Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty Predicción

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Llamada IA Atalanta gana o empata
77%
14%
9%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: Sportiko le da a Atalanta un 77% de probabilidad de ganar, a Kairat Almaty un 9% y al empate un 14%. Última actualización: 5 Nov 2026, 19:41.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Match Report

Atalanta dominated possession and territory throughout this UEFA Europa Conference League encounter against Kairat Almaty, but a goalless first half reflected their inability to convert early pressure into chances of real quality. Three yellow cards were distributed before the break, with Kairat's Kamaldeen Sulemana booked and subsequently withdrawn at half-time.

The deadlock was broken in the second half when Marc Gual put Kairat ahead on 53 minutes against the run of play, a result that belied Atalanta's 70% possession and nine corner kicks. The hosts responded through a flurry of substitutions, and Nikola Krstović levelled matters on 82 minutes to earn Atalanta a share of the points. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win as most likely at 77%, though the hosts ultimately fell short of claiming all three points.

Atalanta's expected goals figure of 1.80 compared to Kairat's 0.73 underlined their superiority in chance creation, yet a late booking spree — three yellow cards in the final minutes — capped a frustrating evening for the Italian side, who were left to settle for a draw despite their clear statistical dominance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 20'
Gustavo Mendonca Yellow Card
Kamaldeen Sulemana Yellow Card
27' ▮
Relja Obrić Yellow Card
39' ▮
HT 0–0
Kamaldeen Sulemana ⇄ Éderson
46' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 53'
Marc Gual assist: Edmilson
Gianluca Scamacca Yellow Card
57' ▮
Lazar Samardžić ⇄ Charles De Ketelaere
58' ⇄
Jonathan Rowe ⇄ Nicola Zalewski
58' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Azamat Tuyakbayev ⇄ Oiva Jukkola
⇄ 63'
Edmilson ⇄ Ismail Bekbolat
Gianluca Scamacca ⇄ Nikola Krstović
67' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Marc Gual ⇄ Erkin Tapalov
Lorenzo Bernasconi ⇄ Davide Zappacosta
74' ⇄
Nikola Krstović assist: Relja Obrić
82' ⚽ 1–1
▮ 86'
Aleksandr Mrynskiy Yellow Card
▮ 88'
Oiva Jukkola Yellow Card
▮ 88'
Ismail Bekbolat Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Atalanta

Match Stats

Kairat Almaty
70% Ball Possession 30%
1.80 Expected Goals (xG) 0.73
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 0
2 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 2
9 Corner Kicks 2
4 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
671 Total passes 289
607 Passes accurate 214
90% Passes % 74%
1.40 goals_prevented 1.40
Atalanta
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 Relja Obrić D 8.7 90' – 1 – 73 (71%) 1
8 Mario Pašalić M 7.7 90' – – 1 87 (79%) 3
11 Jonathan Rowe M 7.7 58' – – 3 24 (19%) 4
42 Giorgio Scalvini D 7.2 90' – – 1 93 (84%) 1
90 Nikola Krstović F 7.2 23' 1 – 2 1 (1%) –
99 Eljif Elmas M 7.2 90' – – 1 66 (62%) –
13 Éderson M 7.0 45' – – 1 53 (49%) –
17 Charles De Ketelaere F 6.9 32' – – – 24 (19%) –
29 Marco Carnesecchi G 6.9 90' – – – 15 (13%) –
77 Davide Zappacosta D 6.9 16' – – – 18 (16%) –
59 Nicola Zalewski M 6.9 32' – – 1 19 (17%) –
9 Gianluca Scamacca F 6.9 67' – – 1 25 (18%) 1
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D 6.7 74' – – – 59 (56%) 1
41 J. Idele D 6.5 90' – – 1 59 (55%) 2
10 Lazar Samardžić M 6.3 58' – – 1 27 (25%) –
7 Kamaldeen Sulemana M 6.2 45' – – – 28 (23%) 1
Kairat Almaty
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Temirlan Anarbekov G 8.3 90' – – – 33 (15%) –
28 Marc Gual F 8.3 73' 1 – 1 21 (13%) 2
14 Aleksandr Martynovich D 7.5 90' – – – 27 (21%) 4
25 Aleksandr Shirobokov D 7.2 90' – – 1 34 (27%) –
13 Jaakko Oksanen M 7.2 90' – – – 16 (14%) 3
9 Edmilson F 7.0 63' – 1 – 15 (14%) 1
4 Damir Kasabulat D 6.7 82' – – – 31 (24%) 2
3 Luís Mata D 6.7 90' – – – 19 (16%) 2
81 Ismail Bekbolat F 6.7 27' – – – 6 (4%) 2
22 Gustavo Mendonca M 6.5 82' – – 1 28 (25%) –
19 Oiva Jukkola M 6.5 27' – – – 9 (6%) –
6 Adilet Sadybekov M 6.5 8' – – – – –
8 Olzhas Baibek M 6.3 8' – – – 4 (1%) –
24 Aleksandr Mrynskiy D 6.2 90' – – 1 26 (19%) 5
20 Erkin Tapalov D 6.2 17' – – – 1 –
17 Azamat Tuyakbayev M 6.2 63' – – – 19 (15%) 1
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Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty

  • Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
  • Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Confidence High (77%)

At a glance

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Atalanta gana o empata
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Atalanta
DLDDL
Kairat Almaty
DDDLW

Live insights

82' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 78%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 78%. Late goal chance: 23.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Kairat Almaty leads 0-1. Win probability: 79.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20.4%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Kairat Almaty win: 66.1%. BTTS: 51.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 76.5%. Over 1.5 remaining: 46.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Kairat Almaty D 1 - 1
02 Nov H Parma L 0 - 3
29 Oct A Fiorentina D 2 - 2
25 Oct H Frosinone D 4 - 4
22 Oct A Ajax L 2 - 0

Kairat Almaty — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Atalanta D 1 - 1
31 Oct H Altay D 1 - 1
25 Oct A Aktobe D 2 - 2
22 Oct H Panathinaikos L 1 - 5
18 Oct H Irtysh W 5 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Atalanta

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
29 Carnesecchi
47 Bernasconi
40 Obrić
42 Scalvini
41 Idele
8 Pašalić
99 Elmas
11 Rowe
10 Samardžić
7 Sulemana
9 Scamacca

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 Marco Carnesecchi G
41 Javison Idele D
42 Giorgio Scalvini D
40 Relja Obrić D
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D
99 Eljif Elmas M
8 Mario Pašalić M
7 Kamaldeen Sulemana M
10 Lazar Samardžić M
11 Jonathan Rowe M
9 Gianluca Scamacca F

Substitutes

13 Éderson M
59 Nicola Zalewski M
17 Charles De Ketelaere F
90 Nikola Krstović F
77 Davide Zappacosta D
57 Marco Sportiello G
51 Mattia Sonzogni G
56 Albert Navarro D
55 Isaac Isoa D
46 Sergej Levak M
44 Federico Steffanoni M

Kairat Almaty

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Anarbekov
3 Mata
4 Kasabulat
14 Martynovich
25 Shirobokov
24 Mrynskiy
13 Oksanen
22 Mendonca
17 Tuyakbayev
28 Gual
9 Edmilson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Temirlan Anarbekov G
24 Aleksandr Mrynskiy D
25 Aleksandr Shirobokov D
14 Aleksandr Martynovich D
4 Damir Kasabulat D
3 Luís Mata D
17 Azamat Tuyakbayev M
22 Gustavo Mendonca M
13 Jaakko Oksanen M
9 Edmilson F
28 Marc Gual F

Substitutes

19 Oiva Jukkola M
81 Ismail Bekbolat F
20 Erkin Tapalov D
82 Sherkhan Kalmurza G
5 Lev Kurgin D
6 Adilet Sadybekov M
8 Olzhas Baibek M
15 Mansur Birkurmanov F

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