Barcelona vs Real Madrid Predicción

La Liga · Regular Season - 10

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Real Madrid

Away

Camp Nou, Barcelona

Llamada IA Barcelona gana o empata

76%

17%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Sportiko le da a Barcelona un 76% de probabilidad de ganar, a Real Madrid un 8% y al empate un 17%. Última actualización: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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76% 73% 71%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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Barcelona

WWWWW

Real Madrid

LWWWL

Last 3 meetings Barcelona · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming El Clásico, Barcelona will face Real Madrid in a highly anticipated La Liga clash. Historically, this rivalry sees both teams evenly matched, with Barcelona holding a slight edge in recent encounters. Barcelona's attacking prowess, led by their dynamic forwards, will be tested against Real Madrid's resilient defense, which has shown improvement this season. Key players to watch include Barcelona’s midfield maestro and Real Madrid’s prolific goal-scorer, both of whom can change the course of the match. Tactical adjustments and the ability to capitalize on set pieces could prove decisive in this fixture.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	4	2	1
1	8	8	3	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	11	8	3	1
4	7	5	2	1
5	4	3	1

↑ Barcelona goals · most likely 2–0 (12.2%)

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Players in form

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 7 gls

J. Bellingham 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

65%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

76% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

65%

59%

3.5

41%

78%

4.5

22%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

21%

23%

20%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	1.7%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
1	8.3%	7.9%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%
2	12.2%	9.3%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	10.8%	8.2%	3.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	7.2%	5.5%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

30%

27%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Barcelona	Draw	Real Madrid
Barcelona	54.0%	2.3%	0.5%
Draw	20.6%	9.6%	2.8%
Real Madrid	3.0%	2.8%	4.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Barcelona vs Real Madrid

2 Barcelona Wins

0 Draws

1 Real Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Barcelona	2 - 0	Real Madrid
26 Oct 2025	Real Madrid	2 - 1	Barcelona
11 May 2025	Barcelona	4 - 3	Real Madrid

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Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Inter	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.