FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Predicción

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

10 Oct 2026, 13:30

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Bayer Leverkusen

Away

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Bayer Leverkusen

22%

26%

53%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen: Sportiko le da a FSV Mainz 05 un 22% de probabilidad de ganar, a Bayer Leverkusen un 53% y al empate un 26%. Última actualización: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

Last 3 meetings FSV Mainz 05 · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

FSV Mainz 05 will face Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga clash on October 10, 2026. Mainz has struggled for consistency, sitting mid-table, while Leverkusen has been a strong contender for European spots, showcasing a potent attack led by their key forwards. Historically, Leverkusen has performed well against Mainz, with a higher average possession and shot conversion rate. Mainz will need to bolster their defense to withstand Leverkusen's offensive threats and capitalize on counter-attacks to secure points in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayer Leverkusen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	8	9	5	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	6	3	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ FSV Mainz 05 goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz 4 gls

S. Becker 2 gls

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

26%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

26%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	8.1%	8.8%	5.5%	2.5%
1	4.4%	12.1%	10.0%	6.2%	2.9%
2	3.3%	6.1%	5.6%	3.5%	1.6%
3	1.2%	2.3%	2.1%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FSV Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05	12.4%	4.2%	2.8%
Draw	8.4%	15.2%	17.6%
Bayer Leverkusen	1.5%	4.2%	33.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

0 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

2 Draws

1 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Bayer Leverkusen	1 - 1	FSV Mainz 05
18 Oct 2025	FSV Mainz 05	3 - 4	Bayer Leverkusen
17 May 2025	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 2	Bayer Leverkusen

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FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.