Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth Predicción

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
epet ARENA, Praha
Llamada IA Bournemouth gana o empata
13%
21%
66%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: Sportiko le da a Sparta Praha un 13% de probabilidad de ganar, a Bournemouth un 66% y al empate un 21%. Última actualización: 5 Nov 2026, 19:41.

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Match Report

Sparta Praha took an early grip on proceedings, dominating possession and creating chances at the Letná Stadium, but the match turned dramatically in Bournemouth's favour before the break. Ebrima Singhateh gave the hosts a 35th-minute lead following Lewis Cook's missed penalty moments earlier, yet Sparta were immediately reduced to ten men when Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal received his second yellow card just two minutes later, fundamentally altering the contest.

Bournemouth capitalised swiftly in the second half, with Tyler Adams levelling on 57 minutes before Evanilson put the visitors ahead on 81 minutes. A late goal from Rayan sealed a 3–1 victory and completed a remarkable turnaround. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bournemouth win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved well-founded. Despite Sparta's statistical dominance — 58% possession, ten corners and nine shots on target — the red card proved the decisive turning point.

Bournemouth's clinical finishing belied their relatively modest shot count of twelve, with an expected goals figure of 1.97 suggesting the scoreline was a fair reflection of a disciplined away performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal Yellow Card
6' ▮
▮ 20'
Ryan Christie Yellow Card
Ki-Jana Hoever Yellow Card
30' ▮
✗ 30'
Lewis Cook Missed Penalty
Ebrima Singhateh assist: Jakub Surovčík
35' ⚽ 1–0
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal Red Card
37' ▮
Jonatan Braut Brunes ⇄ Jaroslav Zelený
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Adam Smith ⇄ Tyler Adams
HT 1–0
▮ 55'
Amine Adli Yellow Card
⚽ 1–1 57'
Tyler Adams
⇄ 60'
J. Soler ⇄ Adrien Truffert
⇄ 60'
Ben Gannon-Doak ⇄ Marcus Tavernier
⇄ 60'
Amine Adli ⇄ Evanilson
Andy Irving ⇄ Matěj Jurásek
68' ⇄
⇄ 72'
David Brooks ⇄ Rayan
Ebrima Singhateh ⇄ Santiago Eneme
78' ⇄
Josimar Alcócer ⇄ Hugo Sochurek
79' ⇄
⚽ 1–2 81'
Evanilson assist: Ryan Christie
Matěj Jurásek Yellow Card
84' ▮
Roman Macek ⇄ Matyáš Vojta
87' ⇄
⚽ 1–3 90'
Rayan assist: Evanilson
FT 1–3
Sparta Praha

Match Stats

Bournemouth
42% Ball Possession 58%
1.97 Expected Goals (xG) 2.11
12 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Goal 9
6 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 15
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 10
1 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
383 Total passes 525
311 Passes accurate 451
10 Free Kicks 8
Sparta Praha
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Ebrima Singhateh F 8.2 78' 1 – 2 12 (10%) 1
44 Jakub Surovčík G 7.5 90' – 1 – 38 (19%) –
22 Loïc Mbe Soh D 6.9 90' – – 1 46 (41%) 2
20 Sivert Mannsverk M 6.7 90' – – 1 43 (39%) 2
30 Jaroslav Zelený D 6.4 44' – – – 25 (22%) –
7 Josimar Alcócer F 6.4 79' – – 2 16 (16%) 1
18 Andy Irving M 6.2 68' – – 2 43 (35%) 1
29 Matyáš Vojta F 6.2 3' – – – 1 (1%) –
14 Jonatan Braut Brunes F 6.1 46' – – 2 3 (3%) –
25 Ki-Jana Hoever D 6.0 90' – – 1 37 (26%) 2
28 Roman Macek M 6.0 87' – – – 34 (28%) 3
38 Hugo Sochurek M 5.9 11' – – – 3 (2%) –
2 Martin Suchomel D 5.9 90' – – – 39 (29%) 1
5 Santiago Eneme M 5.8 12' – – 1 9 (8%) 1
31 Matěj Jurásek M 5.7 22' – – – 2 (1%) –
6 Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal D 5.4 37' – – – 33 (32%) –
Bournemouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Tyler Adams M 8.2 44' 1 – 1 55 (51%) –
9 Evanilson F 7.8 30' 1 1 1 14 (12%) 1
10 Ryan Christie M 7.5 90' – 1 – 71 (63%) 4
37 Rayan F 7.4 18' 1 – 1 9 (8%) –
18 Bafodé Diakité D 7.2 90' – – 3 90 (80%) 5
11 Ben Gannon-Doak M 6.9 60' – – 2 13 (13%) 2
15 Adam Smith D 6.8 46' – – – 13 (12%) 2
20 Michele Di Gregorio G 6.7 90' – – – 23 (15%) –
6 J. Soler D 6.7 60' – – – 30 (26%) 2
5 James Hill D 6.6 90' – – 2 68 (57%) 1
7 David Brooks M 6.6 72' – – 2 27 (21%) 1
3 Adrien Truffert D 6.4 30' – – – 18 (17%) 2
30 Álvaro Rodriguez F 6.3 90' – – 5 19 (13%) –
16 Marcus Tavernier M 6.3 30' – – – 18 (16%) 1
4 Lewis Cook M 6.3 90' – – 2 51 (43%) 1
21 Amine Adli M 6.1 60' – – 1 19 (17%) 2
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Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth

  • Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
  • Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
  • Tipos de selección que eliges
Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Bournemouth gana o empata
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Sparta Praha
LDLWL
Bournemouth
WWWWW

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Bournemouth now leads 1-3 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

82' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Bournemouth win probability: 95.2%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 23.1%.

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Bournemouth leads 1-2. Win probability: 95.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 4.8%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 64.3%. Late goal chance: 38.7%.

57' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 43%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Sparta Praha

No scorer data.

Bournemouth
Rayan 3 gls

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Head to Head: Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Sparta Praha — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Bournemouth L 1 - 3
01 Nov A Bohemians 1905 D 0 - 0
28 Oct H Baník Ostrava L 0 - 2
25 Oct H Slovácko W 5 - 1
22 Oct A Olympiakos Piraeus L 1 - 0

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Sparta Praha W 1 - 3
31 Oct H Leeds W 2 - 0
28 Oct H Aston Villa W 3 - 0
25 Oct A Manchester United W 0 - 3
22 Oct H AC Milan W 3 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Bournemouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Rose
20 Gregorio
6 Soler
18 Diakité
5 Hill
15 Smith
10 Christie
4 Cook
7 Brooks
21 Adli
11 Doak
30 Rodríguez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 M. Di Gregorio G
15 A. Smith D
5 J. Hill D
18 B. Diakité D
6 J. Soler D
4 L. Cook M
10 R. Christie M
11 B. Doak M
21 A. Adli M
7 D. Brooks M
30 Á. Rodríguez F

Substitutes

16 M. Tavernier M
14 António Silva D
37 Rayan F
1 Đ. Petrović G
19 J. Kluivert F
9 Evanilson F
55 M. Allan G
12 T. Adams M
3 A. Truffert D

Sparta Praha

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
44 Surovčík
2 Suchomel
6 Guddal
22 Soh
25 Hoever
18 Irving
20 Mannsverk
28 Macek
7 Alcócer
14 Brunes
27 Singhateh

Starting XI

# Player Pos
44 J. Surovčík G
25 K. Hoever D
22 L. Mbe Soh D
6 T. Guddal D
2 M. Suchomel D
28 R. Macek M
20 S. Mannsverk M
18 A. Irving M
27 E. Singhateh F
14 J. Braut Brunes F
7 J. Alcócer F

Substitutes

65 Stepan Dyntar G
30 J. Zelený D
26 P. Vydra M
5 Santiago Eneme M
21 J. Grimaldo F
47 K. Hegyi G
31 M. Jurásek M
3 P. Kadeřábek D
4 J. Martinec D
38 H. Sochurek M
15 V. Vitályos D
29 M. Vojta F

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