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HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell Predicción

UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki

Home
1 : 1
HT 0 - 0
Motherwell

Motherwell

Away
Llamada IA HJK Helsinki o empate
43%
27%
30%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell: Sportiko le da a HJK Helsinki un 43% de probabilidad de ganar, a Motherwell un 30% y al empate un 27%. Última actualización: 6 Aug 2026, 17:53.

Match Report

HJK Helsinki and Motherwell played out a tense 1–1 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the match remaining goalless at the break despite a lively opening half that saw Alex Lowry cautioned for the visitors in the 25th minute.

The second half produced a flurry of bookings and the decisive moments. Motherwell broke the deadlock on 64 minutes through Tawanda Maswanhise's penalty, only for HJK to level almost immediately when T. Pukki scored a normal goal in the 71st minute, restoring parity and setting up a tense finale. Both sides made multiple substitutions in the closing stages as the match became increasingly stretched, with Jake Girdwood-Reich picking up a late yellow card for Motherwell.

The statistics reflected a closely contested affair, with Motherwell edging possession at 51% and holding a clear advantage in shots on goal, registering five to HJK's two. Our pre-match AI model had rated an HJK Helsinki win as the most likely outcome at 43%, and while the hosts avoided defeat, the tie remains finely balanced heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 25'
Alex Lowry Yellow Card
HT 0–0
▮ 52'
Oscar Priestman Yellow Card
M. Ylitolva Yellow Card
56' ▮
Yellow Card
58' ▮
⚽ 0–1 64'
Tawanda Maswanhise Penalty
⇄ 66'
Willy Vogt ⇄ Mikey Booth
⇄ 66'
Lukas Fadinger ⇄ Olly Whyte
M. Ylitolva ⇄ K. Simojoki
66' ⇄
M. Borchers ⇄ T. Pukki
70' ⇄
P. Mentu ⇄ L. Lingman
70' ⇄
T. Pukki assist: K. Simojoki
71' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 73'
Alex Lowry ⇄ Jamie Knight-Lebel
⇄ 80'
Regan Charles-Cook
⇄ 80'
Emmanuel Longelo ⇄ Luca Ross
⇄ Alfie Cicale
80' ⇄
S. Haarala ⇄ L. Lappalainen
80' ⇄
▮ 81'
Jake Girdwood-Reich Yellow Card
FT 1–1
HJK Helsinki

Match Stats

Motherwell
51% Ball Possession 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
5 Shots on Goal 2
0 Shots off Goal 1
0 Blocked Shots 2
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
4 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

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HJK Helsinki o empate
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HJK Helsinki
DDWLW
Motherwell
LLLWD
Last 1 meetings HJK Helsinki · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

HJK Helsinki faces Motherwell in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams looking to secure valuable points. HJK boasts a strong home record in European competitions, emphasizing their tactical discipline and defensive solidity. Conversely, Motherwell has shown resilience in away fixtures but may struggle against HJK's heightened attacking threat. Key players to watch include HJK's top scorer, who has consistently found the net, and Motherwell's playmaker, known for his creative contributions. This matchup could hinge on set pieces and individual moments of brilliance.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
30%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell

0 HJK Helsinki Wins
0 Draws
1 Motherwell Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Aug 2026 Motherwell 2 - 0 HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Gnistan D 1 - 1
13 Sep A KuPS D 0 - 0
09 Sep H Inter Turku W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Inter Turku L 1 - 0
31 Aug A Ilves W 1 - 2

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Dundee L 2 - 1
15 Sep H Aberdeen L 0 - 4
05 Sep A Rangers L 1 - 0
02 Sep H Dundee Utd W 3 - 0
30 Aug A ST Mirren D 3 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mjallby AIF
0 0 0 0 0 0
2
Brighton
0 0 0 0 0 0
3
Monaco
0 0 0 0 0 0
4
FK Jablonec
0 0 0 0 0 0
5
Gent
0 0 0 0 0 0
6
St. Truiden
0 0 0 0 0 0
7
SC Freiburg
0 0 0 0 0 0
8
Atalanta
0 0 0 0 0 0
9
Ajax
0 0 0 0 0 0
10
Twente
0 0 0 0 0 0
11
Getafe
0 0 0 0 0 0
12
KuPS
0 0 0 0 0 0
13
CSKA Sofia
0 0 0 0 0 0
14
HNK Hajduk Split
0 0 0 0 0 0
15
Pafos
0 0 0 0 0 0
16
Aarhus
0 0 0 0 0 0
17
FC Copenhagen
0 0 0 0 0 0
18
FC Midtjylland
0 0 0 0 0 0
19
FC Nordsjaelland
0 0 0 0 0 0
20
Panathinaikos
0 0 0 0 0 0
21
Brann
0 0 0 0 0 0
22
SC Braga
0 0 0 0 0 0
23
Heart Of Midlothian
0 0 0 0 0 0
24
FC Lugano
0 0 0 0 0 0
25
FK Crvena Zvezda
0 0 0 0 0 0
26
FC Thun
0 0 0 0 0 0
27
Trabzonspor
0 0 0 0 0 0
28
Borac Banja Luka
0 0 0 0 0 0
29
Kairat Almaty
0 0 0 0 0 0
30
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0 0 0 0 0 0
31
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0 0 0 0 0 0
32
Kauno Žalgiris
0 0 0 0 0 0
33
Universitatea Craiova
0 0 0 0 0 0
34
FC Iberia 1999
0 0 0 0 0 0
35
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0 0 0 0 0 0
36
Riga
0 0 0 0 0 0

Motherwell

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Alfred Johansson
1 Paulsen
45 Longelo
3 Girdwood-Reich
5 Moormann
7 Sparrow
12 Priestman
8 Fadinger
17 Charles-Cook
11 Lowry
77 Vogt
18 Maswanhise

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alex Paulsen G
7 Tom Sparrow M
5 Martin Moormann D
3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D
45 Emmanuel Longelo D
8 Lukas Fadinger M
12 Oscar Priestman M
77 Willy Vogt F
11 Alex Lowry M
17 Regan Charles-Cook F
18 Tawanda Maswanhise F

Substitutes

25 Olly Whyte M
27 Mikey Booth M
21 Matty Connelly G
31 Jack McConnell G
23 Ewan Wilson D
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D
22 Johnny Koutroumbis D
29 Zander McAllister M
24 Luca Ross F

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Joonas Rantanen
44 Marković
14 Montano
3 Cissokho
6 Tikkanen
28 Ylitolva
8 Mentu
22 Möller
18 Mero
4 Ring
29 Haarala
9 Borchers

Starting XI

# Player Pos
44 Matej Marković G
28 Miska Ylitolva D
6 Ville Tikkanen D
3 Till Cissokho D
14 Leonel Montano D
22 Liam Möller M
8 Pyry Mentu M
29 Santeri Haarala F
4 Alexander Ring M
18 Toivo Mero M
9 Mads Borchers F

Substitutes

13 Kaius Simojoki D
10 Lucas Lingman M
20 Teemu Pukki F
1 Jesse Öst G
12 Mitja Haapanen G
5 Amara Nallo D
24 Emil Levealahti D
32 Mouhamed Gueye M
17 Martin Kirilov M
7 Alfie Cicale M
15 Jere Kallinen M
26 Lassi Lappalainen M

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