Nacional vs SC Braga Predicción
FT
Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Llamada IA
Difícil victoria o empate de SC Braga
14%
24%
62%
Victoria local
Empate
Victoria visitante
Predicción Nacional vs SC Braga: Sportiko le da a Nacional un 14% de probabilidad de ganar, a SC Braga un 62% y al empate un 24%. Última actualización: 25 Oct 2026, 20:00.
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Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- Menos de 3.5 goles 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline
Miguel Baeza
assist: Min-kyu Song
19'
⚽
1–0
Miguel Baeza
Goal confirmed
19'
🖵
Francisco Gonçalves
Yellow Card
33'
▮
⇄
45'
Gabriel Silva
⇄ Gabriel Martínez
⇄
45'
Tomás Marqués
⇄ João Moutinho
⇄
45'
J. Gorby
⇄ Mario Dorgeles
HT 1–0
⇄
62'
Jovan Milošević
⇄ Fran Navarro
Markus Jensen
⇄ Deivison Souza Brito
68'
⇄
Min-kyu Song
⇄ Matchoi Djaló
68'
⇄
⇄
76'
Bright Arrey-Mbi
⇄ Denis Huseinbašić
Chiheb Labidi
⇄ Danel Dongmo
78'
⇄
N. Kader
⇄ Pablo
78'
⇄
▮
79'
Sergio Barcia
Yellow Card
Stavros Gavriel
Yellow Card
86'
▮
Miguel Baeza
⇄ Daniel Júnior
86'
⇄
▮
90+4'
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Nacional
Match Stats
SC Braga
29%
Ball Possession
71%
0.51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
8
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots off Goal
9
1
Blocked Shots
9
4
Shots insidebox
12
4
Shots outsidebox
8
4
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
3
18
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
227
Total passes
542
133
Passes accurate
476
12
Free Kicks
18
Nacional
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Miguel Baeza M | 8.2 | 86' | 1 | – | 1 | 30 (22%) | 1 |
| 6 Matheus Dias D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 12 Min-kyu Song M | 7.3 | 68' | – | 1 | – | 14 (7%) | – |
| 7 Markus Jensen D | 7.0 | 68' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 3 |
| 20 Matchoi Djaló M | 7.0 | 22' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 88 Deivison Souza Brito M | 6.9 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 5 (2%) | 3 |
| 1 Renato Marin G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (11%) | – |
| 31 Danel Dongmo M | 6.8 | 12' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 38 Ze Vitor D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 20 (12%) | 2 |
| 21 Williams Kokolo D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | 2 |
| 11 Stavros Gavriel M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 6 (3%) | 3 |
| 99 Pablo F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 10 Daniel Júnior M | 6.4 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 15 Chiheb Labidi M | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | – | 22 (14%) | 5 |
| 33 Francisco Gonçalves D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (10%) | 2 |
| 29 N. Kader F | 6.2 | 78' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
SC Braga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 João Moutinho M | 7.1 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 44 (40%) | 1 |
| 31 Bernardo Fontes G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 26 Bright Arrey-Mbi D | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | – | 67 (63%) | 1 |
| 2 Victor Gómez M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (43%) | 1 |
| 21 Ricardo Horta M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 11 Gabriel Silva M | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | – |
| 16 Tomás Marqués M | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 43 (35%) | 3 |
| 22 Sergio Barcia D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 80 (74%) | 1 |
| 29 J. Gorby M | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | 1 |
| 14 Gustaf Lagerbielke D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (58%) | 1 |
| 17 Jovan Milošević F | 6.4 | 62' | – | – | 5 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 20 Mario Dorgeles M | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 27 (22%) | 1 |
| 23 Denis Huseinbašić M | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | – |
| 77 Gabriel Martínez F | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | – |
| 10 Pau Víctor M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 21 (13%) | – |
| 9 Fran Navarro F | 6.0 | 28' | – | – | 2 | – | – |
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- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Confidence
Medium (62%)
At a glance
Nuestra inclinación
Difícil victoria o empate de SC Braga
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Nacional
LWLLL
SC Braga
DWDLW
Last 3 meetings
Nacional · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
Nacional faces SC Braga in a crucial Primeira Liga clash. Both teams are vying for European qualification spots, with Braga currently sitting higher in the league standings. Nacional has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, while Braga boasts a more robust attack, averaging 2 goals per game. The outcome may hinge on Nacional's ability to contain Braga's offensive threats and convert their chances into goals. This match could be pivotal for both sides as they look to capitalize on points in the league race.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
14%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
62%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Nacional
No scorer data.
