Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Predicción
Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Llamada IA
Toluca gana o empata
70%
19%
12%
Victoria local
Empate
Victoria visitante
Predicción Toluca vs Atletico San Luis: Sportiko le da a Toluca un 70% de probabilidad de ganar, a Atletico San Luis un 12% y al empate un 19%. Última actualización: 18 Oct 2026, 02:57.
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Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 76%
- Under 4.5 75%
- Local anota 2+ 72%
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Timeline
HT 0–0
Érick Gutiérrez
67'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
73'
Sergio
⇄
83'
Sergio
⇄ Leonardo Flores
⇄
83'
Anderson Duarte
⇄ Juanpe
⇄
87'
David Rodriguez
⇄ Miguel Alonso García
⇄
88'
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
⇄ Benjamín Galdames
FT 1–1
Toluca
Match Stats
Atletico San Luis
55%
Ball Possession
45%
0
Expected Goals (xG)
0
10
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
9
0
Blocked Shots
0
15
Corner Kicks
2
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
Toluca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Érick Gutiérrez M | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | – | – | – |
| 25 Everardo López D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20 Jesús Gallardo D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 19 Santiago Simón D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 6 Federico Pereira D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 5 Franco Romero M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 11 Helinho M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 26 Paulinho F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Alexis Vega M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 1 Hugo Gonzalez G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16 Federico Viñas M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
Atletico San Luis
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sergio F | 7.0 | 83' | 1 | – | – | – | – |
| 10 Sébastien Salles-Lamonge M | 6.8 | 88' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 11 David Rodriguez F | 6.8 | 87' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 31 Eduardo Águila D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 3 Robson Bambu D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 21 Oscar Macías M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20 Leonardo Flores F | 6.5 | 7' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 6 Juanpe D | 6.5 | 7' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 18 Aldo Cruz D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 14 Miguel Alonso García M | 6.4 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 7 Benjamín Galdames M | 6.4 | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 17 Anderson Duarte F | 6.2 | 83' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 25 Gibran Lajud G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 5 Roberto Meraz M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2 Román Torres M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | – | – |
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- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Confidence
Medium (70%)
At a glance
Nuestra inclinación
Toluca gana o empata
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Toluca
WDDDD
Atletico San Luis
LLWWD
Last 2 meetings
Toluca · 1W 1D 0L
Match summary
Toluca will face Atletico San Luis in this Liga MX clash, with both teams seeking to improve their standings. Toluca has shown a solid home record, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per game at home. In contrast, Atletico San Luis has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match away this season. This match could hinge on Toluca’s ability to convert chances against a vulnerable San Luis defense, while the visitors will need to tighten up at the back to secure a favorable result.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
70%
45%
Draw
19%
45%
Away
12%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Toluca
F. Viñas
8 gls
A. Vega
5 gls
Atletico San Luis
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
1
Toluca Wins
1
Draws
0
Atletico San Luis Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 | Toluca | 1 - 1 | Atletico San Luis |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Atletico San Luis | 1 - 3 | Toluca |
Toluca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Monterrey | W | 4 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Club America | D | 2 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Leon | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | H Club Tijuana | D | 2 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Atletico San Luis | D | 1 - 1 |
Atletico San Luis — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H FC Juarez | L | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Atlas | L | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Atlante FC | W | 0 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Club Queretaro | W | 2 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Toluca | D | 1 - 1 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club America
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 29 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |
Atlas
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 |
| 5 |
Santos Laguna
|
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 |
| 6 |
Toluca
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 24 |
| 7 |
CF Pachuca
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |
Club Tijuana
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Leon
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Club Queretaro
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Puebla
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Tigres UANL
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Atlante FC
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |
Necaxa
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
Toluca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Mohamed
1
González
20
Gallardo
6
Pereira
25
López
19
Simón
35
Gutiérrez
5
Romero
9
Vega
16
Viñas
11
Helinho
26
Paulinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. González | G |
| 19 | S. Simón | D |
| 25 | E. López | D |
| 6 | F. Pereira | D |
| 20 | J. Gallardo | D |
| 5 | F. Romero | M |
| 35 | É. Gutiérrez | M |
| 11 | Helinho | M |
| 16 | F. Viñas | M |
| 9 | A. Vega | M |
| 26 | Paulinho | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | P. Pérez | M |
| 8 | N. Castro | M |
| 2 | D. Barbosa | D |
| 24 | F. Arce | M |
| 10 | J. Angulo | M |
| 29 | J. Díaz | M |
| 13 | Luan | D |
| 17 | B. García | D |
| 22 | L. García | G |
| 4 | B. Méndez | D |
Atletico San Luis
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
25
Lajud
18
Cruz
31
Águila
3
Bambu
5
Meraz
10
Salles-Lamonge
21
Macías
2
Torres
22
Llorente
17
Duarte
11
Rodríguez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | G. Lajud | G |
| 3 | Robson Bambu | D |
| 31 | E. Águila | D |
| 18 | A. Cruz | D |
| 2 | R. Torres | M |
| 21 | Ó. Macías | M |
| 10 | S. Salles-Lamonge | M |
| 5 | R. Meraz | M |
| 11 | D. Rodríguez | F |
| 17 | A. Duarte | F |
| 22 | Rafa Llorente | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | L. Flores | F |
| 7 | B. Galdames | M |
| 30 | B. Galindo | D |
| 14 | M. García | M |
| 99 | F. Mora | F |
| 19 | S. Muñóz | F |
| 26 | S. Pérez Bouquet | M |
| 6 | Juanpe | D |
| 1 | A. Sánchez | G |
| 13 | J. Caicedo | M |