Atlante FC vs Toluca Predicción

Liga MX · Apertura - 4

Post on X

Toluca

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Toluca

18%

26%

56%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Atlante FC vs Toluca: Sportiko le da a Atlante FC un 18% de probabilidad de ganar, a Toluca un 56% y al empate un 26%. Última actualización: 16 Aug 2026, 01:00.

Picks Premium

Premium

Visitante anota 76%

Los miembros Premium tuvieron acceso a estas selecciones antes del inicio del partido. Ver predicciones Premium

Timeline

Aarón Quirós Yellow Card

13' ▮

Edgar Jiménez ⇄ Walter Clar

29' ⇄

HT 0–0

⇄ Martín Sarrafiore

53' ⇄

⇄ 60'

Jesús Ricardo Angulo ⇄ Helinho

⇄ 60'

Diego Barbosa ⇄ Pavel Pérez

⇄ 74'

Érick Gutiérrez ⇄ Fernando Arce Juárez

⇄ 75'

Luis García ⇄ Hugo Gonzalez

Luis Puente ⇄ Joaquin Moxica

80' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Jorge Díaz ⇄ Víctor Guzmán

Nicolas Carrera Yellow Card

90+9' ▮

FT 0–0

Premium

Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Atlante FC vs Toluca

Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
Ventaja de Valor — modelo vs. mercado
Tipos de selección que eliges

Hazte Premium

Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Difícil victoria o empate de Toluca

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Atlante FC

DLDDL

Toluca

LWWWW

Match summary

Atlante FC faces Toluca in a Liga MX clash, with both teams looking to secure vital points. Atlante has shown a solid home record, boasting a 60% win rate at home last season, while Toluca has struggled on the road, winning only 30% of away matches. Key players to watch include Atlante's top scorer, who netted 15 goals last season, and Toluca's midfield playmaker, known for his creativity and assists. The match promises to be competitive, with tactical battles likely in midfield determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

18%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toluca goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Atlante FC goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Atlante FC

No scorer data.

Toluca

F. Viñas 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

¿Por qué esta selección? · Premium Análisis Profundo IA · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	10.3%	8.5%	4.0%	1.4%
1	7.3%	14.3%	9.0%	4.3%	1.5%
2	4.7%	6.7%	4.8%	2.3%	0.8%
3	1.7%	2.4%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlante FC	Draw	Toluca
Atlante FC	13.4%	3.9%	2.1%
Draw	12.2%	19.5%	17.4%
Toluca	1.8%	4.5%	25.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Atlante FC vs Toluca

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Atlante FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Puebla	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 3
06 Sep	A Atlas	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Leon	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Tigres UANL	L	2 - 0

Toluca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Santos Laguna	L	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Puebla	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Atlas	W	5 - 2
07 Sep	H Monterrey	W	2 - 0
03 Sep	H Leon	W	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.