Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia Predicción

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Predicción Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: Sportiko le da a Panathinaikos un 70% de probabilidad de ganar, a CSKA Sofia un 10% y al empate un 20%. Última actualización: 5 Nov 2026, 21:54.

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Match Report

Panathinaikos secured a 2–1 victory over CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage, with the match's decisive moments arriving in a dramatic spell just before half-time. Davide Calabria opened the scoring in the 41st minute, only for Dinis Almeida to equalise three minutes later, sending the teams into the break level. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Panathinaikos win as the most likely outcome at 70%, a call that ultimately proved correct.

The Greek side dominated proceedings throughout, controlling 62% of possession and generating 23 total shots to CSKA Sofia's nine, with an expected goals figure of 2.51 reflecting their sustained pressure. Vicente Taborda's goal in the 68th minute proved to be the decisive moment, giving Panathinaikos the lead they would not relinquish.

The closing stages saw a flurry of bookings and substitutions from both sides, with yellow cards shown to Etienne Camara and Santino Andino among others, but Panathinaikos managed the game comfortably to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Davide Calabria assist: Vicente Taborda
41' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 44'
Dinis Almeida assist: Stefano Sensi
Rick Van Drongelen Yellow Card
45' ▮
HT 1–1
⇄ 46'
I. Pittas ⇄ M. Ebong
⇄ 46'
I. Solet Bomawoko ⇄ Bruno Jordão
Imrân Louza Yellow Card
53' ▮
⇄ 55'
Pastor ⇄ Tamimou Ouorou
Elmin Rastoder ⇄ Andreas Tetteh
64' ⇄
Imrân Louza ⇄ Etienne Camara
65' ⇄
Vicente Taborda assist: Andreas Tetteh
68' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 70'
Stefano Sensi ⇄ Mohamed Amine Brahimi
Levi García ⇄ Cyriel Dessers
76' ⇄
Etienne Camara Yellow Card
78' ▮
⇄ 80'
Andrey Yordanov ⇄ Joël Zwarts
Santino Andino Yellow Card
81' ▮
Santino Andino ⇄ Adriano Jagušić
85' ⇄
FT 2–1
Panathinaikos

Match Stats

CSKA Sofia
62% Ball Possession 38%
2.51 Expected Goals (xG) 1.06
23 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
18 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 2
10 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 10
490 Total passes 306
400 Passes accurate 224
82% Passes % 73%
0.93 goals_prevented 0.93
Panathinaikos
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Davide Calabria D 8.9 86' 1 – 4 51 (44%) 3
77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos D 8.0 86' – – 2 52 (39%) 4
20 Vicente Taborda M 7.6 86' 1 1 1 52 (35%) 4
42 Kings Kangwa M 7.5 86' – – 1 44 (39%) 5
1 Iñaki Peña G 7.3 86' – – – 34 (27%) –
99 Levi García M 7.3 76' – – 4 21 (19%) 1
26 Imrân Louza M 7.3 65' – – – 55 (44%) 1
55 Rick Van Drongelen D 7.2 86' – – 1 43 (41%) –
6 Stefan de Vrij D 6.9 86' – – – 54 (47%) 1
7 Andreas Tetteh F 6.9 22' – 1 – 9 (5%) –
10 Santino Andino M 6.9 85' – – 3 33 (26%) 2
74 Elmin Rastoder F 6.7 64' – – 4 16 (13%) –
22 Etienne Camara M 6.3 21' – – – 20 (18%) –
9 Cyriel Dessers F 6.2 10' – – – 4 (2%) –
8 Adriano Jagušić M — 1' – – – 2 (1%) –
CSKA Sofia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 F. Lapoukhov G 8.6 86' – – – 30 (14%) –
4 Dinis Almeida D 7.9 86' 1 – 1 28 (24%) 3
17 Ángelo Martino D 7.0 86' – – 1 35 (26%) 2
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin M 6.9 86' – – 1 39 (30%) 7
3 Tamimou Ouorou D 6.9 31' – – – 15 (12%) 1
14 T. Ivanov D 6.9 86' – – – 31 (27%) 1
7 M. Ebong M 6.9 41' – – 1 11 (4%) 2
19 Andrey Yordanov M 6.9 80' – – 1 10 (8%) 2
2 Pastor D 6.7 55' – – – 17 (13%) 4
8 Stefano Sensi M 6.7 70' – 1 1 30 (26%) –
94 I. Solet Bomawoko M 6.5 45' – – – 16 (12%) 2
28 I. Pittas M 6.3 45' – – – 11 (6%) 2
9 Leandro Godoy F 6.3 86' – – 2 14 (12%) 2
6 Bruno Jordão M 6.2 41' – – – 18 (10%) 1
11 Mohamed Amine Brahimi M 6.2 16' – – – 1 –
10 Joël Zwarts F — 6' – – – – –
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Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia

  • Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
  • Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Confidence Medium (70%)

At a glance

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Panathinaikos gana o empata
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Panathinaikos
WWWWW
CSKA Sofia
LDWDW

Live insights

77' time check 80% sure

Min 77: Panathinaikos leads 2-1. Win probability: 92.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 7.7%.

69' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Panathinaikos win: 90.1%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 33.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 54.6%, Away win 2H: 11.5%.

42' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Panathinaikos win: 88.5%. BTTS: 35.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
70%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
10%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Panathinaikos
C. Dessers 6 gls
CSKA Sofia

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Panathinaikos — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H CSKA Sofia W 2 - 1
01 Nov H AEK Athens FC W 2 - 0
28 Oct H Aris Thessalonikis W 2 - 1
25 Oct A Volos NFC W 0 - 1
22 Oct A Kairat Almaty W 1 - 5

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Panathinaikos L 2 - 1
31 Oct H Slavia Sofia D 0 - 0
26 Oct H Ludogorets W 2 - 0
22 Oct A FC Nordsjaelland D 2 - 2
18 Oct A Nesebar W 0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Panathinaikos

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
1 Peña
77 Kyriakopoulos
55 Drongelen
6 Vrij
2 Calabria
42 Kangwa
26 Louza
10 Andino
99 García
20 Taborda
74 Rastoder

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Iñaki Peña G
2 Davide Calabria D
6 Stefan de Vrij D
55 Rick Van Drongelen D
77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos D
26 Imrân Louza M
42 Kings Kangwa M
20 Vicente Taborda M
99 Levi García M
10 Santino Andino M
74 Elmin Rastoder F

Substitutes

71 Christos Gitonas G
70 Konstantinos Kotsaris G
3 Georgios Katris D
14 Erik Palmer Brown D
19 Triantafyllos Tsapras M
4 Pedro Chirivella M
8 Adriano Jagušić M
18 Sotiris Kontouris M
22 Etienne Camara M
28 Facundo Pellistri M
7 Andreas Tetteh F
9 Cyriel Dessers F

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
21 Lapoukhov
17 Martino
4 Almeida
14 Ivanov
2 Pastor
5 Gbamin
19 Yordanov
8 Sensi
94 Solet
28 Pittas
9 Godoy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 Fedor Lapoukhov G
2 Pastor D
14 Teodor Ivanov D
4 Dinis Almeida D
17 Ángelo Martino D
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin M
28 Ioannis Pittas M
94 Isaac Solet M
8 Stefano Sensi M
19 Andrey Yordanov M
9 Leandro Godoy F

Substitutes

7 Max Ebong M
6 Bruno Jordão M
3 Tamimou Ouorou D
25 Dimitar Evtimov G
91 Aleks Tunchev D
32 Facundo Rodríguez D
99 James Eto'o M
67 Cătălin Itu M
34 Vasil Kaymakanov F
30 Petko Panayotov M
11 Mohamed Amine Brahimi M
10 Joël Zwarts F

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