Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Prédiction

Premier Division · Regular Season - 25

Post on X

Derry City

Away

Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

60%

28%

13%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City : Sportiko estime que Shamrock Rovers a 60% de chances de s'imposer, Derry City 13% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

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Timeline

▮ 4'

James McClean Yellow Card

⇄ 24'

Kévin Santos ⇄ Darragh Markey

⚽ 0–1 25'

Liam Boyce assist: James McClean

▮ 45+4'

Brandon Fleming Yellow Card

HT 0–1

▮ 50'

Cameron Dummigan Yellow Card

Graham Burke Yellow Card

56' ▮

⇄ 56'

Darragh Markey ⇄ Carl Winchester

⇄ 56'

Cameron Dummigan ⇄ James Olayinka

▮ 61'

Liam Boyce Yellow Card

Dylan Watts ⇄ John McGovern

70' ⇄

Graham Burke ⇄ Naj Razi

70' ⇄

Cory O'Sullivan

70' ⇄

Michael Noonan ⇄ Aaron Greene

70' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Liam Boyce ⇄ Terence Doherty

⇄ 72'

James McClean

Jake Mulraney

76' ⇄

▮ 77'

Carl Winchester Yellow Card

Aaron Greene assist: John McGovern

83' ⚽ 1–1

Adam Brennan Yellow Card

89' ▮

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Trop serré pour trancher

Most likely score

1:0 · 16.1%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Shamrock Rovers

WLDDL

Derry City

WDWWD

Last 2 meetings Shamrock Rovers · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the Premier Division clash between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City, both teams will be keen to secure vital points. Shamrock Rovers currently possess a strong home record, while Derry City has shown resilience in away fixtures. Key players to watch include Shamrock's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their attacking play, and Derry's solid defense, which has kept several clean sheets this season. The match could hinge on Rovers' ability to break down Derry's defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Both teams are evenly matched, making this a potentially thrilling encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Derry City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	5	2
1	16	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	7	5	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Shamrock Rovers goals · most likely 1–0 (16.1%)

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Players in form

Shamrock Rovers

J. McGovern 7 gls

G. Burke 7 gls

M. Noonan 6 gls

Derry City

M. Duffy 10 gls

J. Clarke 6 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

28%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

28%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.3%	5.4%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
1	16.1%	12.3%	3.4%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.0%	8.7%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
3	7.5%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
4	3.0%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Derry City
Shamrock Rovers	37.6%	3.2%	0.6%
Draw	21.4%	19.2%	5.9%
Derry City	1.9%	3.2%	7.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

1 Shamrock Rovers Wins

1 Draws

0 Derry City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Derry City	3 - 3	Shamrock Rovers
06 Mar 2026	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 0	Derry City

Shamrock Rovers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Waterford	W	3 - 2
11 Sep	A St Patrick's Athl.	L	2 - 0
04 Sep	H Shelbourne	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Derry City	D	3 - 3
27 Aug	A KuPS	L	1 - 0

Derry City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Galway United	W	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Waterford	D	2 - 2
11 Sep	A Shelbourne	W	0 - 1
06 Sep	H Dundalk	W	4 - 2
30 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	D	3 - 3

Premier Division Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	St Patrick's Athl.	32	17	8	7	52	25	+27	59
2	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	49	31	+18	59
3	Bohemians	31	16	8	7	55	37	+18	56
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45	42	+3	41
5	Dundalk	32	10	11	11	49	53	-4	41
6	Shelbourne	31	9	12	10	41	44	-3	39
7	Galway United	31	9	10	12	41	47	-6	37
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44	54	-10	34
9	Drogheda United	32	8	10	14	38	51	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	24	54	-30	23

Shamrock Rovers

Formation: 3-5-2

1 McGinty

22 Sobowale

3 Stevens

5 Grace

29 Byrne

11 Mulraney

7 Watts

8 Healy

19 Brennan

9 Greene

10 Burke

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ed McGinty	G
5	Lee Grace	D
3	Enda Stevens	D
22	Tunmise Sobowale	D
19	Adam Brennan	M
8	Matthew Healy	M
7	Dylan Watts	M
11	Jake Mulraney	M
29	Jack Byrne	M
10	Graham Burke	F
9	Aaron Greene	F

Derry City

Formation: 4-2-3-1

13 Beach

19 Fleming

3 McClean

22 Barr

28 Olayinka

23 Dummigan

8 O'Reilly

7 Duffy

10 Markey

21 Santos

15 Clarke

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Eddie Beach	G
28	James Olayinka	M
22	Conor Barr	D
3	Patrick McClean	D
19	Brandon Fleming	M
8	Adam O'Reilly	M
23	Cameron Dummigan	D
21	Kévin Santos	M
10	Darragh Markey	M
7	Michael Duffy	M
15	James Clarke	M