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Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands Prédiction

World Cup World Cup · Round of 32
FT
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Argentina

Argentina

Home
3 : 2
HT 1 - 0
Cape Verde Islands

Cape Verde Islands

Away
Prédiction IA Argentina gagnant
86%
12%
2%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands : Sportiko estime que Argentina a 86% de chances de s'imposer, Cape Verde Islands 2% et le match nul 12%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Match Report

Argentina edged past Cape Verde Islands 3–2 in a dramatic World Cup Round of 32 tie that went deep into extra time. Lionel Messi broke the deadlock on 29 minutes, and Argentina carried their slender lead into the break despite dominating possession at 64% and generating an expected goals figure of 2.16 against Cape Verde's 0.45.

The contest was turned on its head shortly after the restart when Deroy Duarte equalised on 59 minutes, prompting a flurry of substitutions from both sides. Cape Verde grew in confidence, and Sidny Lopes Cabral put them ahead for the first time in the 103rd minute, stunning the South American giants. Lisandro Martínez had briefly restored parity in the 92nd minute, but it was an own goal from Diney Borges in the 111th minute that ultimately settled the tie in Argentina's favour.

The pre-match AI model had rated an Argentina win at 86% — a call that looked very shaky for long stretches of extra time. Despite outshooting Cape Verde 22 to 16, Argentina were made to work far harder than the statistics suggested they should have been.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lionel Messi assist: Lisandro Martínez
29' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⚽ 1–1 59'
Deroy Duarte assist: Ryan Mendes
Lautaro Martínez ⇄ Julián Alvarez
63' ⇄
Thiago Almada ⇄ Nicolás González
64' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Laros Duarte ⇄ Jamiro Monteiro
⇄ 67'
Nuno Da Costa ⇄ Dailon Rocha Livramento
▮ 68'
Kevin Lenini Yellow Card
⇄ 80'
Jovane Cabral ⇄ Hélio Varela
⇄ 80'
Ryan Mendes ⇄ Willy Semedo
Rodrigo De Paul ⇄ Leandro Paredes
84' ⇄
Facundo Medina ⇄ Nicolás Tagliafico
86' ⇄
Lisandro Martínez assist: Alexis Mac Allister
92' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 100'
Deroy Duarte ⇄ Yannick Semedo
⇄ 100'
Kevin Lenini ⇄ Gilson Tavares
⚽ 2–2 103'
Sidny Lopes Cabral assist: Yannick Semedo
Nahuel Molina ⇄ Gonzalo Montiel
104' ⇄
Diney Borges Own Goal
111' ⚽ 3–2
Gonzalo Montiel Yellow Card
115' ▮
FT 3–2
Argentina

Match Stats

Cape Verde Islands
64% Ball Possession 36%
2.16 Expected Goals (xG) 0.45
22 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 6
15 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 10
8 Corner Kicks 8
3 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 8
849 Total passes 476
779 Passes accurate 408
92% Passes % 86%
-0.60 goals_prevented -0.60
Argentina
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Lionel Messi F 9.3 120' 1 – 7 43 (36%) 1
6 Lisandro Martínez D 9.2 120' 1 1 1 120 (117%) –
7 Rodrigo De Paul M 7.6 84' – – – 77 (73%) 1
13 Cristian Romero D 7.2 120' – – 1 117 (112%) 2
5 Leandro Paredes M 7.2 36' – – 1 41 (39%) 1
25 Facundo Medina D 7.0 86' – – – 47 (43%) 3
24 Enzo Fernández M 7.0 120' – – 3 112 (103%) 1
23 Emiliano Martínez G 6.9 120' – – – 28 (22%) –
20 Alexis Mac Allister M 6.9 120' – 1 – 89 (80%) 4
3 Nicolás Tagliafico D 6.9 34' – – – 19 (18%) 3
16 Thiago Almada M 6.7 64' – – – 34 (30%) –
15 Nicolás González F 6.5 56' – – 2 29 (21%) 3
9 Julián Alvarez F 6.5 57' – – – 22 (20%) –
4 Gonzalo Montiel D 6.3 16' – – – 5 (3%) –
22 Lautaro Martínez F 6.2 63' – – – 12 (12%) –
26 Nahuel Molina D 6.2 104' – – – 54 (50%) 3
Cape Verde Islands
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Vozinha G 8.5 120' – – – 32 (22%) –
13 Sidny Lopes Cabral D 7.3 120' 1 – 2 45 (42%) 1
14 Deroy Duarte M 7.2 100' 1 – 2 43 (38%) 1
6 Kevin Lenini M 7.0 100' – – 1 56 (50%) 3
4 Pico D 6.9 120' – – – 55 (47%) 2
16 Yannick Semedo M 6.9 20' – 1 1 21 (18%) –
7 Jovane Cabral M 6.7 80' – – – 19 (15%) 2
26 Hélio Varela F 6.7 40' – – 1 18 (16%) –
20 Ryan Mendes M 6.6 80' – 1 1 18 (17%) 1
10 Jamiro Monteiro M 6.5 53' – – – 30 (26%) 4
9 Gilson Tavares F 6.5 20' – – – 1 (1%) –
19 Dailon Rocha Livramento F 6.3 53' – – – 10 (5%) 1
17 Willy Semedo F 6.3 40' – – – 8 (8%) –
22 Steven Moreira D 6.2 120' – – – 37 (34%) –
3 Diney Borges D 6.2 120' – – 2 58 (49%) 3
15 Laros Duarte M 6.2 67' – – – 18 (15%) 1
21 Nuno Da Costa F 6.0 67' – – – 7 (5%) –
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Confidence High (86%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Argentina gagnant
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Argentina
LWWWW
Cape Verde Islands
LDDDD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match, Argentina faces Cape Verde Islands at a neutral venue. Argentina boasts a strong squad with a wealth of experience and technical skill, having a FIFA ranking significantly higher than Cape Verde. Historically, Argentina has showcased superior performance in international tournaments, underlined by their recent success in Copa America. Conversely, Cape Verde, while improving in recent years, lacks the depth and pedigree of their opponents. This match could underline the disparity in quality, with Argentina likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Argentina
L. Messi 8 gls
Cape Verde Islands

