Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Predicción
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza
Llamada IA
Cruz Azul o empate
27%
27%
46%
Victoria local
Empate
Victoria visitante
Predicción Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: Sportiko le da a Tigres UANL un 27% de probabilidad de ganar, a Cruz Azul un 46% y al empate un 27%. Última actualización: 8 Nov 2026, 03:02.
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Premium- Local anota 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
24'
Nicolás Ibáñez
assist: Andres Montaño
▮
29'
José Paradela
Yellow Card
▮
34'
Erik Lira
Yellow Card
Mauro Laínez
Yellow Card
37'
▮
Juan Brunetta
assist: Fernando Gorriarán
39'
⚽
1–1
Rafael Guerrero
⇄ Joaquim
45'
⇄
HT 1–1
🖵
47'
Luka Romero
Penalty confirmed
Juan Brunetta
Yellow Card
51'
▮
⚽
1–2
51'
Andres Montaño
Penalty
⇄
64'
Luka Romero
⇄ Carlos Rodríguez
⇄
64'
Erik Lira
⇄ Agustín Palavecino
Guillermo Martínez
65'
⚽
2–2
Henrique Simeone Koifman
⇄ Diego Lainez
66'
⇄
Diego Sánchez
⇄ Ricardo Monreal
66'
⇄
⇄
69'
Omar Campos
⇄ Carlos Rotondi
⇄
70'
Jorge Rodarte Barragan
⇄ Willer Ditta
▮
75'
Carlos Rotondi
Yellow Card
⇄
77'
Nicolás Ibáñez
⇄ Osinachi Ebere
⚽
2–3
78'
Carlos Rotondi
assist: Jeremy Márquez
Fernando Gorriarán
Yellow Card
81'
▮
Guillermo Martínez
⇄ Rodrigo Aguirre
84'
⇄
Emiliano Gómez
⇄ Ozziel Herrera
84'
⇄
▮
90+5'
Jesús Orozco
Yellow Card
FT 2–3
Tigres UANL
Match Stats
Cruz Azul
55%
Ball Possession
45%
1.68
Expected Goals (xG)
2
19
Total Shots
17
8
Shots on Goal
7
9
Shots off Goal
8
2
Blocked Shots
2
14
Shots insidebox
12
5
Shots outsidebox
5
10
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
462
Total passes
395
389
Passes accurate
316
12
Free Kicks
13
Tigres UANL
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Juan Brunetta M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 47 (42%) | – |
| 22 Guillermo Martínez F | 8.0 | 84' | 1 | – | 4 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 8 Fernando Gorriarán M | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 49 (45%) | 5 |
| 5 César Araújo M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (55%) | 1 |
| 77 Ozziel Herrera F | 6.7 | 6' | – | – | 2 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 1 Nahuel Guzmán G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (38%) | – |
| 17 Rodrigo Aguirre F | 6.4 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 30 Diego Sánchez D | 6.4 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 28 (26%) | 1 |
| 21 Ricardo Monreal F | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 16 Diego Lainez M | 6.1 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 28 Joaquim D | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 34 Henrique Simeone Koifman M | 6.0 | 66' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 4 |
| 32 Vladimir Loroña D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (45%) | 3 |
| 33 Rafael Guerrero D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 24 (19%) | 1 |
| 9 Emiliano Gómez M | 5.8 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | – |
| 19 Mauro Laínez D | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (31%) | 1 |
Cruz Azul
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nicolás Ibáñez F | 8.0 | 77' | 1 | – | 4 | 16 (11%) | 2 |
| 16 Jeremy Márquez D | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 41 (37%) | 2 |
| 29 Carlos Rotondi F | 7.4 | 21' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 23 Kevin Mier G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | – |
| 10 Andres Montaño M | 7.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 (16%) | 6 |
| 11 Osinachi Ebere F | 6.8 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 3 Omar Campos M | 6.6 | 69' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 22 Jorge Rodarte Barragan M | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 32 (30%) | 3 |
| 20 José Paradela M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | 2 |
| 6 Erik Lira M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 38 (34%) | – |
| 8 Agustín Palavecino M | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | 2 |
| 18 Luka Romero M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 28 (28%) | 3 |
| 4 Willer Ditta D | 6.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 19 Carlos Rodríguez M | 6.1 | 26' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 5 Jesús Orozco D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 35 (25%) | 5 |
| 33 Gonzalo Piovi D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (37%) | – |
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- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Confidence
Low (46%)
At a glance
Nuestra inclinación
Cruz Azul o empate
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Tigres UANL
LLDLD
Cruz Azul
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings
Tigres UANL · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
Tigres UANL faces Cruz Azul in a Liga MX clash that promises intensity and tactical battles. Tigres has shown robust form at home, consistently leveraging their attacking prowess, with an average of 2 goals per match in recent fixtures. Meanwhile, Cruz Azul has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five outings. The match will likely hinge on Tigres’ ability to exploit Cruz Azul's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining solid possession. Expect a closely contested encounter with key contributions from both sides' attacking units.
