Oviedo vs Villarreal Predicción

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Llamada IA Villarreal gana o empata
13%
20%
67%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Oviedo vs Villarreal: Sportiko le da a Oviedo un 13% de probabilidad de ganar, a Villarreal un 67% y al empate un 20%. Última actualización: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Villarreal made a fast start at the Carlos Tartiere, with a VAR-confirmed penalty converted by Nicolas Pépé in the 13th minute giving the visitors a deserved lead. The Yellow Submarine dominated possession at 58% and generated 15 total shots across the match, yet struggled to convert that territorial advantage into further goals before the break.

Oviedo grew into the contest in the second half, and their persistence paid off when Ilyas Chaira equalised with a normal goal in the 69th minute, sparking a flurry of substitutions from both sides as managers looked to find a winner. Despite Villarreal's seven corner kicks to Oviedo's none, the hosts actually edged the expected goals metric at 1.39 to 0.80, suggesting the draw was a fair reflection of the chances created.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as the most likely outcome at 67%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark. The point leaves both sides with work to do as the season enters its final stages.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

🖵 9'
Nicolas Pépé Penalty confirmed
⚽ 0–1 13'
Nicolas Pépé Penalty
Aarón Escandell Yellow Card
37' ▮
HT 0–1
⇄ 46'
Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Georges Mikautadze
⇄ 63'
Alfon González ⇄ Alberto Moleiro
⇄ 63'
Tani Oluwaseyi ⇄ Ayoze Pérez
Ilyas Chaira
69' ⚽ 1–1
Kwasi Sibo ⇄ Ovie Ejaria
71' ⇄
Thiago Fernández ⇄ Haissem Hassan
71' ⇄
Alberto Reina ⇄ Santi Cazorla
72' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Dani Parejo ⇄ Thomas Partey
⇄ 78'
Santiago Mouriño ⇄ Alexander Freeman
Javi López ⇄ Abdel Rahim
90' ⇄
Ilyas Chaira ⇄ Pablo Agudín
90+1' ⇄
▮ 90+6'
Alberto Moleiro Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Oviedo

Match Stats

Villarreal
58% Ball Possession 42%
0.80 Expected Goals (xG) 1.39
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 0
1 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
543 Total passes 409
474 Passes accurate 336
87% Passes % 82%
-0.27 goals_prevented -0.27
Oviedo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Ilyas Chaira M 7.6 89' 1 – 3 25 (25%) 2
13 Aarón Escandell G 7.2 90' – – – 29 (17%) –
11 Santiago Colombatto M 7.2 90' – – 1 76 (69%) 5
2 Eric Bailly D 7.0 90' – – – 64 (58%) 2
10 Haissem Hassan F 6.9 19' – – – 6 (4%) –
9 Federico Viñas F 6.9 90' – – 2 15 (15%) 4
14 Ovie Ejaria F 6.9 19' – – – 14 (13%) –
25 Javi López D 6.7 89' – – – 61 (53%) 1
3 Abdel Rahim D 6.7 8' – – – 7 (3%) –
6 Kwasi Sibo M 6.6 71' – – 1 24 (22%) 1
15 Thiago Fernández M 6.6 71' – – 2 36 (30%) 1
8 Santi Cazorla M 6.6 18' – – – 14 (13%) –
22 Nacho Vidal D 6.5 90' – – 1 55 (44%) 2
5 Alberto Reina M 6.3 72' – – 1 39 (35%) 1
12 Dani Calvo D 6.2 90' – – 1 76 (71%) 1
27 Pablo Agudín M — 1' – – – 2 (2%) –
Villarreal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Nicolas Pépé F 7.9 90' 1 – 2 33 (24%) 1
25 Arnau Tenas G 7.5 90' – – – 32 (20%) –
15 Santiago Mouriño D 7.3 78' – – 1 32 (26%) 6
23 Sergi Cardona D 7.2 90' – – – 36 (27%) 3
18 Pape Gueye M 7.0 90' – – 1 50 (45%) 1
10 Dani Parejo M 7.0 78' – – – 53 (48%) 4
3 Alexander Freeman D 6.9 12' – – – 9 (7%) –
17 Tajon Buchanan M 6.7 45' – – – 9 (7%) –
16 Thomas Partey M 6.6 12' – – – 16 (13%) 1
6 Pau Navarro D 6.6 90' – – – 36 (31%) 2
21 Tani Oluwaseyi F 6.5 63' – – – 6 (5%) 1
20 Alberto Moleiro M 6.5 27' – – – 14 (12%) 1
9 Georges Mikautadze F 6.5 45' – – – 16 (14%) –
22 Ayoze Pérez F 6.5 27' – – 1 8 (6%) –
12 Renato Veiga D 6.3 90' – – – 48 (43%) –
11 Alfon González M 6.0 63' – – 1 11 (8%) –
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Villarreal gana o empata
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Oviedo
LWDWL
Villarreal
WWLLL
Last 1 meetings Oviedo · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Oviedo will host Villarreal on April 22, 2026. Oviedo has struggled against top-tier teams, reflecting a modest home record with a defensive vulnerability allowing an average of 1.5 goals per game this season. Villarreal, on the other hand, boasts a strong offensive lineup, currently ranked in the top half of the league, and averaging 2.1 goals per match. Their away form has also improved, with a recent streak of wins bolstering confidence. This match could hinge on Villarreal’s ability to exploit Oviedo’s defensive weaknesses while Oviedo will need to capitalize on any home advantage to secure points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Oviedo

