Belgium vs Egypt Prédiction

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

Post on X

Egypt

Away

Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Belgium

60%

28%

12%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Belgium vs Egypt : Sportiko estime que Belgium a 60% de chances de s'imposer, Egypt 12% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Jul 2026, 15:46.

Match Report

Belgium were made to work hard for a point in their World Cup opener, settling for a 1–1 draw against an Egypt side that caused problems throughout.

The match burst into life early, with yellow cards for Marwan Attia and Timothy Castagne inside the first quarter-hour setting a feisty tone. Egypt took full advantage of the unsettled atmosphere when Emam Ashour broke the deadlock on 19 minutes, and the Africans held that lead into half-time despite Belgium enjoying the majority of possession. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Belgium victory as the most likely outcome at 60%, a call that looked increasingly shaky as the first half wore on.

Belgium responded with a double substitution at the break's end, and the equaliser arrived in fortuitous circumstances on 66 minutes when Mohamed Hany turned the ball into his own net. Despite the late arrivals of Kevin De Bruyne and Jérémy Doku, and even Mohamed Salah entering the fray for Egypt, neither side could find a winner. The stats told a remarkably even story — 14 shots apiece — leaving both teams with just one point from their opening group game.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 13'

Marwan Attia Yellow Card

Timothy Castagne Yellow Card

14' ▮

⚽ 0–1 19'

Emam Ashour assist: Mohamed Salah

▮ 34'

Ahmed Fatouh Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Timothy Castagne ⇄ Nicolas Raskin

56' ⇄

Amadou Onana ⇄ Maxim De Cuyper

56' ⇄

Mohamed Hany Own Goal

66' ⚽ 1–1

Charles De Ketelaere ⇄ Romelu Lukaku

66' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Emam Ashour ⇄ Rami Rabia

Maxim De Cuyper Yellow Card

75' ▮

⇄ 76'

Mostafa Ziko ⇄ Zizo

⇄ 76'

Mohamed Salah ⇄ Hamza Abdelkarim

Jérémy Doku ⇄ Matías Fernández-Pardo

86' ⇄

Kevin De Bruyne ⇄ Hans Vanaken

86' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Hamdy Fathy ⇄ Ibrahim Adel

⇄ 89'

Ahmed Fatouh ⇄ Karim Hafez

FT 1–1

Belgium

Match Stats

Egypt

53% Ball Possession 47%

1.16 Expected Goals (xG) 0.89

14 Total Shots 14

3 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 8

8 Shots insidebox 11

6 Shots outsidebox 3

2 Corner Kicks 7

0 Offsides 1

15 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

432 Total passes 388

371 Passes accurate 314

86% Passes % 81%

-0.72 goals_prevented -0.72

Belgium

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Timothy Castagne D	7.9	56'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	4
8 Youri Tielemans M	7.7	92'	–	–	2	39 (33%)	1
4 Brandon Mechele D	7.3	92'	–	–	1	58 (56%)	2
23 Nicolas Raskin M	7.3	36'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	2
17 Charles De Ketelaere F	7.2	66'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	2
25 Nathan Ngoy D	7.0	92'	–	–	–	68 (66%)	1
24 Amadou Onana M	6.9	56'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	–
10 Leandro Trossard M	6.9	92'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	2
15 Thomas Meunier D	6.3	92'	–	–	1	41 (33%)	1
7 Kevin De Bruyne M	6.3	86'	–	–	3	37 (29%)	–
11 Jérémy Doku M	6.3	86'	–	–	1	25 (20%)	–
5 Maxim De Cuyper D	6.3	36'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1
1 Thibaut Courtois G	6.2	92'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
9 Romelu Lukaku F	6.2	26'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
20 Hans Vanaken M	—	6'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
26 Matías Fernández-Pardo F	—	6'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–

Egypt

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Emam Ashour M	7.9	71'	1	–	2	28 (19%)	1
17 Mohanad Lasheen M	7.2	92'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	8
22 Omar Marmoush F	7.0	92'	–	–	2	13 (11%)	1
23 Mostafa Shobeir G	6.9	92'	–	–	–	29 (19%)	–
2 Yasser Ibrahim D	6.9	92'	–	–	–	53 (49%)	1
14 Hamdy Fathy D	6.9	89'	–	–	–	39 (34%)	4
13 Ahmed Fatouh D	6.9	89'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	3
5 Rami Rabia D	6.6	21'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	–
9 Hamza Abdelkarim F	6.6	16'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	–
25 Zizo F	6.5	16'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
10 Mohamed Salah M	6.3	76'	–	1	1	18 (17%)	–
3 Mohamed Hany D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	31 (24%)	6
19 Marwan Attia M	6.2	92'	–	–	–	48 (38%)	3
11 Mostafa Ziko M	6.2	76'	–	–	1	21 (16%)	–
15 Karim Hafez D	—	3'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
20 Ibrahim Adel F	—	3'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Belgium

