Cruz Azul vs Atlas Predicción

Liga MX · Apertura - 5

Post on X

Atlas

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Cruz Azul

57%

26%

17%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Cruz Azul vs Atlas: Sportiko le da a Cruz Azul un 57% de probabilidad de ganar, a Atlas un 17% y al empate un 26%. Última actualización: 23 Aug 2026, 05:03.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Menos de 3.5 goles 75%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 30'

Edgar Zaldívar assist: Duk

⚽ 0–2 45'

Florián Monzón

HT 0–2

Osinachi Ebere ⇄ Luka Romero

46' ⇄

Andres Montaño ⇄ Amaury Garcia

46' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Arturo González ⇄ Gustavo Ferrareis

⇄ 68'

Duk ⇄ Victor Rios

Jeremy Márquez ⇄ Rogelio González

69' ⇄

Carlos Rodríguez ⇄ Gabriel Fernández

75' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Edgar Zaldívar ⇄ Sergio Hernandez

Omar Campos

85' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Milton Valenzuela ⇄ Jorge Rodríguez

⇄ 89'

Luís Esteves ⇄ Jesús Serrato

FT 0–2

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Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Difícil victoria o empate de Cruz Azul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Atlas

DLDLW

Last 3 meetings Cruz Azul · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Cruz Azul faces Atlas in a Liga MX matchup that promises to be competitive. Cruz Azul has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while maintaining a defensive solidity with only 1.2 goals conceded. Atlas, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with a goal-scoring average of just 1.0 per match. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces and create clear chances, given their recent form. Expect a tactical battle that could hinge on defensive errors or standout individual performances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

57%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

17%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlas goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Cruz Azul goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

Atlas

Luís Esteves 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	6.9%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.8%	14.1%	6.8%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.2%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.1%	4.5%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruz Azul	Draw	Atlas
Cruz Azul	27.3%	4.9%	2.0%
Draw	16.1%	18.7%	12.0%
Atlas	1.9%	3.7%	13.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cruz Azul vs Atlas

3 Cruz Azul Wins

0 Draws

0 Atlas Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Atlas
03 May 2026	Atlas	2 - 3	Cruz Azul
14 Jan 2026	Cruz Azul	2 - 0	Atlas

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Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

Atlas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Toluca	L	5 - 2
06 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Club Queretaro	L	1 - 3
23 Aug	A Cruz Azul	W	0 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.