Malaga vs Alaves Predicción

La Liga · Regular Season - 22

31 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Alaves

Away

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Alaves

20%

26%

53%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Malaga vs Alaves: Sportiko le da a Malaga un 20% de probabilidad de ganar, a Alaves un 53% y al empate un 26%. Última actualización: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Malaga

LLDDL

Alaves

DLLWW

Last 3 meetings Malaga · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Malaga and Alaves, both teams are currently navigating a competitive season. Malaga has shown a mixed form with a reliance on their defensive structure, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Conversely, Alaves has struggled to convert chances, averaging just 0.9 goals per game. Key players to watch include Malaga's top scorer, who has been pivotal in securing points, and Alaves' playmaker, whose creativity could unlock the Malaga defense. The outcome will likely hinge on whether Alaves can capitalize on their scoring opportunities while neutralizing Malaga's counter-attacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alaves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	9	10	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Malaga goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Malaga

No scorer data.

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

26%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

26%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	9.3%	9.7%	5.8%	2.6%
1	4.8%	12.6%	9.9%	5.9%	2.7%
2	3.2%	5.7%	5.1%	3.1%	1.4%
3	1.1%	2.0%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Malaga	Draw	Alaves
Malaga	11.4%	4.1%	2.7%
Draw	8.1%	16.1%	18.3%
Alaves	1.4%	4.1%	33.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Malaga vs Alaves

0 Malaga Wins

0 Draws

3 Alaves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 May 2018	Malaga	0 - 3	Alaves
21 Dec 2017	Alaves	1 - 0	Malaga
11 Mar 2017	Malaga	1 - 2	Alaves

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Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.