Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid Predicción

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

20 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Atletico Madrid

Away

Llamada IA Atletico Madrid gana o empata

24%

67%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid: Sportiko le da a Celta Vigo un 9% de probabilidad de ganar, a Atletico Madrid un 67% y al empate un 24%. Última actualización: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 16%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Last 3 meetings Celta Vigo · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Celta Vigo will face Atletico Madrid in a La Liga clash on December 20, 2026. Atletico Madrid currently boasts a strong defensive record, allowing only 0.8 goals per match this season. Celta Vigo, while competitive at home, has struggled against top-tier teams, averaging less than 1.5 goals scored in their last five matches. Key players to watch include Celta's Iago Aspas, who can impact the game with his playmaking abilities, and Atletico's Antoine Griezmann, who remains crucial in attack. This matchup will likely hinge on Atletico's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Celta's attacking threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

67%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	16	16	9	4	2
1	4	11	9	5	2	1
2	1	3	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Celta Vigo goals · most likely 0–1 (16.0%)

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Players in form

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	16.0%	15.7%	9.5%	4.3%
1	4.0%	10.7%	8.6%	5.2%	2.4%
2	1.4%	2.6%	2.4%	1.4%	0.7%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Celta Vigo	Draw	Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo	5.5%	2.8%	1.7%
Draw	4.0%	16.6%	19.9%
Atletico Madrid	0.4%	2.8%	46.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

58%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Celta Vigo vs Atletico Madrid

1 Celta Vigo Wins

2 Draws

0 Atletico Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 May 2026	Atletico Madrid	0 - 1	Celta Vigo
05 Oct 2025	Celta Vigo	1 - 1	Atletico Madrid
15 Feb 2025	Atletico Madrid	1 - 1	Celta Vigo

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Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.