Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Predicción
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Llamada IA
Cruz Azul o empate
30%
28%
42%
Victoria local
Empate
Victoria visitante
Predicción Necaxa vs Cruz Azul: Sportiko le da a Necaxa un 30% de probabilidad de ganar, a Cruz Azul un 42% y al empate un 28%. Última actualización: 29 Aug 2026, 03:01.
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Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- Visitante anota 71%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 72%
Los miembros Premium tuvieron acceso a estas selecciones antes del inicio del partido.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
23'
Jeremy Márquez
assist: Carlos Rodríguez
Carlos Vargas
⇄ Mauro Zaleta
32'
⇄
Danny Leyva
Yellow Card
43'
▮
HT 0–1
⚽
0–2
46'
Nicolás Ibáñez
assist: Carlos Rodríguez
Kaiky Naves
⇄ R. Martínez
46'
⇄
Matías Espíndola
⇄ Juan Torres
46'
⇄
⚽
0–3
53'
Willer Ditta
assist: José Paradela
▮
54'
Willer Ditta
Yellow Card
▮
59'
Amaury Garcia
Yellow Card
Lorenzo Faravelli
⇄ Pedro Pedraza
61'
⇄
Owen González
⇄ Emilio Rodriguez
61'
⇄
Javier Ruiz
Yellow Card
67'
▮
⇄
73'
Jeremy Márquez
⇄ Luka Romero
⇄
73'
Rogelio González
⇄
73'
Nicolás Ibáñez
⇄ Gabriel Fernández
Danny Leyva
⇄ Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
78'
⇄
Emilio Rodriguez
assist: Pedro Pedraza
83'
⚽
1–3
Emilio Rodriguez
Yellow Card
84'
▮
⇄
84'
José Paradela
⇄ Osinachi Ebere
⇄
84'
Amaury Garcia
⇄ Alan Montes
⇄
86'
Omar Campos
⇄ J. Díaz
Pedro Pedraza
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
Juan Torres
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
FT 1–3
Necaxa
Match Stats
Cruz Azul
49%
Ball Possession
51%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
0
0
Blocked Shots
0
0
Shots insidebox
0
0
Shots outsidebox
0
Corner Kicks
Offsides
0
Fouls
2
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Goalkeeper Saves
39
Total passes
41
29
Passes accurate
34
74%
Passes %
83%
goals_prevented
Necaxa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Lorenzo Faravelli M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 88 Carlos Vargas M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 9 Julián Carranza F | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 13 Owen González M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 6 Danny Leyva M | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 10 Javier Ruiz F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 5 Kaiky Naves D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 12 Luis Jimenez G | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 3 Agustín Oliveros D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 21 Matías Espíndola M | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 4 Alexis Peña D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
Cruz Azul
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Omar Campos D | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 55 Rogelio González M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 16 Jeremy Márquez D | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 19 Carlos Rodríguez M | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20 José Paradela M | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 17 Amaury Garcia M | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 4 Willer Ditta D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 23 Kevin Mier G | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 8 Agustín Palavecino M | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 5 Jesús Orozco D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 7 Nicolás Ibáñez F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Nuestra inclinación
Cruz Azul o empate
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Necaxa
LLDLD
Cruz Azul
LLWWW
Last 2 meetings
Necaxa · 0W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the Liga MX clash, Necaxa will face Cruz Azul, a match that promises to be competitive. Historically, Cruz Azul has maintained a slightly stronger position with a higher average possession rate and goals per game this season. However, Necaxa's defense has shown resilience, allowing fewer goals in their recent fixtures. Key players' performances, especially in midfield, will likely be crucial in determining the match outcome. Both teams will aim to secure vital points, making this encounter pivotal for their season aspirations.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
30%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
42%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Necaxa
J. Carranza
5 gls
Cruz Azul
J. Márquez
3 gls
N. Ibáñez
3 gls
AI match tools
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Necaxa vs Cruz Azul
0
Necaxa Wins
1
Draws
1
Cruz Azul Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2026 | Cruz Azul | 3 - 1 | Necaxa |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Necaxa | 1 - 1 | Cruz Azul |
Necaxa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Atletico San Luis | L | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Puebla | L | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Tigres UANL | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Cruz Azul | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Aug | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
Cruz Azul — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Monterrey | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | A Inter Miami | L | 2 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Club America | W | 4 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | H Santos Laguna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Necaxa | W | 1 - 3 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Necaxa
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: M. Varini
12
Jimenez
3
Oliveros
4
Peña
5
Naves
88
Vargas
8
Faravelli
6
Leyva
21
Espíndola
13
González
10
Ruiz
9
Carranza
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Luis Jimenez | G |
| 5 | Kaiky Naves | D |
| 4 | Alexis Peña | D |
| 3 | Agustín Oliveros | D |
| 13 | Owen González | M |
| 21 | Matías Espíndola | M |
| 6 | Danny Leyva | M |
| 8 | Lorenzo Faravelli | M |
| 88 | Carlos Vargas | M |
| 9 | Julián Carranza | F |
| 10 | Javier Ruiz | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Christopher Andrade | G |
| 20 | Francisco Méndez | D |
| 15 | Diego Ochoa | D |
| 33 | Raúl Martínez | D |
| 17 | Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | M |
| 99 | Emilio Rodriguez | M |
| 11 | Juan Torres | M |
| 14 | Mauro Zaleta | M |
| 16 | Pedro Pedraza | M |
| 90 | Juan Valencia | F |
Cruz Azul
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Joel Huiqui
23
Mier
3
Campos
5
Orozco
4
Ditta
16
Márquez
8
Palavecino
17
Garcia
55
González
19
Rodríguez
20
Paradela
7
Ibáñez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kevin Mier | G |
| 16 | Jeremy Márquez | D |
| 4 | Willer Ditta | D |
| 5 | Jesús Orozco | D |
| 3 | Omar Campos | D |
| 17 | Amaury Garcia | M |
| 8 | Agustín Palavecino | M |
| 20 | José Paradela | M |
| 19 | Carlos Rodríguez | M |
| 55 | Rogelio González | M |
| 7 | Nicolás Ibáñez | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Andrés Gudiño | G |
| 12 | Alan Montes | D |
| 49 | Josué Díaz | D |
| 22 | Jorge Rodarte Barragan | D |
| 10 | Andres Montaño | M |
| 70 | Ivan Silva | M |
| 11 | Osinachi Ebere | F |
| 27 | Bryan Gamboa | F |
| 21 | Gabriel Fernández | F |
| 18 | Luka Romero | F |