Everton vs Sunderland Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

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Sunderland

Away

Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Everton

51%

26%

23%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Everton vs Sunderland prediction: Sportiko gives Everton a 51% chance of winning, Sunderland 23% and the draw 26%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Everton took the lead through Merlin Röhl's goal just before half-time, and the hosts went into the break with a 1–0 advantage despite the early disruption of losing Omar Alderete to injury in the 23rd minute. Tim Iroegbunam also picked up a yellow card before the interval, adding to Everton's difficulties.

Sunderland turned the game around completely in the second half. B. Brobbey levelled shortly after the restart, and Enzo Le Fée then put the visitors ahead in the 81st minute. Wilson Isidor added a third deep into stoppage time to seal a convincing 3–1 victory for Sunderland. The xG figures — 1.04 for Everton against 0.76 for Sunderland — underline how clinical the away side were relative to the chances created.

The result was a surprise given the pre-match context; our AI model had rated an Everton win as the most likely outcome at 51%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. Sunderland's second-half display was disciplined and ruthless, with the result secured through sharp finishing rather than territorial dominance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 23'

Omar Alderete ⇄ Luke O'Nien

Tim Iroegbunam Yellow Card

25' ▮

Merlin Röhl assist: Michael Keane

43' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Jake O'Brien Yellow Card

47' ▮

⚽ 1–1 59'

B. Brobbey assist: Enzo Le Fée

⇄ 60'

Trai Hume ⇄ Chemsdine Talbi

Tim Iroegbunam ⇄ Tyrique George

73' ⇄

Beto ⇄ Thierno Barry

73' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Nilson Angulo ⇄ Chris Rigg

⇄ 77'

Noah Sadiki ⇄ Habib Diarra

⇄ 77'

B. Brobbey ⇄ Wilson Isidor

⚽ 1–2 81'

Enzo Le Fée assist: Chris Rigg

Jake O'Brien ⇄ Séamus Coleman

88' ⇄

Merlin Röhl ⇄ Dwight McNeil

88' ⇄

⚽ 1–3 90'

Wilson Isidor assist: Habib Diarra

James Garner Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

FT 1–3

Everton

Match Stats

Sunderland

48% Ball Possession 52%

1.04 Expected Goals (xG) 0.76

10 Total Shots 7

4 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 0

6 Shots insidebox 5

4 Shots outsidebox 2

3 Corner Kicks 2

0 Offsides 1

14 Fouls 9

3 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

407 Total passes 451

346 Passes accurate 384

85% Passes % 85%

-0.01 goals_prevented -0.01

Everton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall M	7.7	90'	–	–	1	44 (40%)	1
37 James Garner M	7.3	90'	–	–	1	73 (66%)	1
19 Tyrique George F	7.2	17'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
34 Merlin Röhl M	7.2	88'	1	–	2	16 (14%)	3
11 Thierno Barry F	6.5	17'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
10 Iliman Ndiaye M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	–
6 James Tarkowski D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	42 (34%)	4
7 Dwight McNeil F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
42 Tim Iroegbunam M	6.3	73'	–	–	–	27 (26%)	3
5 Michael Keane D	6.3	90'	–	1	–	49 (43%)	–
16 Vitaliy Mykolenko D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	–
9 Beto F	6.2	73'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
23 Séamus Coleman D	6.0	9'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
1 Jordan Pickford G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	42 (23%)	–
15 Jake O'Brien D	5.5	88'	–	–	2	23 (19%)	1

Sunderland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
28 Enzo Le Fée M	8.2	90'	1	1	2	33 (27%)	2
18 Wilson Isidor F	7.3	13'	1	–	1	3 (3%)	1
9 B. Brobbey F	7.2	77'	1	–	1	12 (8%)	1
13 Luke O'Nien M	7.2	67'	–	–	1	18 (17%)	1
19 Habib Diarra M	7.0	13'	–	1	–	3 (3%)	–
6 L. Geertruida D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	52 (48%)	2
17 Reinildo Mandava D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	46 (43%)	1
34 Granit Xhaka M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	71 (62%)	1
15 Omar Alderete D	6.7	23'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
10 Nilson Angulo M	6.7	77'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	1
20 Nordi Mukiele D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	67 (60%)	–
11 Chris Rigg M	6.5	13'	–	1	–	7 (6%)	–
7 Chemsdine Talbi F	6.3	30'	–	–	–	7 (3%)	–
27 Noah Sadiki M	6.3	77'	–	–	–	26 (24%)	–
22 R. Roefs G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	39 (25%)	–
32 Trai Hume M	6.3	60'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

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Everton

WDLLD

Sunderland

WLLWW

Last 3 meetings Everton · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on May 17, 2026, Everton will host Sunderland at Goodison Park. Everton has shown a strong home advantage this season, with a win rate of around 60% at home, while Sunderland struggles with away form, recording only 25% of their points on the road. Key players like Everton's striker, who averages 0.6 goals per game, will be crucial in breaking down Sunderland's defense, which has allowed an average of 1.8 goals per match away from home. If Everton maintains their defensive solidity, they could capitalize on Sunderland’s vulnerabilities, making them favorites for this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sunderland goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	8	4	1
1	13	12	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Everton goals · most likely 1–0 (13.2%)

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Head to Head: Everton vs Sunderland

2 Everton Wins

1 Draws

0 Sunderland Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Nov 2025	Sunderland	1 - 1	Everton
25 Feb 2017	Everton	2 - 0	Sunderland
12 Sep 2016	Sunderland	0 - 3	Everton

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Hamburger SV	W	1 - 2
25 Jul	A Bolton	D	0 - 0
24 May	A Tottenham	L	1 - 0
17 May	H Sunderland	L	1 - 3
10 May	A Crystal Palace	D	2 - 2

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Wrexham	W	0 - 1
30 Jul	H Leeds	L	0 - 1
25 Jul	A Liverpool	L	4 - 2
24 May	H Chelsea	W	2 - 1
17 May	A Everton	W	1 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0