Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Predicción

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 38
FT
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Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Llamada IA Real Madrid gana o empata
77%
15%
9%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Real Madrid vs Athletic Club: Sportiko le da a Real Madrid un 77% de probabilidad de ganar, a Athletic Club un 9% y al empate un 15%. Última actualización: 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Real Madrid
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Kylian Mbappé F 8.2 90' 1 – 5 39 (31%) –
5 Jude Bellingham M 7.6 74' 1 – 2 55 (51%) –
16 Gonzalo García F 7.5 74' 1 – 1 13 (13%) –
21 Brahim Díaz M 7.3 16' 1 – 1 4 (4%) –
45 Thiago Pitarch M 7.3 90' – 2 2 87 (79%) 2
8 Federico Valverde M 6.9 90' – – 1 95 (89%) –
4 David Alaba D 6.9 70' – – 1 97 (90%) –
18 Álvaro Carreras D 6.9 90' – 1 – 83 (71%) –
15 Arda Güler M 6.7 16' – – – 4 (4%) –
17 Raúl Asencio D 6.6 90' – – – 93 (87%) –
30 Franco Mastantuono M 6.6 74' – – – 31 (26%) –
2 Daniel Carvajal D 6.6 84' – 1 – 52 (44%) –
19 Dani Ceballos M 6.5 16' – – – 12 (12%) –
1 Thibaut Courtois G 6.3 90' – – – 54 (51%) –
24 Dean Huijsen D 6.2 20' – – – 18 (15%) –
51 Manuel Serrano Salazar D 6.2 8' – – – 8 (8%) –
Athletic Club
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Urko Izeta F 7.3 16' 1 – 1 2 (2%) –
11 Gorka Guruzeta F 7.2 74' 1 – 4 21 (13%) –
9 Iñaki Williams M 6.9 90' – 2 – 14 (5%) 1
30 Alejandro Rego M 6.7 30' – – – 15 (14%) –
23 Robert Navarro M 6.5 90' – – 1 25 (20%) –
16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta M 6.3 60' – – – 23 (15%) –
15 Íñigo Lekue D 6.3 30' – – – 9 (8%) –
5 Yeray Álvarez D 6.2 45' – – – 10 (5%) –
18 Mikel Jauregizar M 6.2 85' – – – 24 (13%) 4
20 Unai Gómez M 6.0 60' – – – 6 (6%) –
19 Adama Boiro D 6.0 90' – – 1 16 (14%) –
2 Andoni Gorosabel D 5.9 45' – – – 7 (6%) –
3 Daniel Vivian D 5.7 90' – – – 22 (19%) 3
4 Aitor Paredes D 5.7 90' – – – 27 (23%) –
27 Alex Padilla G 5.2 90' – – – 31 (11%) –
6 Mikel Vesga M — 5' – – – 2 (2%) –
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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Real Madrid gana o empata
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Real Madrid
LWWWL
Athletic Club
DDWWL
Last 3 meetings Real Madrid · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash on May 24, 2026, Real Madrid will host Athletic Club at the Santiago Bernabéu. Real Madrid has a strong home record, securing an average of 2.4 goals per game this season, driven by their potent attacking trio. Conversely, Athletic Club has struggled defensively on the road, conceding 1.8 goals per game, which could be a significant vulnerability. Historically, Real Madrid has dominated this fixture, winning 75% of their last 12 encounters. Expect Madrid to leverage their home advantage, aiming for a decisive victory to bolster their title ambitions.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Real Madrid
Kylian Mbappé 7 gls
J. Bellingham 3 gls
Athletic Club

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Real Madrid vs Athletic Club

2 Real Madrid Wins
0 Draws
1 Athletic Club Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Dec 2025 Athletic Club 0 - 3 Real Madrid
20 Apr 2025 Real Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club
04 Dec 2024 Athletic Club 2 - 1 Real Madrid
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Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Atletico Madrid L 2 - 1
15 Sep A Elche W 2 - 3
12 Sep H Rayo Vallecano W 4 - 1
08 Sep H Inter W 2 - 1
04 Sep A Real Betis L 1 - 0

Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Alaves D 0 - 0
12 Sep H Elche D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Atletico Madrid W 3 - 0
30 Aug A Celta Vigo W 0 - 2
27 Aug A Barcelona L 2 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Athletic Club

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ernesto Valverde
27 Padilla
19 Boiro
4 Paredes
5 Alvarez
3 Vivian
18 Jauregizar
16 Galarreta
23 Navarro
20 Gomez
9 Williams
11 Guruzeta

Starting XI

# Player Pos
27 A. Padilla G
3 D. Vivian D
5 Y. Alvarez D
4 A. Paredes D
19 A. Boiro D
16 I. Ruiz de Galarreta M
18 M. Jauregizar M
9 I. Williams M
20 U. Gomez M
23 R. Navarro M
11 G. Guruzeta F

Substitutes

1 U. Simon G
14 A. Laporte D
15 I. Lekue D
2 A. Gorosabel D
12 J. Areso D
22 N. Serrano F
30 A. Rego M
40 E. Gift F
6 M. Vesga M
25 Izeta F
24 B. Prados Diaz M
21 M. Sannadi F

Real Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa
1 Courtois
18 Carreras
4 Alaba
17 Asencio
2 Carvajal
45 Pitarch
8 Valverde
5 Bellingham
30 Mastantuono
10 Mbappe
16 Garcia

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 T. Courtois G
2 D. Carvajal D
17 R. Asencio D
4 D. Alaba D
18 A. Carreras D
30 F. Mastantuono M
5 J. Bellingham M
8 F. Valverde M
45 T. Pitarch M
16 G. Garcia F
10 K. Mbappe F

Substitutes

50 A. Gonzalez G
13 A. Lunin G
22 A. Rudiger D
14 A. Tchouameni M
6 E. Camavinga M
24 D. Huijsen D
19 D. Ceballos M
21 B. Diaz M
20 F. Garcia D
15 A. Guler M
51 M. Serrano D

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