Most likely score

1:0 · 17.3%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Belgium

LWWWD

Egypt

LDDWD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 15, 2026, Belgium faces Egypt. Belgium, ranked 3rd globally, boasts a robust attacking lineup featuring stars like Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne, contributing to an average of 2.3 goals per game in qualifiers. In contrast, Egypt, ranked 30th, relies heavily on Mo Salah, who is pivotal to their offensive strategy. Defensively, Belgium's backline has shown resilience, conceding only 0.8 goals per game during qualifiers, while Egypt has struggled, allowing 1.5 goals on average. This match will likely highlight Belgium's offensive firepower against Egypt's defensive tactics, making for an intriguing contest.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Egypt goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	5	2
1	17	12	3	1
2	15	8	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	2
5	1	1

↑ Belgium goals · most likely 1–0 (17.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

28%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

28%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.3%	5.4%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
1	17.3%	12.0%	3.0%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.5%	8.3%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
3	7.6%	4.3%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Belgium	Draw	Egypt
Belgium	37.6%	3.0%	0.5%
Draw	21.9%	19.9%	5.5%
Egypt	1.8%	3.1%	6.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Belgium vs Egypt

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Belgium — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
10 Jul	A Spain	L	2 - 1
07 Jul	A USA	W	1 - 4
01 Jul	H Senegal	W	3 - 2
27 Jun	A New Zealand	W	1 - 5
21 Jun	H Iran	D	0 - 0

Egypt — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Jul	A Argentina	L	3 - 2
03 Jul	A Australia	D	1 - 1
27 Jun	H Iran	D	1 - 1
22 Jun	A New Zealand	W	1 - 3
15 Jun	A Belgium	D	1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Belgium

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Rudi Garcia

1 Courtois

21 Castagne

4 Mechele

25 Ngoy

15 Meunier

8 Tielemans

24 Onana

11 Doku

7 Bruyne

10 Trossard

17 Ketelaere

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Thibaut Courtois	G
15	Thomas Meunier	D
25	Nathan Ngoy	D
4	Brandon Mechele	D
21	Timothy Castagne	D
24	Amadou Onana	M
8	Youri Tielemans	M
10	Leandro Trossard	M
7	Kevin De Bruyne	M
11	Jérémy Doku	M
17	Charles De Ketelaere	F

Substitutes

5	Maxim De Cuyper	D
23	Nicolas Raskin	M
9	Romelu Lukaku	F
12	Senne Lammens	G
13	Mike Penders	G
3	Arthur Theate	D
18	Joaquin Seys	D
16	Koni De Winter	D
22	Alexis Saelemaekers	F
6	Axel Witsel	M
19	Diego Moreira	F
14	Dodi Lukebakio	F
20	Hans Vanaken	M
26	Matías Fernández-Pardo	F

Egypt

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Hossam Hassan

23 Shobeir

13 Fatouh

14 Fathy

2 Ibrahim

3 Hany

17 Lasheen

19 Attia

8 Ashour

10 Salah

11 Ziko

22 Marmoush

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Mostafa Shobeir	G
3	Mohamed Hany	D
2	Yasser Ibrahim	D
14	Hamdy Fathy	D
13	Ahmed Fatouh	D
19	Marwan Attia	M
17	Mohanad Lasheen	M
11	Mostafa Ziko	M
10	Mohamed Salah	M
8	Emam Ashour	M
22	Omar Marmoush	F

Substitutes

16	Mahdi Soliman	G
26	Mohamed Alaa	G
1	Mohamed El-Shenawy	G
4	Hossam Abdelmaguid	D
15	Karim Hafez	D
6	Mohamed Abdelmonem	D
5	Rami Rabia	D
24	Tarek Alaa	D
12	Haissem Hassan	F
20	Ibrahim Adel	F
21	Mahmoud Saber	M
7	Mahmoud Trézéguet	F
18	Nabil Donga	M
25	Zizo	F
9	Hamza Abdelkarim	F