Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Predicción

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Weserstadion, Bremen
Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Werder Bremen
53%
24%
22%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: Sportiko le da a Werder Bremen un 53% de probabilidad de ganar, a SC Paderborn 07 un 22% y al empate un 24%. Última actualización: 17 Oct 2026, 15:25.

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
  • Visitante anota 71%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 71%
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Match Report

Werder Bremen were made to work hard for a point at home against SC Paderborn, eventually salvaging a 2–2 draw after a difficult first half. Paderborn took full advantage of their early opportunities, with Stefano Marino — despite picking up a yellow card in the fourth minute — opening the scoring on 18 minutes, before Steffen Tigges doubled the visitors' lead on the half-hour mark. Bremen headed into the break trailing by two despite dominating possession.

The hosts came out transformed after the interval, with Niclas Füllkrug proving the difference-maker. The striker pulled one back on 59 minutes and then converted a penalty just six minutes later to level the match and complete a remarkable turnaround. The pre-match AI model had rated a Werder win as the most likely outcome at 53%, though the final scoreline meant neither side ultimately claimed victory.

Despite controlling 61% of possession and generating 2.88 expected goals to Paderborn's 0.93, Bremen could not find a winner. A late yellow card for Youri Regeer added some tension in the closing stages, but the match ended all square.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 4'
Stefano Marino Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 18'
Stefano Marino assist: Steffen Tigges
⚽ 0–2 30'
Steffen Tigges
Chuki ⇄ M. Weiser
45' ⇄
HT 0–2
Niclas Füllkrug assist: Eren Dinkçi
59' ⚽ 1–2
Eren Dinkçi ⇄ Cédric Itten
63' ⇄
Niclas Füllkrug Penalty
65' ⚽ 2–2
⇄ 66'
Stefano Marino ⇄ Rayan Philippe
⇄ 66'
Laurin Ulrich ⇄ Tom Baack
⇄ 75'
Gabriel Vidović ⇄ Ruben Müller
⇄ 75'
Steffen Tigges ⇄ Marvin Pieringer
Ludovit Reis ⇄ Dariusz Stalmach
79' ⇄
Youri Regeer Yellow Card
86' ▮
Youri Regeer ⇄ Paul Erevbenagie
88' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Mattes Hansen ⇄ Jonah Sticker
FT 2–2
Werder Bremen

Match Stats

SC Paderborn 07
61% Ball Possession 39%
2.88 Expected Goals (xG) 0.93
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 9
627 Total passes 398
537 Passes accurate 319
13 Free Kicks 11
Werder Bremen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Niclas Füllkrug F 8.2 90' 2 – 6 33 (25%) 1
18 Eren Dinkçi M 7.7 63' – 1 1 24 (23%) –
44 Youri Regeer M 7.2 88' – – 1 80 (74%) 2
5 Amos Pieper D 7.0 90' – – – 98 (84%) 7
2 Olivier Deman D 7.0 90' – – 1 76 (70%) 3
32 Marco Friedl D 6.8 90' – – – 94 (85%) –
17 Marco Grüll M 6.5 90' – – 2 56 (48%) –
38 Paul Erevbenagie F 6.5 2' – – – – –
26 Cédric Itten F 6.4 27' – – – 3 (3%) –
8 M. Weiser D 6.4 44' – – 4 20 (14%) –
13 Arthur D 6.2 90' – – 1 54 (39%) 3
15 Ludovit Reis M 6.2 79' – – – 24 (21%) 1
23 Dariusz Stalmach M 6.1 11' – – – 8 (5%) 2
20 Chuki M 6.0 46' – – 2 22 (16%) 1
1 Karl Hein G 5.8 90' – – – 32 (28%) –
SC Paderborn 07
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Nahuel Noll G 8.3 90' – – – 43 (26%) –
27 Steffen Tigges F 8.1 75' 1 1 3 14 (6%) 2
30 Stefano Marino F 7.7 66' 1 – 3 6 (6%) –
25 Tjark Lasse Scheller D 7.1 90' – – – 53 (49%) 3
22 Mattes Hansen D 6.9 88' – – – 50 (46%) 1
2 Ruben Müller D 6.6 15' – – – 16 (14%) –
18 Marvin Pieringer F 6.5 15' – – – 5 (3%) –
9 Rayan Philippe F 6.5 24' – – 1 7 (5%) –
23 Raphael Obermair M 6.5 90' – – 1 31 (25%) 4
21 Jano Ter-Horst D 6.4 90' – – – 40 (33%) 2
5 Santiago Castañeda M 6.4 90' – – 1 30 (22%) 3
28 Laurin Ulrich M 6.3 66' – – – 16 (15%) –
3 Jonah Sticker D 6.3 2' – – – 7 (6%) 2
40 Gabriel Vidović M 6.2 75' – – 1 18 (16%) 1
6 Tom Baack M 6.2 24' – – – 14 (12%) –
17 Laurin Curda M 6.1 90' – – 1 39 (28%) 3
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Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07

  • Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
  • Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Difícil victoria o empate de Werder Bremen
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Werder Bremen
LWLWD
SC Paderborn 07
DDLWD
Last 3 meetings Werder Bremen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Werder Bremen will face SC Paderborn 07. Bremen has shown a solid attacking performance this season, averaging 1.5 goals per match, while Paderborn struggles defensively, conceding over 2 goals per game on average. Bremen's midfield control and ability to retain possession could be critical in breaking down Paderborn's defense. Additionally, Paderborn's reliance on counter-attacks may be stifled by Bremen's organized backline. Expect a tactical battle with Bremen likely looking to capitalize on their offensive prowess.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
22%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Werder Bremen
N. Füllkrug 9 gls
SC Paderborn 07

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07

1 Werder Bremen Wins
1 Draws
1 SC Paderborn 07 Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Jun 2020 SC Paderborn 07 1 - 5 Werder Bremen
08 Dec 2019 Werder Bremen 0 - 1 SC Paderborn 07
26 Apr 2015 SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
Ver los 4 encuentros — Premium

Werder Bremen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A VfB Stuttgart L 1 - 0
31 Oct H 1899 Hoffenheim W 2 - 0
27 Oct A Borussia Dortmund L 3 - 2
24 Oct A FSV Mainz 05 W 2 - 3
17 Oct H SC Paderborn 07 D 2 - 2

SC Paderborn 07 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Eintracht Frankfurt D 2 - 2
31 Oct A Borussia Mönchengladbach D 0 - 0
28 Oct H VfB Stuttgart L 0 - 1
24 Oct H Hamburger SV W 1 - 0
17 Oct A Werder Bremen D 2 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
9 6 3 0 +20 21
2
Borussia Dortmund
9 6 3 0 +9 21
3
RB Leipzig
9 6 0 3 +14 18
4
SC Freiburg
8 5 1 2 +8 16
5
Werder Bremen
9 4 3 2 +2 15
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 4 1 3 +2 13
7
SV Elversberg
9 4 1 4 -1 13
8
VfB Stuttgart
9 4 0 5 0 12
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9 3 3 3 -5 12
10
Hamburger SV
9 4 0 5 -10 12
11
FSV Mainz 05
9 3 1 5 -1 10
12
SC Paderborn 07
9 2 4 3 -3 10
13
FC Augsburg
9 2 3 4 0 9
14
1899 Hoffenheim
8 3 0 5 -2 9
15
1. FC Köln
8 2 3 3 -3 9
16
Union Berlin
8 1 4 3 -12 7
17
FC Schalke 04
8 1 3 4 -5 6
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 1 1 7 -13 4

Werder Bremen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Thioune
1 Hein
2 Deman
32 Friedl
5 Pieper
13 Arthur
44 Regeer
15 Reis
17 Grüll
20 José
18 Dinkçi
10 Füllkrug

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 K. Hein G
13 Arthur D
5 A. Pieper D
32 M. Friedl D
2 O. Deman D
15 L. Reis M
44 Y. Regeer M
18 E. Dinkçi M
20 Chuky San José M
17 M. Grüll M
10 N. Füllkrug F

Substitutes

38 P. Erevbenagie F
26 C. Itten F
30 A. Schlager G
33 Mick Schmetgens D
34 D. Soylu M
23 Dariusz Stalmach M
4 N. Stark D
8 M. Weiser D
3 O. Wójcik D

SC Paderborn 07

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: R. Kettemann
15 Noll
22 Hansen
25 Scheller
21 Horst
5 Castañeda
23 Obermair
40 Vidović
28 Ulrich
17 Curda
27 Tigges
30 Marino

Starting XI

# Player Pos
15 N. Noll G
21 J. ter Horst D
25 T. Scheller D
22 M. Hansen D
5 S. Castañeda M
17 L. Curda M
28 L. Ulrich M
40 G. Vidović M
23 R. Obermair M
30 S. Marino F
27 S. Tigges F

Substitutes

9 R. Philippe F
18 M. Pieringer F
1 M. Schubert G
3 Jonah Benedict Sticker D
38 D. Zeitler F
2 Ruben Müller D
11 S. Michel F
29 C. Lippmann D
6 T. Baack M

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