Osasuna vs Racing Santander Predicción

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
Llamada IA Osasuna o empate
47%
27%
26%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Osasuna vs Racing Santander: Sportiko le da a Osasuna un 47% de probabilidad de ganar, a Racing Santander un 26% y al empate un 27%. Última actualización: 18 Oct 2026, 13:54.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Visitante anota 72%
Los miembros Premium tuvieron acceso a estas selecciones antes del inicio del partido. Ver predicciones Premium

Match Report

Osasuna secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Racing Santander in matchday nine of La Liga, with the result rarely in doubt after a dramatic opening spell. The game's early momentum shifted quickly when Jonathan Dubasin had a goal ruled out by VAR in the fifth minute, before Ante Budimir converted a penalty just four minutes later to put Osasuna ahead. Racing struggled to respond, and the hosts carried their lead into the break.

The second half followed a similar pattern, with Osasuna controlling the contest despite Racing enjoying the majority of possession at 57%. The visitors managed just one shot on target throughout the entire match, while Osasuna generated an impressive 3.42 expected goals compared to Racing's 0.31, underlining the gulf in attacking threat. A flurry of substitutions from both sides did little to alter the dynamic.

Asier Osambela wrapped up the points with a goal in the 88th minute, confirming a dominant performance for the hosts. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Osasuna win as the most likely outcome at 47%, a call that proved correct as the Navarrans moved up the standings.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jonathan Dubasin Goal cancelled
5' 🖵
▮ 6'
Alvaro Mantilla Yellow Card
Ante Budimir Penalty
9' ⚽ 1–0
Valentin Rosier Yellow Card
28' ▮
⇄ 45'
André Almeida ⇄ Andrés Martín
HT 1–0
▮ 51'
Jorge Salinas Yellow Card
Ante Budimir Yellow Card
60' ▮
Moi Gómez ⇄ Asier Osambela
67' ⇄
Iker Muñoz ⇄ Lucas Torró
67' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Sergio Canales ⇄ Pablo García
Jonathan Dubasin ⇄ Raúl Moro
76' ⇄
Valentin Rosier ⇄ Iñigo Arguibide
76' ⇄
▮ 80'
Iván Martín Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
Jorge Salinas ⇄ Aarón Martín
⇄ 83'
Iván Martín ⇄ Asier Villalibre
Asier Osambela
88' ⚽ 2–0
Rubén García ⇄ Raúl García de Haro
90+1' ⇄
⇄ 90+2'
Yassir Zabiri ⇄ Giorgi Guliashvili
FT 2–0
Osasuna

Match Stats

Racing Santander
43% Ball Possession 57%
3.42 Expected Goals (xG) 0.31
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 3
16 Shots insidebox 1
4 Shots outsidebox 8
7 Corner Kicks 4
4 Offsides 2
21 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
327 Total passes 425
245 Passes accurate 363
7 Free Kicks 19
Osasuna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Asier Osambela M 7.8 23' 1 – 3 6 (4%) –
22 Flavien Boyomo D 7.6 90' – – 1 24 (21%) 2
24 Alejandro Catena D 7.2 90' – – 1 30 (22%) –
27 Iñigo Arguibide D 7.2 14' – – 1 1 (1%) 1
23 Abel Bretones D 7.1 90' – – – 36 (26%) 4
17 Ante Budimir F 7.0 90' 1 – 4 16 (13%) 2
19 Valentin Rosier D 6.9 76' – – 1 22 (17%) –
14 Rubén García F 6.9 91' – – 2 27 (23%) 2
6 Lucas Torró M 6.8 23' – – – 4 (3%) –
8 Iker Muñoz M 6.7 67' – – 2 28 (22%) 1
16 Moi Gómez M 6.6 67' – – – 28 (20%) 2
13 Aitor Fernández G 6.6 90' – – – 35 (16%) –
7 Jon Moncayola M 6.5 90' – – – 33 (27%) –
18 Raúl Moro F 6.5 14' – – 1 3 (2%) –
21 Jonathan Dubasin F 6.3 76' – – 4 26 (23%) 1
Racing Santander
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Julen Agirrezabala G 7.7 90' – – – 23 (20%) –
11 Andrés Martín F 6.7 44' – – 1 15 (13%) –
8 André Almeida M 6.6 46' – – 1 16 (15%) 2
18 Matteo Prati M 6.5 90' – – 1 41 (37%) 3
5 Pablo Ramón D 6.5 90' – – – 64 (57%) –
24 Jeanuël Belocian D 6.4 90' – – – 33 (31%) –
20 Sergio Canales M 6.4 69' – – 3 25 (23%) –
15 Pablo García F 6.3 21' – – 2 6 (5%) –
10 Iñigo Vicente M 6.3 90' – – – 62 (51%) 1
12 Asier Villalibre F 6.3 7' – – – 3 (2%) –
21 Yassir Zabiri F 6.2 90' – – 1 3 (3%) –
3 Aarón Martín D 6.1 7' – – – 2 (2%) –
2 Alvaro Mantilla D 6.0 90' – – – 60 (47%) 6
23 Iván Martín M 5.6 83' – – – 50 (41%) 1
17 Jorge Salinas D 5.6 83' – – – 18 (14%) 1
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Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Osasuna vs Racing Santander

  • Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
  • Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Osasuna o empate
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Osasuna
DLWLW
Racing Santander
WLWWL
Last 3 meetings Osasuna · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Osasuna will face Racing Santander in a La Liga clash on October 18, 2026. Historically, Osasuna has been strong at home, leveraging their tactical discipline and solid defensive structure, while Racing Santander struggles with consistency away. Recent form indicates that Osasuna averages 1.5 goals per match at home, compared to Racing's 0.8 away goals. This match could hinge on Osasuna's ability to exploit Racing's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in transitions. Expect a closely contested match, but Osasuna's home performance could give them the edge.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
26%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Osasuna
A. Budimir 8 gls
Racing Santander
M. Zabiri 8 gls

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Head to Head: Osasuna vs Racing Santander

2 Osasuna Wins
0 Draws
1 Racing Santander Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 Jul 2026 Osasuna 2 - 0 Racing Santander
13 May 2012 Racing Santander 2 - 4 Osasuna
15 Jan 2012 Osasuna 0 - 2 Racing Santander
Ver los 5 encuentros — Premium

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Athletic Club D 1 - 1
02 Nov A Deportivo La Coruna L 2 - 1
29 Oct A Atletico Calatayud W 0 - 6
26 Oct A Sevilla L 2 - 0
18 Oct H Racing Santander W 2 - 0

Racing Santander — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Malaga W 1 - 2
01 Nov H Real Madrid L 0 - 3
29 Oct A Ribadesella CF W 0 - 2
24 Oct H Espanyol W 2 - 1
18 Oct A Osasuna L 2 - 0

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
11 10 0 1 +34 30
2
Real Madrid
12 10 0 2 +21 30
3
Atletico Madrid
11 9 1 1 +14 28
4
Real Betis
11 7 2 2 +3 23
5
Real Sociedad
11 6 1 4 0 19
6
Sevilla
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Athletic Club
11 4 4 3 +4 16
8
Deportivo La Coruna
12 3 6 3 +1 15
9
Racing Santander
12 4 2 6 -13 14
10
Alaves
12 3 4 5 -2 13
11
Villarreal
11 3 3 5 0 12
12
Celta Vigo
11 2 6 3 0 12
13
Espanyol
12 3 3 6 -1 12
14
Rayo Vallecano
10 3 3 4 -5 12
15
Getafe
11 3 3 5 -8 12
16
Osasuna
12 3 3 6 -11 12
17
Elche
11 2 4 5 -4 10
18
Levante
11 2 4 5 -5 10
19
Valencia
12 2 3 7 -12 9
20
Malaga
12 0 5 7 -14 5

Osasuna

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Arrasate
13 Fernández
23 Bretones
22 Boyomo
24 Catena
19 Rosier
16 Gómez
8 Muñoz
7 Moncayola
21 Dubasin
17 Budimir
14 García

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Aitor Fernández G
19 V. Rosier D
24 Catena D
22 F. Boyomo D
23 Abel Bretones D
7 Moncayola M
8 Iker Muñoz M
16 Moi Gómez M
14 Rubén García F
17 A. Budimir F
21 Jonathan Dubasin F

Substitutes

11 Kike Barja F
48 R. Yeboah D
6 Lucas Torró M
35 U. Santos D
15 Diego Rico D
31 Rafa Fernández G
29 Asier Osambela M
27 Íñigo Arguibide D
26 Mauro Echegoyen M
9 Raúl García F
1 Sergio Herrera G
18 Raul Moro F

Racing Santander

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: José Alberto López
13 Agirrezabala
17 Salinas
24 Belocian
5 Ramón
2 Mantilla
18 Prati
23 Martín
10 Vicente
8 Almeida
20 Canales
21 Zabiri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Julen Agirrezabala G
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
5 Pablo Ramón D
24 J. Belocian D
17 Jorge Salinas D
23 Iván Martín M
18 M. Prati M
20 Sergio Canales M
8 André Almeida M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
21 M. Zabiri F

Substitutes

12 Asier Villalibre F
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
15 Pablo García F
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza M
22 Pedro Felipe D
11 Andrés Martín F
3 Aarón Martín D
19 Iker Luque F
7 G. Guliashvili F
14 M. Gueye M
16 Facundo González D
31 Laro Gómez G

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