Atletico-MG vs Vitoria Predicción

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

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Atletico-MG

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Vitoria

Away

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Atletico-MG

54%

28%

17%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Atletico-MG vs Vitoria: Sportiko le da a Atletico-MG un 54% de probabilidad de ganar, a Vitoria un 17% y al empate un 28%. Última actualización: 29 Aug 2026, 23:25.

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Timeline

Thiago Borbas assist: Reinier

25' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 35'

Diego Tarzia Yellow Card

Ángelo Preciado Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Emanuel Brítez ⇄ Mateusinho

Mamady Cissé Yellow Card

59' ▮

Thiago Borbas ⇄ Gustavo Scarpa

60' ⇄

Reinier

63' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 69'

Emmanuel Martínez ⇄ Erick

⇄ 69'

Diego Tarzia ⇄ Matheuzinho

⇄ 69'

Alex Bruno ⇄ Renê Sousa

Alan Minda ⇄ Dudu

75' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Caique Gonçalves ⇄ Walace

⚽ 2–1 87'

Erick

Reinier ⇄ Cauã Campos Soares

90' ⇄

Alexsander ⇄ Vitor Hugo

90' ⇄

FT 2–1

Atletico-MG

Match Stats

Vitoria

61% Ball Possession 39%

1.46 Expected Goals (xG) 0.64

18 Total Shots 13

8 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 4

4 Blocked Shots 7

12 Shots insidebox 7

6 Shots outsidebox 6

4 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 6

624 Total passes 379

568 Passes accurate 313

91% Passes % 83%

-0.16 goals_prevented -0.16

Atletico-MG

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Reinier M	8.6	90'	1	1	3	70 (66%)	1
25 Tomás Pérez M	7.3	93'	–	–	–	87 (81%)	5
23 Ángelo Preciado D	7.2	93'	–	–	3	53 (46%)	2
5 Alexsander M	7.2	90'	–	–	3	99 (89%)	2
40 Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira D	7.2	93'	–	–	1	59 (58%)	–
39 Mamady Cissé M	7.0	93'	–	–	–	52 (51%)	3
18 Thiago Borbas F	7.0	60'	1	–	2	12 (7%)	–
27 Alan Minda M	6.7	75'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	1
10 Gustavo Scarpa M	6.7	33'	–	–	1	17 (15%)	–
92 Dudu F	6.7	18'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	–
2 Natanael D	6.6	93'	–	–	–	70 (66%)	–
36 Kauã Pascini D	6.5	93'	–	–	–	31 (28%)	1
1 Gabriel Delfim G	6.3	93'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	–
14 Vitor Hugo D	—	3'	–	–	–	–	–
29 Cauã Campos Soares F	—	3'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–

Vitoria

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
33 Erick F	7.9	24'	1	–	1	9 (6%)	1
25 Cacá D	7.3	93'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	5
1 Lucas Arcanjo G	7.2	93'	–	–	–	26 (19%)	–
98 Mateusinho D	6.9	48'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	1
10 Matheuzinho M	6.9	24'	–	–	–	25 (25%)	1
7 Marinho M	6.9	93'	–	–	2	26 (21%)	5
8 Tomás Pochettino M	6.7	93'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	3
15 Walace D	6.5	12'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
36 Luan Cândido D	6.3	93'	–	–	–	43 (38%)	2
6 Emmanuel Martínez M	6.3	69'	–	–	–	33 (26%)	1
91 Renê Sousa F	6.3	24'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
2 Emanuel Brítez D	6.3	45'	–	–	1	23 (19%)	1
9 Alex Bruno F	6.3	69'	–	–	–	13 (8%)	–
83 Jamerson D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	42 (37%)	–
95 Caique Gonçalves M	6.2	81'	–	–	–	41 (37%)	2
12 Diego Tarzia M	6.0	69'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Difícil victoria o empate de Atletico-MG

Most likely score

1:0 · 18.2%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

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Atletico-MG

DWLLW

Vitoria

LDWLL

Last 3 meetings Atletico-MG · 0W 1D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitoria goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	16	7	2
1	18	13	3	1
2	14	8	2
3	6	4	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ Atletico-MG goals · most likely 1–0 (18.2%)

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Players in form

Atletico-MG

No scorer data.

Vitoria

Rene 9 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.6%	6.6%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
1	18.2%	12.7%	3.2%	0.6%	0.1%
2	13.7%	7.8%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	6.3%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.2%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico-MG	Draw	Vitoria
Atletico-MG	37.7%	3.8%	0.7%
Draw	18.0%	22.3%	7.0%
Vitoria	1.1%	2.6%	6.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atletico-MG vs Vitoria

0 Atletico-MG Wins

1 Draws

2 Vitoria Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Vitoria	2 - 0	Atletico-MG
31 Aug 2025	Vitoria	1 - 0	Atletico-MG
13 Apr 2025	Atletico-MG	2 - 2	Vitoria

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Atletico-MG — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Chapecoense-sc	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Fluminense	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Santos	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Sao Paulo	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	H Cruzeiro	W	2 - 1

Vitoria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Cruzeiro	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Mirassol	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	H Gremio	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Atletico-MG	L	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Vitoria

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Ventura Jair

1 Arcanjo

83 Jamerson

36 Cândido

25 Cacá

2 Brítez

6 Martínez

12 Tarzia

95 Gonçalves

8 Pochettino

7 Marinho

9 Bruno

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lucas Arcanjo	G
2	Emanuel Brítez	D
25	Cacá	D
36	Luan Cândido	D
83	Jamerson	D
6	Emmanuel Martínez	M
7	Marinho	M
8	Tomás Pochettino	M
95	Caique Gonçalves	M
12	Diego Tarzia	M
9	Alex Bruno	F

Substitutes

71	Yuri Sena	G
26	Edenilson	M
98	Mateusinho	D
13	Ramon	D
15	Walace	D
11	Osvaldo	F
88	Zé Vitor	M
10	Matheuzinho	M
33	Erick	F
91	Renê Sousa	F
23	Fabrício Santos	F
79	Renato Kayzer	F

Atletico-MG

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eduardo Dominguez

1 Delfim

36 Pascini

40 Teixeira

2 Natanael

23 Preciado

5 Alexsander

25 Pérez

27 Minda

19 Reinier

39 Cissé

18 Borbas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Gabriel Delfim	G
23	Ángelo Preciado	D
2	Natanael	D
40	Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira	D
36	Kauã Pascini	D
25	Tomás Pérez	M
5	Alexsander	M
39	Mamady Cissé	M
19	Reinier	M
27	Alan Minda	M
18	Thiago Borbas	F

Substitutes

31	Robert Alves	G
53	Pedro Tocantins	D
6	Renan Lodi	D
14	Vitor Hugo	D
15	Kevin Castaño	M
48	Gutte	M
28	Tomás Cuello	F
21	Alan Franco	M
10	Gustavo Scarpa	M
29	Cauã Campos Soares	F
9	Mateo Cassierra	F
92	Dudu	F