Lens vs Paris Saint Germain Predicción

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

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Paris Saint Germain

Away

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Paris Saint Germain

27%

21%

52%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Lens vs Paris Saint Germain: Sportiko le da a Lens un 27% de probabilidad de ganar, a Paris Saint Germain un 52% y al empate un 21%. Última actualización: 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Paris Saint-Germain claimed a comfortable 2-0 victory at Lens in Ligue 1, with the visitors dominant throughout despite the home side's territorial advantage. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia broke the deadlock on 29 minutes with a well-taken finish, giving PSG a deserved lead they carried into half-time. The pre-match AI model had identified a PSG win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that proved correct.

The second half saw both sides make a flurry of substitutions, with Lens introducing Wesley Saïd and Odsonne Édouard in search of a way back into the contest. PSG responded with their own changes, bringing on Ousmane Dembélé and João Neves as the game entered its final stages.

The statistics underlined PSG's superiority, with the away side registering 25 total shots and 10 on target compared to Lens's three, while their expected goals figure of 2.87 dwarfed the hosts' 1.22. Substitute Ibrahim Mbaye wrapped up the points in stoppage time, sealing a convincing win that further cements PSG's position at the top of Ligue 1.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 29'

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia assist: Ousmane Dembélé

▮ 45'

Ilya Zabarnyi Yellow Card

HT 0–1

⇄ 46'

Bradley Barcola ⇄ Vitinha

60' ⇄

Wesley Saïd ⇄ Florian Thauvin

60' ⇄

Odsonne Édouard ⇄ Allan Saint-Maximin

61' ⇄

⇄ 61'

Lucas Hernández ⇄ Fabián Ruiz

⇄ 72'

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⇄ Gonçalo Ramos

⇄ 76'

Ousmane Dembélé ⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye

⇄ 76'

João Neves

Abdallah Sima ⇄ Florian Sotoca

85' ⇄

⇄ Andrija Bulatovic

85' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 90'

Ibrahim Mbaye assist: Désiré Doué

FT 0–2

Lens

Match Stats

Paris Saint Germain

38% Ball Possession 62%

2.87 Expected Goals (xG) 1.22

25 Total Shots 10

10 Shots on Goal 3

11 Shots off Goal 3

4 Blocked Shots 4

19 Shots insidebox 8

6 Shots outsidebox 2

6 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 3

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 8

419 Total passes 716

333 Passes accurate 631

79% Passes % 88%

1.27 goals_prevented 1.27

Lens

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Ruben Aguilar M	7.5	85'	–	–	–	44 (37%)	2
8 Mamadou Sangare M	7.3	90'	–	–	2	60 (47%)	4
28 Adrien Thomasson M	7.0	90'	–	–	2	40 (35%)	8
22 Wesley Saïd F	7.0	60'	–	–	3	22 (18%)	–
25 Ismaelo Ganiou D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	32 (28%)	3
10 Florian Thauvin F	6.9	30'	–	–	1	12 (11%)	–
9 Allan Saint-Maximin F	6.9	29'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	–
6 Samson Baidoo D	6.5	60'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	1
32 Kyllian Antonio D	6.5	30'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	1
14 Matthieu Udol M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	43 (31%)	–
7 Florian Sotoca F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
19 Abdallah Sima F	6.3	85'	–	–	7	26 (18%)	–
40 Robin Risser G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	28 (15%)	–
20 Malang Sarr D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	47 (38%)	3
11 Odsonne Édouard F	6.2	61'	–	–	3	13 (10%)	–
5 Andrija Bulatovic M	6.2	11'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

Paris Saint Germain

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
39 Matvey Safonov G	9.6	90'	–	–	–	35 (20%)	–
6 Ilya Zabarnyi D	9.2	90'	–	–	–	87 (85%)	2
49 Ibrahim Mbaye F	7.7	14'	1	–	1	8 (8%)	–
8 Fabián Ruiz M	7.5	29'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	4
10 Ousmane Dembélé F	7.5	76'	–	1	2	45 (36%)	1
17 Vitinha M	7.3	45'	–	–	–	66 (61%)	1
4 Lucas Beraldo D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	95 (88%)	1
87 João Neves M	7.2	76'	–	–	1	76 (66%)	1
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F	7.2	72'	1	–	1	29 (28%)	–
14 Désiré Doué M	7.0	90'	–	1	–	65 (58%)	2
21 Lucas Hernández D	6.9	61'	–	–	–	51 (43%)	–
24 Senny Mayulu D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	46 (38%)	3
54 Dimitri Lucea D	6.7	14'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
9 Gonçalo Ramos F	6.6	18'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	2
29 Bradley Barcola F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	1
27 Dro Fernández M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	44 (40%)	3

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Difícil victoria o empate de Paris Saint Germain

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Lens

LDWLL

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Last 3 meetings Lens · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Lens will host Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) in a crucial Ligue 1 clash on April 12, 2026. Historically, PSG has dominated this fixture, winning 8 of their last 10 encounters, but Lens has shown resilience at home, securing 3 wins in their last 5 matches at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. PSG will rely on their potent attack led by Kylian Mbappé, who has been involved in over 30% of their league goals this season. Meanwhile, Lens will need to leverage their strong midfield to disrupt PSG's play. The outcome could hinge on Lens's defensive organization against PSG's high-pressing style.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris Saint Germain goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	2	5	6	4	2	1
1	4	8	9	7	4	2
2	3	6	7	5	3	1
3	1	3	4	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Lens goals · most likely 1–2 (9.0%)

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Players in form

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

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Head to Head: Lens vs Paris Saint Germain

1 Lens Wins

0 Draws

2 Paris Saint Germain Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Lens	1 - 0	Paris Saint Germain
14 Sep 2025	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 0	Lens
18 Jan 2025	Lens	1 - 2	Paris Saint Germain

Ver los 10 encuentros — Premium

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2