Lazio vs Monza Predicción

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Lazio
54%
26%
20%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Lazio vs Monza: Sportiko le da a Lazio un 54% de probabilidad de ganar, a Monza un 20% y al empate un 26%. Última actualización: 11 Oct 2026, 14:56.

Match Report

Lazio made a commanding start at the Stadio Olimpico, racing into a two-goal lead inside the opening 25 minutes. Nuno Tavares opened the scoring in the third minute before Gustav Isaksen doubled the advantage on 23 minutes, giving the hosts a comfortable cushion heading into the break. Monza's task was made significantly harder when Lorenzo Lucchesi was shown a red card on 35 minutes, leaving them to play the entire second half a man down.

The visitors showed some fight despite their numerical disadvantage. Saba Goglichidze pulled one back just seconds into the second half, briefly threatening to set up a nervy finish, and the xG figures — 1.91 for Monza against Lazio's 1.59 — reflected a more competitive contest than the scoreline suggested. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lazio win as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that ultimately proved correct.

Lazio restored their two-goal cushion when Andrea Pinamonti converted on 88 minutes to seal a 3–1 victory. The win was built on an early platform, defensive resilience after Goglichidze's reply, and the advantage of playing against ten men for the majority of the second half.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Nuno Tavares assist: Tijjani Noslin
3' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 13'
Andrea Carboni Yellow Card
Gustav Isaksen assist: Tijjani Noslin
23' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 35'
Lorenzo Lucchesi Red Card
⇄ 36'
Cyril Ngonge ⇄ Saba Goglichidze
⇄ 45'
Andrea Carboni ⇄ Y. Maye
⇄ 45'
Exequiel Zeballos ⇄ Dany Mota
⇄ 45'
Michael Folorunsho ⇄ Manga Foe Ondoa
Danilho Doekhi Yellow Card
45+2' ▮
HT 2–0
⚽ 2–1 46'
Saba Goglichidze assist: Dany Mota
Danilho Doekhi ⇄ Diogo Leite
53' ⇄
Oliver Provstgaard Yellow Card
55' ▮
Davide Frattesi ⇄ Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
60' ⇄
Oliver Provstgaard ⇄ Josip Šutalo
60' ⇄
Diogo Leite Yellow Card
68' ▮
⇄ 70'
Ricardo Mangas ⇄ Adam Bakoune
Nuno Tavares ⇄ Alfonso Pedraza
75' ⇄
Tijjani Noslin ⇄ Andrea Pinamonti
75' ⇄
▮ 79'
Yellow Card
Andrea Pinamonti assist: Alfonso Pedraza
88' ⚽ 3–1
FT 3–1
Lazio

Match Stats

Monza
66% Ball Possession 34%
1.59 Expected Goals (xG) 1.91
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 10
9 Shots outsidebox 4
7 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
596 Total passes 299
516 Passes accurate 224
9 Free Kicks 10
Lazio
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Tijjani Noslin F 8.1 75' – 2 1 32 (31%) –
35 Christos Mandas G 7.9 90' – – – 37 (28%) –
11 Gustav Isaksen F 7.6 90' 1 – 4 39 (35%) –
17 Nuno Tavares D 7.4 75' 1 – 2 71 (57%) 1
9 Andrea Pinamonti F 7.4 15' 1 – 1 4 (3%) –
15 Romano Floriani Mussolini D 7.2 90' – – 2 46 (40%) 3
21 Reda Belahyane M 7.2 90' – – 1 62 (59%) 2
37 Josip Šutalo D 6.9 30' – – – 25 (24%) –
23 Alfonso Pedraza D 6.9 15' – 1 – 8 (6%) –
16 Davide Frattesi M 6.7 60' – – 2 16 (11%) 2
5 Danilho Doekhi D 6.7 53' – – – 29 (25%) 2
24 Kenneth Taylor M 6.6 90' – – 2 67 (58%) –
2 Diogo Leite D 6.6 37' – – – 31 (28%) 1
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M 6.5 30' – – – 11 (11%) –
25 Oliver Provstgaard D 6.4 60' – – – 59 (53%) 1
10 Mattia Zaccagni F 6.3 90' – – 2 58 (47%) 1
Monza
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
47 Dany Mota F 7.6 44' – 1 5 11 (3%) 2
2 Saba Goglichidze D 7.2 54' 1 – 1 20 (19%) 1
5 Y. Maye D 6.6 44' – – 1 7 (7%) 1
19 Samuele Birindelli M 6.5 90' – – 4 37 (27%) 1
90 Michael Folorunsho M 6.4 46' – – – 20 (19%) –
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M 6.3 90' – – 1 26 (20%) 2
60 Eddy Kouadio D 6.2 90' – – – 32 (24%) 4
9 Gustavo Varela F 6.2 90' – – 1 15 (12%) 1
1 Noel Törnqvist G 6.0 90' – – – 37 (20%) –
16 Cyril Ngonge M 5.9 36' – – – 8 (7%) –
24 Adam Bakoune D 5.9 20' – – – 1 (1%) –
22 Exequiel Zeballos M 5.8 46' – – 1 7 (4%) –
8 Manga Foe Ondoa M 5.8 44' – – – 13 (11%) –
7 Ricardo Mangas M 5.7 70' – – – 25 (18%) –
44 Andrea Carboni D 5.4 46' – – – 23 (17%) 1
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi D 5.0 35' – – – 12 (11%) –
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  • Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

