Como vs Venezia Predicción

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 10
FT
Post on X
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Llamada IA Como gana o empata
72%
18%
11%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Como vs Venezia: Sportiko le da a Como un 72% de probabilidad de ganar, a Venezia un 11% y al empate un 18%. Última actualización: 1 Nov 2026, 13:27.

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Premium
  • Under 4.5 75%
  • Local anota 2+ 73%
  • Home 1H Over 0.5 70%
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Match Report

Como secured a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory over Venezia in Serie A's tenth matchday, with the decisive moment arriving in controversial circumstances late in the first half. A VAR review cancelled a penalty for Simon Sohm in the 28th minute, but Como were awarded their own spot kick shortly before the break. Lucas Da Cunha converted from twelve yards in the 43rd minute, sending the hosts into half-time with the advantage they would ultimately protect.

The second half saw Venezia unable to mount a meaningful response, despite a flurry of substitutions from both sides. Como's dominance was reflected clearly in the numbers — 66% possession, 19 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 1.63 compared to Venezia's 0.21. The visitors managed just one shot on target throughout the entire contest, and a late yellow card for Kaiki in the 86th minute summed up a frustrating afternoon for the away side.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Como win as the most likely outcome at 72%, a call that proved well-founded. The result lifts Como while leaving Venezia searching for answers going forward.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

🖵 28'
Simon Sohm Penalty cancelled
▮ 39'
Simon Sohm Yellow Card
▮ 41'
Juan Jesus Yellow Card
Lucas Da Cunha Penalty
43' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⇄ 55'
Gianluca Busio ⇄ Kike Pérez
⇄ 55'
Lion Lauberbach ⇄ John Yeboah
⇄ 62'
Simon Sohm ⇄ Toma Bašić
⇄ 62'
Antoine Hainaut ⇄ Richie Sagrado
Nico Paz ⇄ Maxence Caqueret
73' ⇄
Lucas Da Cunha ⇄ Mattia Liberali
73' ⇄
Samuele Ricci ⇄ Máximo Perrone
74' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Þórir Jóhann Helgason ⇄ Albion Rrahmani
Yan Couto ⇄ Ivan Smolčić
82' ⇄
Martin Baturina ⇄ Álex Valle
84' ⇄
Kaiki Yellow Card
86' ▮
FT 1–0
Como

Match Stats

Venezia
66% Ball Possession 34%
1.63 Expected Goals (xG) 0.21
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 1
9 Shots outsidebox 5
8 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 3
5 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
717 Total passes 374
654 Passes accurate 310
8 Free Kicks 4
Como
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D 7.7 90' – – 2 75 (72%) 1
5 Máximo Perrone M 7.6 16' – – – 31 (30%) –
27 Yan Couto D 7.5 82' – – 1 83 (78%) 3
4 Jacobo Ramón D 7.5 90' – – – 81 (73%) 1
7 Lucas Da Cunha M 7.4 73' 1 – 2 51 (42%) 1
6 Luis Milla M 7.3 90' – – 1 105 (95%) 1
20 Martin Baturina M 7.2 84' – – 4 39 (36%) 1
21 Samuele Ricci M 7.2 74' – – 2 82 (78%) 3
16 Kaiki D 7.1 90' – – 2 51 (48%) 1
1 Jean Butez G 7.0 90' – – – 22 (17%) –
3 Álex Valle D 7.0 6' – – – 14 (13%) –
10 Nico Paz M 6.9 73' – – 2 45 (40%) –
8 Maxence Caqueret M 6.8 17' – – – 11 (9%) 2
30 Mattia Liberali M 6.7 17' – – – 13 (12%) 1
28 Ivan Smolčić D 6.6 8' – – – 4 (3%) –
9 Anastasios Douvikas F 6.1 90' – – 3 11 (8%) –
Venezia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Redouane Halhal D 7.1 90' – – – 40 (36%) 4
1 Filip Stanković G 6.9 90' – – – 28 (25%) –
26 Toma Bašić M 6.7 28' – – 1 19 (18%) 1
21 Þórir Jóhann Helgason M 6.7 78' – – 1 17 (13%) –
18 Antoine Hainaut M 6.7 62' – – – 18 (14%) 1
6 Gianluca Busio M 6.7 55' – – 1 25 (20%) 2
71 Kike Pérez M 6.6 35' – – 1 35 (29%) 2
70 Pasquale Mazzocchi M 6.5 90' – – – 35 (30%) 1
2 Matias Moreno D 6.5 90' – – – 29 (24%) 2
19 Simon Sohm M 6.4 62' – – – 27 (23%) 1
7 Albion Rrahmani F 6.4 12' – – 1 3 (3%) 1
10 John Yeboah F 6.3 35' – – 2 14 (12%) –
29 Lion Lauberbach F 6.2 55' – – – 7 (6%) 1
45 Akor Adams F 6.1 90' – – – 12 (5%) 1
15 Juan Jesus D 6.0 90' – – – 52 (42%) 1
20 Richie Sagrado D 5.9 28' – – – 14 (10%) –
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Confidence High (72%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Como gana o empata
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Como
WWWWW
Venezia
WLLLW
Last 2 meetings Como · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

