Alaves vs Mallorca Predicción
Predicción Alaves vs Mallorca: Sportiko le da a Alaves un 45% de probabilidad de ganar, a Mallorca un 26% y al empate un 29%. Última actualización: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Mallorca made a bright start at Mendizorroza, taking the lead through Jan Virgili's 18th-minute strike to head into half-time ahead. Alaves had struggled to create in the opening period, but the statistics told a different story in terms of overall threat, with the hosts generating significantly more danger across the 90 minutes.
The second half belonged entirely to Alaves. Toni Martínez levelled on 56 minutes before striking again just 13 minutes later to put the hosts in front, completing a decisive personal contribution before being withdrawn in the 81st minute. The turnaround was well-supported by the underlying numbers — Alaves finished with an expected goals figure of 1.22 compared to a remarkably low 0.22 for Mallorca, who managed only four total shots all evening.
The hosts also dominated set-piece opportunities, earning nine corners to Mallorca's four. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Alaves victory as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct as Alaves secured all three points in a comfortable second-half display.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Alaves
Match Stats
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 9.2 | 81' | 2 | – | 2 | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 7 Ángel Pérez D | 7.0 | 81' | – | 1 | – | 34 (25%) | 1 |
| 17 Jonny Otto D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 72 (64%) | – |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (44%) | 2 |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 6.9 | 27' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 22 Ibrahim Diabaté F | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 5 Jon Pacheco D | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| 18 Jon Guridi M | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 20 Calebe Gonçalves M | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (36%) | 5 |
| 10 Carles Aleñá M | 6.6 | 63' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 1 |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (46%) | 3 |
| 24 Victor Parada D | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 23 (21%) | 2 |
| 15 Lucas Boyé F | — | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
Mallorca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Omar Mascarell M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (39%) | 1 |
| 1 Leo Román G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (40%) | – |
| 8 Manu Morlanes M | 7.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 17 Jan Virgili F | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 10 Sergi Darder M | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 3 Toni Lato D | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 24 Martin Valjent D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (52%) | 3 |
| 12 Samú Costa M | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 44 (35%) | 1 |
| 27 David López D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (57%) | 1 |
| 20 Pablo Torre M | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | 2 |
| 2 Mateu Morey D | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 22 Johan Mojica D | 6.3 | 86' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 2 |
| 23 Pablo Maffeo D | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | 4 |
| 7 Vedat Muriqi F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (9%) | – |
| 9 Abdón Prats F | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Alaves vs Mallorca
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
- Ventaja de Valor — modelo vs. mercado
- Tipos de selección que eliges
At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Boyé
4 gls
M. Díaz
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Alaves vs Mallorca
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Mallorca | 1 - 0 | Alaves |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Mallorca | 1 - 1 | Alaves |
| 01 Nov 2024 | Alaves | 1 - 0 | Mallorca |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Athletic Club | D | 0 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Valencia | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Racing Santander | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 5 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | H Villarreal | W | 1 - 0 |
Mallorca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Real Sociedad II | W | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Sabadell | W | 2 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Eldense | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H AD Ceuta FC | W | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | A Granada CF | L | 2 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Alaves
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Quique Sanchez Flores
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Sivera | G |
| 7 | A. Perez | D |
| 17 | Jonny Otto | D |
| 14 | N. Tenaglia | D |
| 24 | V. Parada | D |
| 21 | A. Rebbach | D |
| 19 | P. Ibanez | M |
| 8 | A. Blanco | M |
| 10 | C. Alena | M |
| 11 | T. Martinez | F |
| 15 | L. Boye | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | R. Fernandez | G |
| 31 | G. Swiderski | G |
| 4 | D. Suarez | M |
| 16 | V. Koski | D |
| 22 | I. Diabate | F |
| 3 | Yusi | D |
| 27 | E. Munoz | - |
| 9 | M. Diaz | F |
| 18 | J. Guridi | M |
| 6 | A. Guevara | M |
| 5 | J. Pacheco | D |
| 20 | Calebe | M |
Mallorca
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: Martin Demichelis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Roman | G |
| 23 | P. Maffeo | D |
| 27 | D. Lopez | D |
| 24 | M. Valjent | D |
| 22 | J. Mojica | D |
| 12 | Samu Costa | M |
| 5 | O. Mascarell | M |
| 10 | S. Darder | M |
| 20 | P. Torre | M |
| 7 | V. Muriqi | F |
| 17 | J. Virgili | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Pichu Cuellar | G |
| 9 | A. Prats | F |
| 11 | T. Asano | F |
| 6 | A. Sanchez | M |
| 19 | J. Llabres | F |
| 28 | C. Riba | M |
| 3 | T. Lato | D |
| 8 | M. Morlanes | M |
| 2 | M. Morey Bauza | D |
| 30 | J. Kalumba | F |
| 34 | J. Olaizola | D |
| 39 | J. Garcia | M |