Live insights
83'
time check
80% sure
Min 83: Cruz Azul leads 2-3. Win probability: 91.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.2%.
79'
Goal
80% sure
Late goal makes it 2-3! Cruz Azul win probability: 88.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 30.5%.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 65.3%. Late goal chance: 39%.
66'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 54%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
52'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-2. Cruz Azul win: 77.5%. BTTS: 100%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
46%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Tigres UANL
J. Brunetta
8 gls
Cruz Azul
N. Ibáñez
5 gls
G. Fernández
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
0
Tigres UANL Wins
2
Draws
1
Cruz Azul Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Cruz Azul | 2 - 1 | Tigres UANL |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Tigres UANL | 1 - 1 | Cruz Azul |
| 04 Dec 2025 | Cruz Azul | 1 - 1 | Tigres UANL |
Tigres UANL — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Cruz Azul | L | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A CF Pachuca | L | 3 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Leon | L | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Guadalajara Chivas | D | 1 - 1 |
Cruz Azul — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Tigres UANL | W | 2 - 3 |
| 02 Nov | H Leon | W | 2 - 1 |
| 26 Oct | A Club Queretaro | W | 1 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | A CF Pachuca | W | 1 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H FC Juarez | W | 5 - 0 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
Tigres UANL
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Vucetich
1
Guzmán
19
Laínez
32
Loroña
33
Guerrero
30
Sánchez
5
Araújo
8
Gorriarán
9
Gómez
11
Brunetta
34
Simeone
22
Martínez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Guzmán | G |
| 30 | D. Sánchez | D |
| 33 | R. Guerrero | D |
| 32 | V. Loroña | D |
| 19 | M. Laínez | D |
| 8 | F. Gorriarán | M |
| 5 | C. Araújo | M |
| 34 | Simeone | M |
| 11 | J. Brunetta | M |
| 9 | E. Gómez | M |
| 22 | G. Martínez | F |
Substitutes
| 192 | Edgar Villavicencio | M |
| 29 | J. Contreras | F |
| 17 | R. Aguirre | F |
| 14 | J. Garza | D |
| 77 | O. Herrera | F |
| 16 | D. Lainez | M |
| 21 | R. Monreal | F |
| 28 | Joaquim | D |
| 25 | F. Rodríguez | G |
| 6 | J. Vigón | M |
Cruz Azul
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
23
Mier
16
Márquez
33
Piovi
5
Orozco
3
Campos
18
Romero
6
Lira
22
Rodarte
10
Montaño
20
Paradela
7
Ibáñez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | K. Mier | G |
| 5 | J. Orozco | D |
| 33 | G. Piovi | D |
| 16 | J. Márquez | D |
| 22 | J. Rodarte | M |
| 6 | É. Lira | M |
| 18 | L. Romero | M |
| 3 | O. Campos | M |
| 20 | J. Paradela | M |
| 10 | A. Montaño | M |
| 7 | N. Ibáñez | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | C. Ebere | F |
| 21 | G. Fernández | F |
| 55 | R. Gonzalez | M |
| 1 | A. Gudiño | G |
| 12 | A. Montes | D |
| 2 | A. Mozo | D |
| 8 | A. Palavecino | M |
| 19 | C. Rodríguez | M |
| 29 | C. Rotondi | F |
| 4 | W. Ditta | D |