Argentina vs Algeria Prédiction

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

Post on X

Algeria

Away

Prédiction IA Argentina gagnant

80%

16%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Argentina vs Algeria : Sportiko estime que Argentina a 80% de chances de s'imposer, Algeria 4% et le match nul 16%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 75%
Home 2H Over 0.5 73%
Moins de 3,5 buts 71%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

Argentina controlled the scoreline from an early stage despite Algeria enjoying the majority of possession. The match's first major moment came in the eighth minute when Farès Chaïbi had a goal ruled out for offside following a VAR review, a decision that proved pivotal. Lionel Messi then broke the deadlock in the 17th minute, sending Argentina into the interval with a slender lead that accurately reflected the balance of chances — the hosts registering six shots on target to Algeria's none.

The second half saw Argentina extend their advantage through two further Messi goals, in the 60th and 76th minutes, completing a commanding hat-trick for the captain. Algeria's triple substitution on 64 minutes failed to shift the momentum, and the Desert Foxes were unable to register a single shot on target across the entire ninety minutes despite controlling 53% of possession. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Argentina win as 80% likely, a call that proved well-founded.

The result leaves Argentina with a strong opening statement in Group Stage play, while Algeria must regroup having created almost nothing in front of goal.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

🖵 8'

Farès Chaïbi Goal Disallowed - offside

Lionel Messi assist: Rodrigo De Paul

17' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Gonzalo Montiel ⇄ Nahuel Molina

46' ⇄

Lautaro Martínez ⇄ Julián Alvarez

55' ⇄

Thiago Almada ⇄ Nicolás González

55' ⇄

Lionel Messi

60' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 64'

Hicham Boudaoui ⇄ Houssem Aouar

⇄ 64'

Amine Gouiri ⇄ Mohamed Amoura

⇄ 64'

Anis Hadj Moussa ⇄ Riyad Mahrez

Lionel Messi assist: Nicolás González

76' ⚽ 3–0

Lionel Messi ⇄ Nico Paz

80' ⇄

Cristian Romero ⇄ Nicolás Otamendi

80' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Nabil Bentaleb ⇄ Adil Boulbina

⇄ 82'

Ibrahim Maza ⇄ Ramiz Zerrouki

FT 3–0

Argentina

Match Stats

Algeria

47% Ball Possession 53%

1.23 Expected Goals (xG) 0.31

10 Total Shots 7

6 Shots on Goal 0

4 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 3

4 Shots insidebox 3

6 Shots outsidebox 4

2 Corner Kicks 2

3 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 7

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

514 Total passes 572

461 Passes accurate 528

90% Passes % 92%

-1.03 goals_prevented -1.03

Argentina

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Lionel Messi F	10.0	80'	3	–	6	37 (30%)	2
13 Cristian Romero D	7.3	80'	–	–	–	66 (65%)	2
6 Lisandro Martínez D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	60 (56%)	2
7 Rodrigo De Paul M	7.2	90'	–	1	–	46 (43%)	3
25 Facundo Medina D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	28 (27%)	2
23 Emiliano Martínez G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (26%)	–
24 Enzo Fernández M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	62 (58%)	3
15 Nicolás González F	6.9	35'	–	1	–	11 (9%)	–
16 Thiago Almada M	6.7	55'	–	–	1	35 (30%)	2
26 Nahuel Molina D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	20 (13%)	1
4 Gonzalo Montiel D	6.6	45'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	2
18 Nico Paz F	6.6	10'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	2
22 Lautaro Martínez F	6.5	55'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	1
9 Julián Alvarez F	6.5	35'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
20 Alexis Mac Allister M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	54 (51%)	–
19 Nicolás Otamendi D	6.3	10'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–

Algeria

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Aïssa Mandi D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	98 (94%)	1
11 Anis Hadj Moussa F	6.7	64'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	1
19 Nabil Bentaleb M	6.6	81'	–	–	–	54 (50%)	2
7 Riyad Mahrez F	6.6	26'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
18 Mohamed Amoura F	6.5	26'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
21 Ramy Bensebaini D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	85 (80%)	2
14 Hicham Boudaoui M	6.3	64'	–	–	–	22 (21%)	2
22 Ibrahim Maza M	6.3	82'	–	–	–	45 (38%)	–
9 Amine Gouiri F	6.3	64'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–
10 Farès Chaïbi F	6.3	90'	–	–	3	45 (40%)	2
6 Ramiz Zerrouki M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
8 Houssem Aouar M	6.3	26'	–	–	1	20 (20%)	–
23 Luca Zidane G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (37%)	–
20 Adil Boulbina F	6.2	9'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
17 Rafik Belghali D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	31 (29%)	2
15 Rayan Aït-Nouri D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (35%)	4