Como faces Venezia in an intriguing Serie A clash. Como has struggled with consistency, sitting near the bottom of the table, while Venezia shows slightly better form with a more stable attack, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Defensively, Como has conceded 1.8 goals per game, which could be pivotal if Venezia capitalizes on this weakness. Both teams will look to secure points to enhance their positions, making this a crucial encounter. The outcome may hinge on Como's ability to tighten their defense against Venezia's offensive threats.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Como leads 1-0. Win probability: 91.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Como leads. Win probability: 88.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 82.1%.

44' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Como win: 88.3%. BTTS: 38.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
72%
45%
Draw
18%
45%
Away
11%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Como
T. Douvikas 5 gls
Venezia

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Como vs Venezia

0 Como Wins
2 Draws
0 Venezia Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Mar 2025 Como 1 - 1 Venezia
08 Dec 2024 Venezia 2 - 2 Como

Como — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Lens W 1 - 9
01 Nov H Venezia W 1 - 0
27 Oct A Torino W 1 - 3
24 Oct H Sassuolo W 2 - 0
21 Oct H Manchester United W 4 - 1

Venezia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Udinese W 2 - 1
01 Nov A Como L 1 - 0
28 Oct H Inter L 0 - 2
25 Oct A Genoa L 1 - 0
17 Oct H Napoli W 1 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
1 Butez
16 Kaiki
2 Kempf
4 Naveros
27 Couto
21 Ricci
6 Milla
20 Baturina
10 Paz
7 Cunha
9 Douvikas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Butez G
27 Yan Couto D
4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros D
2 M. Kempf D
16 Kaiki D
6 Luis Milla M
21 S. Ricci M
7 L. da Cunha M
10 N. Paz M
20 M. Baturina M
9 T. Douvikas F

Substitutes

22 M. Vigorito G
3 Álex Valle D
28 I. Smolčić D
97 Robert Sánchez G
5 M. Perrone M
15 A. Lahdo M
53 Willy Kambwala Ndengushi D
18 E. Goldaniga D
13 A. Dossena D
8 M. Caqueret M
30 M. Liberali M
54 Matteo Papaccioli M
58 Zebedee Kennedy F

Venezia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: D. Nicola
1 Stanković
15 Jesus
2 Moreno
25 Halhal
70 Mazzocchi
6 Busio
19 Sohm
21 Helgason
18 Hainaut
29 Lauberbach
45 Adams

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Stanković G
25 R. Halhal D
2 M. Moreno D
15 Juan Jesus D
18 A. Hainaut M
21 Þ. Helgason M
19 S. Sohm M
6 G. Busio M
70 P. Mazzocchi M
45 A. Adams F
29 L. Lauberbach F

Substitutes

20 R. Sagrado D
3 J. Schingtienne D
17 A. Bella-Kotchap D
26 T. Bašić M
7 A. Rrahmani F
71 Kike Pérez M
96 L. Montipò G
16 R. Mohammed D
56 K. Lisman F
5 R. Haps D
77 Toni Fernández M
8 Lamine Dabo M
32 A. Duncan M
10 J. Yeboah F
30 M. Dagasso M

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