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Argentina — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Jul A Spain L 1 - 0
15 Jul A England W 1 - 2
12 Jul H Switzerland W 3 - 1
07 Jul H Egypt W 3 - 2
03 Jul H Cape Verde Islands W 3 - 2

Cape Verde Islands — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Jul A Argentina L 3 - 2
27 Jun H Saudi Arabia D 0 - 0
21 Jun A Uruguay D 2 - 2
15 Jun A Spain D 0 - 0
30 Mar H Finland D 1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mexico
3 3 0 0 +6 9
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 -1 4
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 -4 1

Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Canada
3 1 1 1 +5 4
4
Qatar
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Brazil
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Morocco
3 2 1 0 +3 7
4
Haiti
3 0 0 3 -6 0

Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
USA
3 2 0 1 +4 6
2
Australia
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 -2 3

Group E

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Germany
3 2 0 1 +6 6
2
Ivory Coast
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Curaçao
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group F

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 +4 5
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Group G

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Belgium
3 1 2 0 +4 5
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 -6 1

Group H

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
3 2 1 0 +5 7
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 0 3
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 -4 2

Group I

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
3 3 0 0 +8 9
2
Norway
3 2 0 1 +1 6
4
Iraq
3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group J

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentina
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Austria
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Jordan
3 0 0 3 -5 0

Group K

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 +3 7
2
Portugal
3 1 2 0 +5 5
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 -9 0

Group L

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
England
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Croatia
3 2 0 1 0 6
4
Panama
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Group Stage

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 +1 4
2
Sweden
3 1 1 1 0 4
3
Ghana
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Ecuador
3 1 1 1 0 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 1 1 -1 4
6
Algeria
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Senegal
3 1 0 2 +2 3
9
Iran
3 0 3 0 0 3
10
South Korea
3 1 0 2 -1 3
11
Scotland
3 1 0 2 -3 3
12
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 -1 2

Argentina

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Lionel Scaloni
23 Martinez
25 Medina
6 Martinez
13 Romero
26 Molina
16 Almada
24 Fernandez
20 Allister
7 Paul
22 Martinez
10 Messi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 E. Martinez G
26 N. Molina D
13 C. Romero D
6 L. Martinez D
25 F. Medina D
7 R. de Paul M
20 A. Mac Allister M
24 E. Fernandez M
16 T. Almada M
10 L. Messi F
22 L. Martinez F

Substitutes

12 G. Rulli G
1 J. Musso G
19 N. Otamendi D
5 L. Paredes M
14 E. Palacios M
4 G. Montiel D
15 N. Gonzalez F
17 G. Simeone F
3 N. Tagliafico D
11 G. Lo Celso M
2 M. Senesi D
9 J. Alvarez F
21 J. Lopez F
8 V. Barco M
18 N. Paz F

Cape Verde Islands

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Pedro Leitao Brito
1 Vozinha
13 Cabral
3 Borges
4 Lopes
22 Moreira
6 Lenini
7 Cabral
14 Duarte
15 Duarte
20 Mendes
21 Costa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Vozinha G
22 S. Moreira D
4 R. Lopes D
3 D. Borges D
13 S. Lopes Cabral D
6 K. Lenini M
20 R. Mendes M
15 L. Duarte M
14 D. Duarte M
7 J. Cabral M
21 N. Da Costa F

Substitutes

12 M. Rosa G
23 dos Santos CJ G
11 G. Rodrigues F
10 J. Monteiro M
5 L. Costa D
25 K. Pires D
8 Joao Paulo M
18 T. Arcanjo M
26 H. Varela F
2 Stopira D
17 W. Semedo F
16 Y. Semedo M
9 Benchimol F
19 D. Livramento F
24 W. Pina D

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