Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Predicción

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Aberdeen
51%
27%
22%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Aberdeen vs ST Mirren: Sportiko le da a Aberdeen un 51% de probabilidad de ganar, a ST Mirren un 22% y al empate un 27%. Última actualización: 17 Oct 2026, 15:54.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
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Timeline

Bradley Lyons assist: Connor Ronan
2' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 31'
R. Carr Yellow Card
⚽ 1–1 42'
Eseosa Sule assist: Killian Phillips
Connor Ronan ⇄ Stuart Armstrong
45' ⇄
Bradley Lyons ⇄ Tony Yogane
45' ⇄
HT 1–1
▮ 56'
P. Nsio Yellow Card
Kevin Nisbet Missed Penalty
58' ✗
Kevin Nisbet
58' ⚽ 2–1
Tony Yogane Penalty confirmed
58' 🖵
⇄ 59'
L. Thomas ⇄ Samu
⇄ 67'
P. Nsio ⇄ F. Taylor
Toyosi Olusanya ⇄ Ayoub Mouloua
71' ⇄
Ayoub Mouloua assist: Afeez Aremu
72' ⚽ 3–1
⇄ 74'
Eseosa Sule ⇄ Jake Young
Lewis Smith ⇄ E. Gyamfi
76' ⇄
Stuart Armstrong Yellow Card
77' ▮
Kevin Nisbet ⇄ Findlay Marshall
90+3' ⇄
FT 3–1
Aberdeen

Match Stats

ST Mirren
34% Ball Possession 66%
2.33 Expected Goals (xG) 0.9
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 0
18 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
274 Total passes 544
202 Passes accurate 449
15 Free Kicks 18
Aberdeen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Marius Müller G 7.9 90' – – – 30 (17%) –
9 Ayoub Mouloua F 7.7 19' 1 – 2 9 (6%) 1
8 Bradley Lyons M 7.6 46' 1 – 1 14 (9%) –
32 Afeez Aremu M 7.4 90' – 1 – 31 (27%) 3
15 Kevin Nisbet F 7.3 90' 1 – 7 12 (7%) 1
24 Nesta Guinness-Walker D 7.0 90' – – – 20 (18%) 1
25 Connor Ronan M 6.8 46' – 1 1 13 (9%) –
23 Lewis Mayo D 6.6 90' – – 1 30 (25%) 1
11 Lewis Smith M 6.6 76' – – 1 15 (8%) 3
7 Tony Yogane F 6.5 44' – – 3 6 (4%) –
17 Stuart Armstrong M 6.4 44' – – – 22 (18%) –
5 Mats Knoester D 6.3 90' – – – 28 (23%) 2
28 Christopher Cadden D 6.2 90' – – – 27 (16%) 2
20 Toyosi Olusanya M 6.2 71' – – 1 13 (12%) –
77 E. Gyamfi D 6.0 14' – – – 3 (3%) –
ST Mirren
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Eseosa Sule F 7.5 74' 1 – 3 5 (2%) 1
88 Killian Phillips F 7.4 90' – 1 2 30 (29%) –
1 J. Chapman G 6.9 90' – – – 40 (33%) –
16 L. Thomas M 6.6 59' – – 1 27 (21%) 1
22 M. Fraser D 6.5 90' – – – 69 (63%) 1
20 Jake Young F 6.4 16' – – – 5 (3%) –
13 Alexander Gogić D 6.2 90' – – – 63 (53%) 1
3 Declan John D 6.2 90' – – 1 76 (64%) 1
30 F. Taylor M 6.1 23' – – 1 23 (19%) –
47 Calvin Ramsay D 6.1 90' – – 1 53 (42%) 2
8 R. Carr M 5.9 90' – – 1 63 (53%) 5
19 Ismeal Kabia M 5.9 90' – – 2 24 (18%) 2
10 Samu M 5.6 31' – – – 17 (12%) 2
48 P. Nsio M 5.5 67' – – – 36 (26%) –
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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Difícil victoria o empate de Aberdeen
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Aberdeen
LLLLW
ST Mirren
LLDWL
Last 3 meetings Aberdeen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Aberdeen faces St Mirren in a crucial Premiership clash. Historically, Aberdeen has demonstrated a strong home record, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging over 1.5 goals per game this season. St Mirren, however, has been resilient defensively, boasting a solid away record with several key clean sheets. The match could hinge on Aberdeen's ability to break down St Mirren's defense, while St Mirren will likely aim to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts. This tactical battle will be pivotal in determining the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
51%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
22%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Aberdeen
K. Nisbet 4 gls
ST Mirren
K. Phillips 3 gls

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Head to Head: Aberdeen vs ST Mirren

1 Aberdeen Wins
1 Draws
1 ST Mirren Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Apr 2026 ST Mirren 2 - 0 Aberdeen
03 Dec 2025 Aberdeen 3 - 3 ST Mirren
18 Oct 2025 ST Mirren 0 - 1 Aberdeen
Ver los 10 encuentros — Premium

Aberdeen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Hibernian L 0 - 4
31 Oct A Rangers L 1 - 0
28 Oct H Falkirk L 0 - 1
24 Oct A Dundee Utd L 3 - 2
17 Oct H ST Mirren W 3 - 1

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Rangers L 0 - 2
31 Oct A Motherwell L 1 - 0
28 Oct H Hibernian D 1 - 1
24 Oct H Dundee W 2 - 1
17 Oct A Aberdeen L 3 - 1

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
12 9 1 2 +17 28
2
Rangers
12 8 3 1 +12 27
3
Heart Of Midlothian
11 6 2 3 +7 20
4
Falkirk
12 5 3 4 +3 18
5
Dundee
12 5 2 5 +3 17
6
Dundee Utd
12 4 5 3 0 17
7
ST Johnstone
13 4 5 4 -3 17
8
ST Mirren
13 4 2 7 -10 14
9
Motherwell
13 3 4 6 -6 13
10
Hibernian
12 3 2 7 -2 11
11
Aberdeen
12 3 2 7 -6 11
12
Kilmarnock
12 2 3 7 -15 9

ST Mirren

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Chapman
3 John
22 Fraser
13 Gogić
47 Ramsay
19 Kabia
48 Nsio
8 Carr
16 Thomas
88 Phillips
9 Sule

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Chapman G
47 C. Ramsay D
13 A. Gogić D
22 M. Fraser D
3 D. John D
16 L. Thomas M
8 R. Carr M
48 P. Nsio M
19 Ismeal Kabia M
9 Eseosa Sule F
88 K. Phillips F

Substitutes

4 L. Donnelly M
53 Henry Fieldson D
6 Louis Jackson D
37 C. McEvoy M
23 C. Mochrie M
10 Samu M
30 F. Taylor M
35 Grant Tamosevicius G
20 J. Young F

Aberdeen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Robinson
27 Müller
24 Guinness-Walker
5 Knoester
23 Mayo
28 Cadden
32 Aremu
8 Lyons
20 Olusanya
25 Ronan
11 Smith
15 Nisbet

Starting XI

# Player Pos
27 M. Müller G
28 C. Cadden D
23 L. Mayo D
5 M. Knoester D
24 N. Guinness-Walker D
8 B. Lyons M
32 A. Aremu M
11 Lewis Smith M
25 C. Ronan M
20 T. Olusanya M
15 K. Nisbet F

Substitutes

17 S. Armstrong M
77 E. Gyamfi D
26 D. Happe D
30 D. Klein G
40 F. Marshall M
22 J. Milne D
21 G. Molloy D
9 A. Mouloua F
7 Tony Yogane F

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