SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV Predicción
Predicción SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: Sportiko le da a SC Paderborn 07 un 41% de probabilidad de ganar, a Hamburger SV un 32% y al empate un 27%. Última actualización: 24 Oct 2026, 15:28.
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Match Report
SC Paderborn 07 claimed a narrow but significant 1–0 victory over Hamburger SV in Bundesliga Matchday 7, with the only goal arriving deep in stoppage time. Despite Hamburg dominating possession at 62% and generating an expected goals figure of 1.21 compared to Paderborn's 0.49, the hosts held firm throughout a tightly contested affair that remained goalless at the break.
The match was disrupted by a flurry of substitutions and bookings in the second half, with yellow cards shown to Shafiq Nandja, Jano Ter-Horst, Albert Sambi Lokonga, and another player in the closing stages. Hamburg's six shots on target and six corner kicks reflected their territorial advantage, yet they were unable to convert. Rayan Philippe then settled the contest in the 88th minute, converting a late winner that rewarded Paderborn's defensive resilience.
The result was a surprise given the run of play, though the pre-match AI model had identified a Paderborn win as the most likely outcome at 41%. Paderborn take all three points despite being outplayed for long stretches, leaving Hamburg frustrated after a dominant but ultimately fruitless performance.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
SC Paderborn 07
Match Stats
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Tjark Lasse Scheller D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 82 (74%) | 2 |
| 9 Rayan Philippe F | 7.6 | 20' | 1 | – | 2 | 8 (4%) | – |
| 20 F. Götze D | 7.3 | 28' | – | 1 | – | 18 (18%) | 1 |
| 23 Raphael Obermair M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 43 (33%) | 1 |
| 22 Mattes Hansen D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 88 (81%) | 1 |
| 15 Nahuel Noll G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (37%) | – |
| 6 Tom Baack M | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 11 S. Michel F | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 18 Marvin Pieringer F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | 2 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 40 Gabriel Vidović M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | – |
| 5 Santiago Castañeda M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 51 (40%) | 1 |
| 21 Jano Ter-Horst D | 6.5 | 62' | – | – | – | 47 (43%) | 2 |
| 27 Steffen Tigges F | 6.5 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 17 Laurin Curda M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (33%) | 1 |
| 28 Laurin Ulrich M | 6.3 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 30 Stefano Marino F | 6.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | – |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (23%) | – |
| 33 Sebastiaan Bornauw D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 21 (21%) | 1 |
| 17 Warmed Omari D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (42%) | 1 |
| 15 Yussuf Poulsen F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 8 (3%) | 1 |
| 4 Bilal Nadir M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 25 (23%) | 6 |
| 11 Albert Grønbæk M | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 19 Otto Stange F | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | 2 |
| 20 Fábio Vieira F | 6.4 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 3 David Møller Wolfe M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | 1 |
| 5 Martin Adeline M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | 4 |
| 28 Miro Muheim M | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | 2 |
| 9 Terem Moffi F | 6.1 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 6 Albert Sambi Lokonga M | 6.0 | 19' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 38 Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit F | 5.9 | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 7 Zakaria El Ouahdi M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 27 (16%) | 3 |
| 43 Shafiq Nandja D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (22%) | 2 |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb 2015 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 - 3 | Hamburger SV |
| 30 Aug 2014 | Hamburger SV | 0 - 3 | SC Paderborn 07 |
SC Paderborn 07 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Eintracht Frankfurt | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Borussia Mönchengladbach | D | 0 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H VfB Stuttgart | L | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Hamburger SV | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Werder Bremen | D | 2 - 2 |
Hamburger SV — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | W | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 3 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | A SC Paderborn 07 | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H VfB Stuttgart | W | 1 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Hamburger SV
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: M. Polzin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes | G |
| 43 | S. Nandja | D |
| 33 | S. Bornauw | D |
| 17 | W. Omari | D |
| 7 | Z. El Ouahdi | M |
| 5 | M. Adeline | M |
| 4 | B. Nadir | M |
| 28 | M. Muheim | M |
| 3 | D. Møller Wolfe | M |
| 15 | Y. Poulsen | F |
| 20 | Fábio Vieira | F |
Substitutes
| 38 | Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit | F |
| 19 | Otto Emerson Stange | F |
| 12 | S. Tangvik | G |
| 9 | T. Moffi | F |
| 6 | A. Sambi Lokonga | M |
| 37 | L. Lemke | D |
| 11 | A. Grønbæk | M |
| 48 | J. Bissi Mouelle | D |
| 22 | Kofi Jeremy Amoako | M |
SC Paderborn 07
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: R. Kettemann
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | N. Noll | G |
| 21 | J. ter Horst | D |
| 25 | T. Scheller | D |
| 22 | M. Hansen | D |
| 17 | L. Curda | M |
| 28 | L. Ulrich | M |
| 5 | S. Castañeda | M |
| 40 | G. Vidović | M |
| 23 | R. Obermair | M |
| 30 | S. Marino | F |
| 27 | S. Tigges | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | T. Baack | M |
| 20 | F. Götze | D |
| 11 | S. Michel | F |
| 2 | Ruben Müller | D |
| 9 | R. Philippe | F |
| 18 | M. Pieringer | F |
| 1 | M. Schubert | G |
| 3 | Jonah Benedict Sticker | D |
| 38 | D. Zeitler | F |