Manchester United vs AS Roma Predicción
Predicción Manchester United vs AS Roma: Sportiko le da a Manchester United un 43% de probabilidad de ganar, a AS Roma un 32% y al empate un 26%. Última actualización: 3 Nov 2026, 21:56.
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Match Report
Manchester United produced a stunning second-half comeback to defeat AS Roma 3–2 in their UEFA Champions League league stage encounter, despite trailing by two goals at the interval. Roma had looked sharp in the opening exchanges, with Matías Soulé breaking the deadlock in the 11th minute before Donyell Malen converted a penalty six minutes later to double the visitors' lead. A flurry of yellow cards added to a feisty atmosphere before the break, with both sides making tactical substitutions as the half drew to a close.
United were transformed after the restart. Bruno Fernandes pulled one back from the spot in the 58th minute following a VAR review, and the hosts gradually asserted their dominance, reflected in their 53% possession and an expected goals figure of 2.8 against Roma's 1.59. Our pre-match AI model had rated a United win as the most likely outcome at 43%, and that assessment proved well-founded.
Matheus Cunha then delivered the decisive blows, netting twice in quick succession in the 83rd and 86th minutes to complete a remarkable turnaround. His evening ended on a sour note, however, receiving a yellow card moments after his winner before being sent off in stoppage time.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Manchester United
Match Stats
Manchester United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Matheus Cunha M | 8.4 | 91' | 2 | – | 4 | 33 (25%) | 3 |
| 8 Bruno Fernandes M | 7.3 | 88' | 1 | – | 4 | 53 (46%) | – |
| 31 Shea Lacey F | 6.8 | 15' | – | 1 | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 16 Amad Diallo M | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | 2 |
| 2 Diogo Dalot D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 38 (32%) | 4 |
| 18 Youri Tielemans M | 6.6 | 39' | – | – | – | 26 (25%) | – |
| 6 Lisandro Martínez D | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 37 Kobbie Mainoo M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 80 (67%) | 3 |
| 20 Carlos Baleba M | 6.4 | 51' | – | – | 1 | 32 (26%) | – |
| 1 Senne Lammens G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (18%) | – |
| 19 Bryan Mbeumo F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | 2 |
| 26 Ayden Heaven D | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | 2 |
| 15 Leny Yoro D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 5 Harry Maguire D | 6.2 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 55 (49%) | 1 |
| 4 M. de Ligt D | 6.1 | 2' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 7 Mason Mount M | 6.0 | 2' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Rodrigo Mora M | 7.5 | 46' | – | 1 | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 26 Leonardo Balerdi D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (40%) | 3 |
| 18 Matías Soulé M | 6.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 46 (34%) | 1 |
| 14 D. Malen F | 6.6 | 78' | 1 | – | 2 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | 1 |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (43%) | 4 |
| 9 Santiago Castro F | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 4 Bryan Cristante M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (47%) | 1 |
| 87 Daniele Ghilardi D | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 6.1 | 14' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 6.0 | 75' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 2 |
| 77 Emanuele Lulli D | 6.0 | 69' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 2 Devyne Rensch M | 5.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 43 Wesley M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 6 |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 5.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 32 Devis Vásquez G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (19%) | – |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Manchester United vs AS Roma
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Late goal makes it 3-2! Manchester United win probability: 94.1%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 13.5%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 81.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Min 75: AS Roma leads 1-2. Win probability: 80%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20%.
Goal! Score now 1-2. AS Roma win: 70.9%. BTTS: 100%.
Half-time: 0-2. AS Roma leads. Win probability: 87.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 78.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
D. Malen
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Manchester United vs AS Roma
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May 2021 | AS Roma | 3 - 2 | Manchester United |
| 29 Apr 2021 | Manchester United | 6 - 2 | AS Roma |
Manchester United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H AS Roma | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Chelsea | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Bournemouth | L | 0 - 3 |
| 21 Oct | A Como | L | 4 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Leeds | D | 1 - 1 |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Sassuolo | W | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Manchester United | L | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Udinese | W | 2 - 5 |
| 27 Oct | H Cagliari | W | 4 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Napoli | D | 3 - 3 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Manchester United
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Carrick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lammens | G |
| 15 | L. Yoro | D |
| 5 | H. Maguire | D |
| 26 | A. Heaven | D |
| 2 | Diogo Dalot | D |
| 20 | C. Baleba | M |
| 37 | K. Mainoo | M |
| 16 | A. Diallo | M |
| 8 | Bruno Fernandes | M |
| 10 | Matheus Cunha | M |
| 19 | B. Mbeumo | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | N. Mazraoui | D |
| 6 | Lisandro Martínez | D |
| 31 | S. Lacey | F |
| 22 | T. Heaton | G |
| 39 | T. Fletcher | M |
| 12 | K. Darlow | G |
| 7 | M. Mount | M |
| 17 | Andrey Santos | M |
| 18 | Y. Tielemans | M |
| 11 | J. Zirkzee | F |
| 4 | M. de Ligt | D |
| 41 | H. Amass | D |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: G. Gasperini
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | D. Vásquez | G |
| 23 | G. Mancini | D |
| 26 | L. Balerdi | D |
| 22 | Hermoso | D |
| 2 | D. Rensch | M |
| 4 | B. Cristante | M |
| 15 | M. de Roon | M |
| 43 | Wesley | M |
| 18 | M. Soulé | M |
| 86 | Rodrigo Mora | M |
| 14 | D. Malen | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | N. Molina | D |
| 77 | E. Lulli | D |
| 3 | K. Koulierakis | D |
| 87 | D. Ghilardi | D |
| 63 | Alessandro Di Nunzio | M |
| 70 | G. De Marzi | G |
| 9 | S. Castro | F |
| 61 | N. Pisilli | M |
| 5 | E. Ndicka | D |