	10	12	41	47	-6	37
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44	54	-10	34
9	Drogheda United	32	8	10	14	38	51	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	24	54	-30	23

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.