Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc Prédiction
Prédiction IA
Bahia pour gagner ou match nul
72%
23%
5%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc : Sportiko estime que Bahia a 72% de chances de s'imposer, Chapecoense-sc 5% et le match nul 23%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.
Timeline
Rodrigo Nestor
Penalty
12'
⚽
1–0
Román Gómez
assist: David Duarte
34'
⚽
2–0
HT 2–0
⇄
46'
Bruno Matias
⇄ Vinicius Balieiro
⇄
46'
Ênio
⇄ Neto Pessoa
⇄
63'
Marcinho
⇄ Rubens Tadeu
⇄
63'
Marcos Vinícius
⇄ Everton
José Guilherme
Yellow Card
64'
▮
Ademir
⇄ Kauê Furquim
67'
⇄
Willian José
⇄ Everton Ribeiro
67'
⇄
Erick Pulga
⇄ Everaldo
79'
⇄
Rodrigo Nestor
⇄ Jean Lucas
79'
⇄
⇄
81'
Camilo
⇄ David Antunes
Luciano Juba
Yellow Card
83'
▮
David Duarte
⇄ Marcos Victor
88'
⇄
FT 2–0
Bahia
Match Stats
Chapecoense-sc
65%
Ball Possession
35%
1.57
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots off Goal
4
5
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
5
10
Shots outsidebox
3
10
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
504
Total passes
261
461
Passes accurate
215
91%
Passes %
82%
-0.02
goals_prevented
-0.02
Bahia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nicolás Acevedo M | 7.7 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 74 (73%) | 2 |
| 31 Román Gómez D | 7.6 | 95' | 1 | – | 3 | 48 (41%) | 3 |
| 1 Ronaldo G | 7.5 | 95' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | – |
| 33 David Duarte D | 7.3 | 87' | – | 1 | 2 | 66 (61%) | – |
| 11 Rodrigo Nestor M | 7.3 | 79' | 1 | – | 1 | 55 (46%) | 2 |
| 66 José Guilherme D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 45 (42%) | – |
| 21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 67 (64%) | – |
| 16 Erick Pulga F | 7.0 | 80' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | – |
| 57 Kauê Furquim M | 7.0 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 10 Everton Ribeiro M | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | 1 |
| 7 Ademir F | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | 3 |
| 27 Everaldo F | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 12 Willian José F | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | – |
| 14 Erick M | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 1 |
| 44 Marcos Victor D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 6 Jean Lucas M | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Matheus G | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 27 Camilo M | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 5 |
| 2 Marcos Vinícius D | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | – | 18 (11%) | 2 |
| 3 Eduardo Doma D | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 37 (33%) | – |
| 10 Giovanni Augusto M | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 17 Vinicius Balieiro M | 6.7 | 50' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 26 Everton D | 6.7 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 15 Rafael Thyere D | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 31 (28%) | – |
| 18 Neto Pessoa F | 6.6 | 50' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 19 David Antunes M | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 91 Bruno Pacheco D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 2 |
| 70 Rubens Tadeu M | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 97 Ênio M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 7 Marcinho M | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 16 Bruno Matias M | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | 1 |
| 11 Yannick Bolasie F | 6.0 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 14 (10%) | – |
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Confidence
High (72%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Bahia pour gagner ou match nul
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Bahia
LWWWW
Chapecoense-sc
DLWLW
Last 3 meetings
Bahia · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash, Bahia faces Chapecoense, both teams are in a battle for vital points. Bahia has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Chapecoense struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. The key matchup will be Bahia's midfield control against Chapecoense's defensive organization. Given the current statistics, Bahia may leverage their offensive capabilities to secure a crucial win. However, Chapecoense's resilience could lead to a tightly contested match.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
72%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
5%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Bahia
Luciano Juba
9 gls
Chapecoense-sc
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc
2
Bahia Wins
1
Draws
0
Chapecoense-sc Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Chapecoense-sc | 3 - 3 | Bahia |
| 24 Oct 2021 | Bahia | 3 - 0 | Chapecoense-sc |
| 04 Jul 2021 | Chapecoense-sc | 0 - 2 | Bahia |
Bahia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Atletico Paranaense | L | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | H Remo | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A RB Bragantino | W | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | H Internacional | W | 3 - 2 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 2 |
Chapecoense-sc — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Atletico-MG | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Internacional | L | 1 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Corinthians | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | A Gremio | L | 3 - 1 |
| 23 Aug | H Sao Paulo | W | 1 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Bahia
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Ceni Rogerio
1
Ronaldo
66
Guilherme
21
Mingo
33
Duarte
44
Victor
11
Nestor
14
Erick
5
Acevedo
16
Pulga
12
José
7
Ademir
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo | G |
| 44 | Marcos Victor | D |
| 33 | David Duarte | D |
| 21 | Santiago Ramos Mingo | D |
| 66 | José Guilherme | D |
| 5 | Nicolás Acevedo | M |
| 14 | Erick | M |
| 11 | Rodrigo Nestor | M |
| 7 | Ademir | F |
| 12 | Willian José | F |
| 16 | Erick Pulga | F |
Chapecoense-sc
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Lacerda Rafael
1
Santos
91
Pacheco
15
Thyere
3
Doma
2
Vinícius
16
Matias
27
Camilo
11
Bolasie
97
Ênio
10
Augusto
7
Marcinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Santos | G |
| 2 | Marcos Vinícius | D |
| 3 | Eduardo Doma | D |
| 15 | Rafael Thyere | D |
| 91 | Bruno Pacheco | D |
| 27 | Camilo | M |
| 16 | Bruno Matias | M |
| 10 | Giovanni Augusto | M |
| 97 | Ênio | M |
| 11 | Yannick Bolasie | F |
| 7 | Marcinho | M |