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Lazio
WWWWW
Monza
LLLWL
Last 3 meetings Lazio · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Lazio will face Monza in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A matchup. Lazio has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid defensive record, allowing an average of 0.9 goals per game this season. Monza, on the other hand, has struggled away, conceding 1.5 goals per match on the road. Key players to watch include Lazio's top striker, who has been pivotal in their goal-scoring efforts, and Monza's playmaker, who will need to orchestrate the attack effectively. The outcome may hinge on Lazio's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities while containing Monza's counterattacking threats.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
54%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
20%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lazio
T. Noslin 4 gls
G. Isaksen 4 gls
Monza
Gustavo Varela 9 gls

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Head to Head: Lazio vs Monza

2 Lazio Wins
1 Draws
0 Monza Wins
Date Home Score Away
09 Feb 2025 Lazio 5 - 1 Monza
10 Nov 2024 Monza 0 - 1 Lazio
04 May 2024 Monza 2 - 2 Lazio
Ver los 6 encuentros — Premium

Lazio — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov H Cagliari W 2 - 1
27 Oct A Sassuolo W 2 - 6
24 Oct H Parma W 2 - 1
18 Oct A Juventus W 0 - 3
11 Oct H Monza W 3 - 1

Monza — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct A Bologna L 2 - 1
28 Oct H Napoli L 1 - 4
23 Oct A Torino L 3 - 2
19 Oct H Cagliari W 4 - 0
11 Oct A Lazio L 3 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Lazio

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: G. Gattuso
35 Mandas
17 Tavares
25 Provstgaard
5 Doekhi
15 Mussolini
24 Taylor
21 Belahyane
16 Frattesi
10 Zaccagni
14 Noslin
11 Isaksen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
35 C. Mandas G
15 R. Floriani Mussolini D
5 D. Doekhi D
25 O. Provstgaard D
17 Nuno Tavares D
16 D. Frattesi M
21 R. Belahyane M
24 K. Taylor M
11 G. Isaksen F
14 T. Noslin F
10 M. Zaccagni F

Substitutes

37 J. Šutalo D
63 F. Serra F
47 D. Renzetti G
28 A. Przyborek M
9 A. Pinamonti F
23 Pedraza D
40 E. Motta G
2 Diogo Leite D
29 M. Lazzari M
71 V. Farcomeni M
7 F. Dele-Bashiru M
32 D. Cataldi M

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: I. Juric
1 Törnqvist
44 Carboni
3 Lucchesi
60 Kouadio
7 Mangas
14 Akinsanmiro
90 Folorunsho
19 Birindelli
22 Zeballos
16 Ngonge
9 Varela

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Törnqvist G
60 E. Kouadio D
3 L. Lucchesi D
44 A. Carboni D
19 S. Birindelli M
90 M. Folorunsho M
14 E. Akinsanmiro M
7 Ricardo Mangas M
16 C. Ngonge M
22 E. Zeballos M
9 Gustavo Varela F

Substitutes

21 L. Colombo M
20 D. Thiam G
28 A. Colpani M
10 P. Cutrone F
2 S. Goglichidze D
5 Y. Maye D
47 Dany Mota F
80 M. Mout M
8 M. Ondoa M
46 Jay Robinson F
43 A. Strajnar G
24 A. Bakoune D
6 V. Antov D

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