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Confidence High (80%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Argentina gagnant

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.8%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Argentina

LWWWW

Algeria

LDWL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 17, 2026, Argentina faces Algeria, a matchup marked by contrasting styles. Argentina, traditionally a powerhouse with a wealth of attacking talent, will likely rely on their possession-based game and quick transitions. In contrast, Algeria's strength lies in their counter-attacking ability and physicality, making them a dangerous opponent. Historically, Argentina has performed well against African teams, but Algeria's recent form shows resilience, having secured key victories in qualifiers. This encounter will hinge on Argentina's ability to break down Algeria's defense while managing the pace of their counter-attacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Algeria goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	2	1
1	14	7	1
2	18	7	2
3	14	6	1
4	8	4	1
5	4	2

↑ Argentina goals · most likely 2–0 (17.8%)

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Players in form

Argentina

L. Messi 8 gls

Algeria

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

57% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	14.1%	7.1%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
2	17.8%	7.5%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	14.2%	6.0%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
4	8.5%	3.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Argentina	Draw	Algeria
Argentina	56.6%	1.7%	0.2%
Draw	22.9%	10.8%	2.0%
Algeria	1.7%	1.8%	2.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

22%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

66%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Argentina vs Algeria

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Argentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Jul	A Spain	L	1 - 0
15 Jul	A England	W	1 - 2
12 Jul	H Switzerland	W	3 - 1
07 Jul	H Egypt	W	3 - 2
03 Jul	H Cape Verde Islands	W	3 - 2

Algeria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Jul	A Switzerland	L	2 - 0
28 Jun	H Austria	D	3 - 3
23 Jun	A Jordan	W	1 - 2
17 Jun	A Argentina	L	3 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Argentina

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Lionel Scaloni

23 Martínez

25 Medina

6 Martínez

13 Romero

4 Montiel

16 Almada

24 Fernández

20 Allister

7 Paul

22 Martínez

10 Messi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Emiliano Martínez	G
4	Gonzalo Montiel	D
13	Cristian Romero	D
6	Lisandro Martínez	D
25	Facundo Medina	D
7	Rodrigo De Paul	M
20	Alexis Mac Allister	M
24	Enzo Fernández	M
16	Thiago Almada	M
10	Lionel Messi	F
22	Lautaro Martínez	F

Substitutes

26	Nahuel Molina	D
15	Nicolás González	F
9	Julián Alvarez	F
1	Juan Musso	G
12	Gerónimo Rulli	G
3	Nicolás Tagliafico	D
19	Nicolás Otamendi	D
2	Marcos Senesi	D
5	Leandro Paredes	M
8	Valentín Barco	M
11	Giovani Lo Celso	M
14	Exequiel Palacios	M
17	Giuliano Simeone	F
18	Nico Paz	F
21	José Manuel López	F

Algeria

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vladimir Petkovic

23 Zidane

15 Aït-Nouri

21 Bensebaini

2 Mandi

17 Belghali

22 Maza

19 Bentaleb

14 Boudaoui

10 Chaïbi

9 Gouiri

11 Moussa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Luca Zidane	G
17	Rafik Belghali	D
2	Aïssa Mandi	D
21	Ramy Bensebaini	D
15	Rayan Aït-Nouri	D
14	Hicham Boudaoui	M
19	Nabil Bentaleb	M
22	Ibrahim Maza	M
11	Anis Hadj Moussa	F
9	Amine Gouiri	F
10	Farès Chaïbi	F

Substitutes

8	Houssem Aouar	M
7	Riyad Mahrez	F
18	Mohamed Amoura	F
1	Melvin Mastil	G
16	Oussama Benbot	G
3	Achref Abada	D
4	Mohamed Tougai	D
5	Zineddine Belaid	D
13	Jaouen Hadjam	D
26	Samir Sophian Chergui	D
6	Ramiz Zerrouki	M
24	Yassine Titraoui	M
20	Adil Boulbina	F
12	Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali	F
25	Farès Ghedjemis	F