Cremonese vs Bologna Predicción

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Post on X

Bologna

Away

Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Bologna

16%

28%

56%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Cremonese vs Bologna: Sportiko le da a Cremonese un 16% de probabilidad de ganar, a Bologna un 56% y al empate un 28%. Última actualización: 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Bologna secured a valuable Serie A victory at Cremonese, coming away with a 2–1 win that was largely shaped by a dominant first-half display. The visitors struck early and decisively, netting in the third minute before doubling their advantage in the 16th, giving them a commanding 2–0 lead at the break despite Cremonese enjoying the greater share of possession throughout the contest.

The second half saw Cremonese push for a way back into the game, and a penalty in the 90th minute gave the hosts a consolation goal to make it 1–2. However, the final stages descended into chaos, with a VAR-upgraded card and a red card issued in quick succession, before Lewis Ferguson of Bologna received two yellow cards in the space of a minute — earning him a red — adding a dramatic edge to the closing moments. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bologna win as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that proved correct.

Despite Cremonese's 63% possession and seven shots on target to Bologna's three, the away side's clinical early finishing proved the difference, with their expected goals figure of 1.42 edging out the hosts' 1.14.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'

⚽ 0–2 16'

Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 0–2

⇄ Morten Thorsby

46' ⇄

53' ⇄

⇄ 61'

▮ 75'

Yellow Card

⇄ 78'

⇄ Lewis Ferguson

⇄ 82'

Nikola Moro

85' ⇄

Penalty

90' ⚽ 1–2

Card upgrade

90+3' 🖵

Red Card

90+4' ▮

Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

▮ 90+5'

Lewis Ferguson Yellow Card

▮ 90+6'

Lewis Ferguson Yellow Card

▮ 90+6'

Lewis Ferguson Red Card

FT 1–2

Cremonese

Match Stats

Bologna

37% Ball Possession 63%

1.42 Expected Goals (xG) 1.14

9 Total Shots 14

3 Shots on Goal 7

4 Shots off Goal 5

2 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 10

3 Shots outsidebox 4

2 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 3

15 Fouls 15

2 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 1

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

339 Total passes 588

266 Passes accurate 527

78% Passes % 90%

0.93 goals_prevented 0.93

Cremonese

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
90 Federico Bonazzoli F	8.0	90'	1	–	2	19 (15%)	2
22 Romano Floriani Mussolini D	7.2	14'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
2 Morten Thorsby M	6.7	8'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
24 Filippo Terracciano D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	3
15 Matteo Bianchetti D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	39 (34%)	–
3 Giuseppe Pezzella D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	3
9 Milan Đurić F	6.6	45'	–	–	–	12 (4%)	–
38 Warren Bondo M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	27 (26%)	1
5 Sebastiano Luperto D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	46 (39%)	2
7 Alessio Zerbin M	6.3	85'	–	–	1	8 (2%)	1
32 Martín Payero M	6.3	37'	–	–	1	11 (6%)	–
1 Emil Audero G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	42 (32%)	–
33 Alberto Grassi M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
27 Jari Vandeputte M	6.2	45'	–	–	1	17 (8%)	–
77 David Okereke F	6.2	45'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
29 Youssef Maleh M	5.7	90'	–	–	1	27 (23%)	1

Bologna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 João Mário D	8.5	82'	1	–	2	50 (43%)	–
6 Nikola Moro M	7.7	82'	–	–	1	69 (60%)	1
8 Remo Freuler M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	95 (93%)	1
41 Martin Vitík D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	70 (63%)	4
33 Juan Miranda D	7.2	90'	–	2	–	38 (32%)	1
26 Jhon Lucumí D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	77 (73%)	–
13 Federico Ravaglia G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	49 (40%)	–
11 Jonathan Rowe M	7.0	78'	1	–	3	9 (9%)	–
10 Federico Bernardeschi M	6.9	61'	–	–	2	40 (37%)	1
28 Nicolò Cambiaghi F	6.7	12'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
19 Lewis Ferguson M	6.3	18'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
7 Riccardo Orsolini F	6.3	29'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
4 Tommaso Pobega M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
23 Simon Sohm M	6.2	78'	–	–	–	44 (36%)	–
20 Nadir Zortea D	6.2	8'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
9 Santiago Castro F	5.9	90'	–	–	3	21 (18%)	–

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

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Cremonese

DDWWL

Bologna

DLDLL

Last 3 meetings Cremonese · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Cremonese will host Bologna in a crucial Serie A clash on April 4, 2026. Currently, Cremonese struggles near the relegation zone, having secured only 8 points in their last 10 matches, with a defensive record of 22 goals conceded in that span. Conversely, Bologna has shown stronger form, sitting mid-table with 15 points from their last 10 fixtures, bolstered by a more resilient defense allowing only 16 goals. Key for Cremonese will be to leverage home advantage, while Bologna aims to capitalize on their superior recent performance to secure vital points. Defensive solidity will be pivotal for both teams.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bologna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	19	13	6	2	1
1	8	11	8	4	1
2	3	4	2	1
3	1	1
4
5

↑ Cremonese goals · most likely 0–1 (18.8%)

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Head to Head: Cremonese vs Bologna

1 Cremonese Wins

1 Draws

1 Bologna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Dec 2025	Bologna	1 - 3	Cremonese
20 May 2023	Cremonese	1 - 5	Bologna
23 Jan 2023	Bologna	1 - 1	Cremonese

Cremonese — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Virtus Entella	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Cesena	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Padova	W	3 - 1
01 Sep	A Parma	W	0 - 2
28 Aug	H Modena	L	0 - 3

Bologna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Torino	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Napoli	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Sassuolo	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Atalanta	L	1 - 0
24 Aug	H Lazio	L	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Bologna

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

13 Ravaglia

33 Miranda

26 Lucumi

41 Vitik

17 Mario

8 Freuler

11 Rowe

23 Sohm

6 Moro

10 Bernardeschi

9 Castro

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	F. Ravaglia	G
17	Joao Mario	D
41	M. Vitik	D
26	J. Lucumi	D
33	J. Miranda	D
8	R. Freuler	M
10	F. Bernardeschi	M
6	N. Moro	M
23	S. Sohm	M
11	J. Rowe	M
9	S. Castro	F

Substitutes

25	M. Pessina	G
82	M. Franceschelli	G
29	L. De Silvestri	D
7	R. Orsolini	F
14	T. Heggem	D
20	N. Zortea	D
28	N. Cambiaghi	F
73	F. Castaldo	F
5	E. Fauske Helland	D
19	L. Ferguson	M
4	T. Pobega	M
16	N. Casale	D

Cremonese

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: Marco Giampaolo

1 Audero

3 Pezzella

5 Luperto

15 Bianchetti

24 Terracciano

33 Grassi

29 Maleh

27 Vandeputte

7 Zerbin

9 Djuric

90 Bonazzoli

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	E. Audero	G
24	F. Terracciano	D
15	M. Bianchetti	D
5	S. Luperto	D
3	G. Pezzella	D
33	A. Grassi	M
7	A. Zerbin	M
27	J. Vandeputte	M
29	Y. Maleh	M
90	F. Bonazzoli	F
9	M. Djuric	F

Substitutes

16	M. Silvestri	G
69	L. Nava	G
2	M. Thorsby	M
77	D. Okereke	F
32	M. Payero	M
55	F. Folino	D
17	N. Faye	F
23	F. Ceccherini	D
6	F. Baschirotto	D
4	T. Barbieri	D
38	W. Bondo	M
30	M. Faye	D
22	R. Floriani	D