SC Braga
Pau Victor
5 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nacional vs SC Braga
1
Nacional Wins
0
Draws
2
SC Braga Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Nacional | 1 - 2 | SC Braga |
| 28 Sep 2025 | SC Braga | 0 - 1 | Nacional |
| 21 Feb 2025 | SC Braga | 1 - 0 | Nacional |
Nacional — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | A Arouca | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H SC Braga | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Sanjoanense | L | 1 - 0 |
| 11 Oct | A Rio Ave | L | 3 - 2 |
| 19 Sep | H Famalicao | L | 0 - 4 |
SC Braga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Aarhus | D | 0 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H Famalicao | W | 3 - 0 |
| 29 Oct | H Famalicao | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Nacional | L | 1 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Gent | W | 2 - 0 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |
Academico Viseu
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |
GIL Vicente
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
SC Braga
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |
Famalicao
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |
Estrela
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |
Vitória SC
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
Maritimo
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rio Ave
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 |
SC Braga
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
31
Fontes
26
Arrey-Mbi
22
Barcia
14
Lagerbielke
11
Silva
16
Marqués
29
Gorby
2
Gómez
21
Horta
10
Victor
17
Milošević
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bernardo Fontes | G |
| 14 | G. Lagerbielke | D |
| 22 | Sergio Barcia | D |
| 26 | B. Arrey-Mbi | D |
| 2 | Víctor Gómez | M |
| 29 | J. Gorby | M |
| 16 | Tomás Marqués | M |
| 11 | Gabriel Silva | M |
| 10 | Pau Victor | M |
| 21 | Ricardo Horta | M |
| 17 | J. Milošević | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | M. Dorgeles | M |
| 23 | D. Huseinbašić | M |
| 78 | João Carvalho | G |
| 8 | João Moutinho | M |
| 9 | Fran Navarro | F |
| 50 | Diego Rodrigues | M |
| 34 | E. Tıknaz | M |
| 7 | Diogo Travassos | D |
| 6 | Vitor Carvalho | M |
| 44 | A. Bajrami | D |
| 37 | A. Barišić | D |
| 77 | Gabri Martínez | F |
Nacional
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: João Henriques
1
Bellucci
21
Kokolo
38
Vitor
6
Dias
33
Gonçalves
7
Jensen
12
Min-Kyu
8
Baeza
15
Labidi
11
Gavriel
29
Kader
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renato Bellucci | G |
| 7 | M. Jensen | D |
| 33 | Francisco Gonçalves | D |
| 6 | Matheus Dias | D |
| 38 | Zé Vitor | D |
| 21 | W. Kokolo | D |
| 11 | S. Gavriel | M |
| 15 | C. Labidi | M |
| 8 | Miguel Baeza | M |
| 12 | Song Min-Kyu | M |
| 29 | N. Kader | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | Matchoi Djaló | M |
| 31 | D. Dongmo | M |
| 14 | Ivanildo Fernandes | D |
| 13 | João Gonçalves | G |
| 5 | José Gomes | D |
| 17 | F. Nava | F |
| 9 | A. Obando | F |
| 99 | Pablo Ruan | F |
| 26 | Joel da Silva | M |
| 2 | Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | D |
| 10 | Daniel Júnior | M |
| 88 | Deivison | M |