West Ham vs Arsenal Predicción
Predicción West Ham vs Arsenal: Sportiko le da a West Ham un 11% de probabilidad de ganar, a Arsenal un 70% y al empate un 19%. Última actualización: 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Arsenal claimed a narrow but important victory at the London Stadium, with Leandro Trossard's 83rd-minute strike proving the decisive moment in a tight affair. The first half was goalless and largely uneventful despite West Ham's dominant possession, with the main talking points coming from yellow cards for Valentín Castellanos and Crysencio Summerville before the break. Arsenal also lost Ben White to an early substitution, with Riccardo Calafiori introduced at half-time.
The second half grew increasingly fractious, with bookings for Todibo, Saka, and Mosquera reflecting the game's competitive edge. Saka himself was withdrawn shortly after his caution, but Arsenal still found the winner through Trossard's composed finish. West Ham thought they had levelled deep into stoppage time when Callum Wilson netted, only for VAR to rule the goal out and preserve Arsenal's slender advantage.
The xG figures — 1.18 for West Ham, 1.15 for Arsenal — underlined just how even the contest was, though Arsenal's clinical edge made the difference. The result vindicated our pre-match AI model, which had rated an Arsenal win as the most likely outcome at 70%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
West Ham
Match Stats
West Ham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Konstantinos Mavropanos D | 8.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (17%) | 1 |
| 18 Mateus Fernandes M | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (32%) | 4 |
| 12 El Hadji Malick Diouf M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (18%) | 2 |
| 7 C. Summerville F | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | 2 |
| 29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 19 Pablo Felipe F | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 11 Valentín Castellanos F | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 8 (3%) | 1 |
| 9 Callum Wilson F | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 28 Tomáš Souček M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 1 |
| 20 Jarrod Bowen F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 1 Mads Hermansen G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (14%) | – |
| 4 Axel Disasi D | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 34 (23%) | 1 |
| 25 Jean-Clair Todibo D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
Arsenal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Leandro Trossard M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 32 (22%) | 1 |
| 2 William Saliba D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 80 (79%) | 2 |
| 1 David Raya G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (12%) | – |
| 41 Declan Rice M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (42%) | 1 |
| 6 Gabriel Magalhães D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 48 (41%) | 1 |
| 10 Eberechi Eze M | 7.0 | 67' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | – |
| 8 Martin Ødegaard M | 6.9 | 23' | – | 1 | – | 13 (9%) | – |
| 49 Myles Lewis-Skelly M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (52%) | – |
| 4 Ben White D | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 3 Cristhian Mosquera D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 29 Kai Havertz F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 2 |
| 14 Viktor Gyökeres F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | – |
| 36 Martín Zubimendi M | 6.3 | 39' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | – |
| 20 Noni Madueke F | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 33 Riccardo Calafiori D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 20 (14%) | – |
| 7 Bukayo Saka M | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 23 (17%) | – |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para West Ham vs Arsenal
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
- Ventaja de Valor — modelo vs. mercado
- Tipos de selección que eliges
At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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B. Saka
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: West Ham vs Arsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct 2025 | Arsenal | 2 - 0 | West Ham |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Arsenal | 0 - 1 | West Ham |
| 30 Nov 2024 | West Ham | 2 - 5 | Arsenal |
West Ham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Millwall | D | 2 - 2 |
| 15 Sep | H Fulham | L | 2 - 3 |
| 11 Sep | H Wrexham | W | 6 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | A Bolton | W | 2 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | H Derby | W | 3 - 0 |
Arsenal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Brighton | L | 3 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | A Ipswich | W | 2 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | A Sunderland | W | 0 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | A Napoli | W | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Chelsea | W | 2 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Arsenal
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Raya | G |
| 4 | B. White | D |
| 2 | W. Saliba | D |
| 6 | Gabriel | D |
| 33 | R. Calafiori | D |
| 41 | D. Rice | M |
| 49 | M. Lewis-Skelly | M |
| 7 | B. Saka | M |
| 10 | E. Eze | M |
| 19 | L. Trossard | M |
| 14 | V. Gyökeres | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | K. Arrizabalaga | G |
| 8 | M. Odegaard | M |
| 29 | K. Havertz | F |
| 20 | N. Madueke | F |
| 11 | G. Martinelli | F |
| 5 | P. Hincapie | D |
| 36 | M. Zubimendi | M |
| 3 | C. Mosquera | D |
| 56 | M. Dowman | M |
West Ham
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Hermansen | G |
| 25 | J. Todibo | D |
| 15 | K. Mavropanos | D |
| 4 | A. Disasi | D |
| 29 | A. Wan-Bissaka | M |
| 28 | T. Soucek | M |
| 18 | M. Fernandes | M |
| 12 | M. Diouf | M |
| 20 | J. Bowen | F |
| 7 | C. Summerville | F |
| 11 | T. Castellanos | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | A. Areola | G |
| 2 | K. Walker-Peters | D |
| 27 | S. Magassa | M |
| 9 | C. Wilson | F |
| 3 | M. Kilman | D |
| 32 | F. Potts | M |
| 19 | Pablo | F |
| 30 | O. Scarles | D |
| 55 | M. Kante | M |