No scorer data.

Villarreal
P. Gueye 3 gls
Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

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Head to Head: Oviedo vs Villarreal

0 Oviedo Wins
0 Draws
1 Villarreal Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Aug 2025 Villarreal 2 - 0 Oviedo

Oviedo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Sabadell L 3 - 1
13 Sep A Valladolid W 0 - 3
06 Sep H Burgos D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Albacete W 0 - 1
22 Aug H Leganes L 0 - 1

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Levante W 3 - 1
17 Sep A Malaga W 1 - 3
14 Sep H Real Betis L 1 - 2
08 Sep A Borussia Dortmund L 3 - 2
05 Sep H Deportivo La Coruna L 2 - 3

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Marcelino
25 Tenas
23 Cardona
12 Veiga
6 Navarro
15 Mourino
11 Gonzalez
10 Parejo
18 Gueye
17 Buchanan
21 Oluwaseyi
19 Pepe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 A. Tenas G
15 S. Mourino D
6 P. Navarro D
12 R. Veiga D
23 S. Cardona D
17 T. Buchanan M
18 P. Gueye M
10 D. Parejo M
11 A. Gonzalez M
19 N. Pepe F
21 T. Oluwaseyi F

Substitutes

1 Luiz Junior G
7 G. Moreno F
9 G. Mikautadze F
20 A. Moleiro M
5 W. Kambwala D
38 A. Diatta M
16 T. Partey M
22 A. Perez F
24 A. Pedraza D
4 R. Marin D
3 A. Freeman D

Oviedo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
13 Escandell
25 Lopez
12 Calvo
2 Bailly
22 Vidal
11 Colombatto
6 Sibo
15 Fernandez
5 Reina
7 Chaira
9 Vinas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 A. Escandell G
22 N. Vidal D
2 E. Bailly D
12 D. Calvo D
25 J. Lopez D
6 K. Sibo M
11 S. Colombatto M
7 I. Chaira M
5 A. Reina M
15 T. Fernandez M
9 F. Vinas F

Substitutes

1 H. Moldovan G
26 M. Narvaez G
8 S. Cazorla M
4 D. Costas D
14 O. Ejaria F
24 L. Ahijado D
16 D. Carmo D
10 H. Hassan F
17 T. Borbas F
3 R. Alhassane D
27 P. Agudin M

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