Estrela vs Casa Pia Predicción
FT
Llamada IA
Difícil victoria o empate de Estrela
53%
27%
20%
Victoria local
Empate
Victoria visitante
Predicción Estrela vs Casa Pia: Sportiko le da a Estrela un 53% de probabilidad de ganar, a Casa Pia un 20% y al empate un 27%. Última actualización: 24 Oct 2026, 16:29.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
31'
João Rêgo
assist: Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
HT 0–1
⇄
60'
Cassiano
⇄ Henrique Araújo
⇄
60'
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
⇄ Jérémy Livolant
Ianis Stoica
⇄ Bénito
61'
⇄
Rafa Soares
⇄ Lucas Mincarelli
61'
⇄
▮
68'
Patrick Sequeira
Yellow Card
Max Scholze
⇄ Jefferson Encada
72'
⇄
Lovro Zvonarek
⇄ Tom Moustier
72'
⇄
⇄
78'
João Rêgo
⇄ Gabi Pereira
⇄
78'
Sebastian Perez
⇄ Selvi Clúa
Eddy Doué
⇄ Alisson Souza de Jesus
83'
⇄
⇄
83'
Benjamin Pauwels
⇄ Kevin Prieto
⚽
0–2
90+2'
Lawrence Ofori
assist: Henrique Araújo
Jefferson Encada
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
▮
90+4'
Pedro Rosas
Yellow Card
FT 0–2
Estrela
Match Stats
Casa Pia
63%
Ball Possession
37%
1.72
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
18
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots off Goal
3
7
Blocked Shots
3
14
Shots insidebox
6
4
Shots outsidebox
4
7
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
501
Total passes
298
428
Passes accurate
223
12
Free Kicks
12
Estrela
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Patrick Luan D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 81 (76%) | 1 |
| 5 Stefan Leković D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 81 (76%) | 1 |
| 99 Abraham Marcus M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 55 Rafa Soares D | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 41 (35%) | 2 |
| 24 Léo Linck G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | – |
| 21 Max Scholze D | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 28 Tom Moustier M | 6.4 | 18' | – | – | 2 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 78 Santiago Serra M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (50%) | 5 |
| 80 Alisson Souza de Jesus F | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 17 Jefferson Encada D | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 39 Eddy Doué M | 6.1 | 83' | – | – | 2 | 52 (38%) | – |
| 10 Ianis Stoica M | 6.1 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 3 Lucas Mincarelli D | 6.1 | 29' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 93 Bénito M | 6.1 | 29' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 37 Leandro Antonetti F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 14 Lovro Zvonarek M | 5.7 | 72' | – | – | 3 | 29 (20%) | – |
Casa Pia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Lawrence Ofori M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 70 João Rêgo M | 8.2 | 78' | 1 | – | 2 | 19 (12%) | 2 |
| 1 Patrick Sequeira G | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (16%) | – |
| 11 Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri M | 7.4 | 60' | – | 1 | – | 14 (13%) | 3 |
| 18 Andre Geraldes D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | – |
| 75 Pedro Rosas D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 14 (9%) | 4 |
| 43 David Sousa D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (26%) | 3 |
| 3 Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 29 Jérémy Livolant F | 6.9 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | – |
| 77 Benjamin Pauwels M | 6.8 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | 2 |
| 16 Selvi Clúa M | 6.8 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 24 Sebastian Perez M | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | 2 |
| 19 Kevin Prieto F | 6.6 | 7' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 8 Gabi Pereira M | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 90 Cassiano F | 6.5 | 60' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 9 Henrique Araújo F | 6.4 | 30' | – | – | 3 | 4 (3%) | – |
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- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Nuestra inclinación
Difícil victoria o empate de Estrela
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Estrela
LLWLL
Casa Pia
DLWWL
Last 3 meetings
Estrela · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Estrela will face Casa Pia. Estrela's recent form shows a solid home record, with a strong defensive structure allowing only 1.2 goals per match. Casa Pia, on the other hand, has been effective on the road, averaging 1.5 goals scored per away game. Both teams will need to capitalize on set-pieces, as Estrela has struggled defensively in those situations. The outcome will likely hinge on which team can impose their style and control the midfield effectively.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
20%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Estrela
A. Marcus
4 gls
L. Antonetti
4 gls
I. Stoica
4 gls
Casa Pia
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Estrela vs Casa Pia
2
Estrela Wins
0
Draws
1
Casa Pia Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | Estrela | 4 - 0 | Casa Pia |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 3 - 5 | Estrela |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Casa Pia | 1 - 0 | Estrela |
Estrela — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | A Moreirense | L | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Casa Pia | L | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Fazendense | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Oct | A Arouca | L | 1 - 0 |
| 20 Sep | H Academico Viseu | L | 0 - 2 |
Casa Pia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Alverca | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Oct | H Sporting CP | L | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Estrela | W | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A Alpendorada | W | 0 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | H Santa Clara | L | 0 - 1 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |
Academico Viseu
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |
GIL Vicente
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
SC Braga
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |
Famalicao
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |
Estrela
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |
Vitória SC
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
Maritimo
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rio Ave
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 |
Casa Pia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Filipe Coelho
1
Sequeira
75
Rosas
43
Sousa
3
Kaly
18
Geraldes
24
Pérez
80
Ofori
77
Pauwels
70
Rêgo
11
Boukammiri
90
Cassiano
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Sequeira | G |
| 18 | Geraldes | D |
| 3 | Kaly | D |
| 43 | David Sousa | D |
| 75 | Pedro Rosas | D |
| 80 | L. Ofori | M |
| 24 | S. Pérez | M |
| 11 | M. El Boukammiri | M |
| 70 | João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo | M |
| 77 | B. Pauwels | M |
| 90 | Cassiano | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | K. Prieto | F |
| 17 | E. Maurin | F |
| 95 | Ivan Mandić | G |
| 29 | J. Livolant | F |
| 27 | Kaique Rocha | D |
| 98 | JP | M |
| 20 | A. Jatta | F |
| 4 | João Goulart | D |
| 8 | Gabi Pereira | M |
| 44 | Felipe Silva | D |
| 9 | Henrique Araújo | F |
| 16 | Silvi | M |
Estrela
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: Pepa
24
Linck
55
Soares
5
Leković
30
Luan
21
Scholze
10
Stoica
39
Doue
78
Serra
14
Zvonarek
99
Marcus
37
Antonetti
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Léo Linck | G |
| 21 | M. Scholze | D |
| 30 | Patrick Luan | D |
| 5 | S. Leković | D |
| 55 | Rafa Soares | D |
| 99 | A. Marcus | M |
| 14 | L. Zvonarek | M |
| 78 | Santiago Serra | M |
| 39 | Eddy Doue | M |
| 10 | I. Stoica | M |
| 37 | L. Antonetti | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Bernardo Schappo | D |
| 80 | Alisson | F |
| 79 | A. Chernev | D |
| 17 | Jefferson Encada | D |
| 22 | David Grilo | G |
| 6 | K. Höög Jansson | M |
| 19 | Joan Jordán | M |
| 3 | L. Mincarelli Davin | D |
| 28 | T. Moustier | M |
| 51 | Diogo Pinto | G |
| 93 | B. Souza | M |
| 72 | H. Poniewas | F |