Celta Vigo vs Malaga Predicción
Predicción Celta Vigo vs Malaga: Sportiko le da a Celta Vigo un 53% de probabilidad de ganar, a Malaga un 19% y al empate un 28%. Última actualización: 13 Sep 2026, 13:58.
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Match Report
Celta Vigo and Malaga shared the points in a 1–1 draw in matchday five of La Liga, despite the home side's AI-backed pre-match advantage proving only partially justified. The first half was disrupted early by yellow cards for Einar Galilea and Yoel Lago in quick succession, before Ferran Jutglà broke the deadlock with a composed finish on 41 minutes to send Celta into the break with a one-goal cushion.
The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides as Malaga pushed to find an equaliser. Their persistence paid off when Adrián Niño Heredia levelled matters on 83 minutes, cancelling out Jutglà's opener just a minute before the Celta forward was withdrawn from the pitch. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Celta win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that ultimately fell short as Malaga snatched a late share of the spoils.
Despite Celta's greater threat in front of goal — recording 17 total shots and five on target compared to Malaga's two — they were unable to hold on, with the visitors' superior possession of 55% eventually telling in the closing stages.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Celta Vigo
Match Stats
Celta Vigo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Ferran Jutglà F | 8.2 | 84' | 1 | – | 3 | 17 (15%) | – |
| 16 Hugo González F | 7.5 | 62' | – | 1 | 3 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 6 Ilaix Moriba M | 7.1 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 40 (36%) | 1 |
| 21 Sebastián Cáceres D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (57%) | 1 |
| 3 Marcos Alonso D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 65 (55%) | 2 |
| 30 Hugo Burcio M | 6.9 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 17 Javier Rueda M | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 8 Miguel Román M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 65 (56%) | 3 |
| 13 Ionuț Radu G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 19 Williot Swedberg M | 6.5 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 22 Javi Galán D | 6.5 | 6' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 5 Sergio Carreira M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (33%) | 1 |
| 23 Hugo Álvarez F | 6.4 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 18 (16%) | – |
| 18 Yoel Lago D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (58%) | 1 |
| 24 Couhaib Driouech F | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 10 Iago Aspas F | 6.1 | 6' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
Malaga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Adrián Niño Heredia F | 8.2 | 23' | 1 | – | 3 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 18 Pablo Martínez M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 49 (42%) | – |
| 1 Alfonso Herrero G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (46%) | – |
| 12 Jose Salinas D | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 48 (46%) | 2 |
| 15 Ángel Recio D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 66 (64%) | – |
| 6 Ramón Enríquez M | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 43 (41%) | 1 |
| 31 Rafa Garrido D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (50%) | 1 |
| 10 David Larrubia M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 27 (23%) | 1 |
| 23 Izan Merino M | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | – | 54 (52%) | – |
| 22 Dani Lorenzo F | 6.4 | 67' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | – |
| 19 Juan Cruz M | 6.4 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 25 Juan Berrocal D | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 3 Carlos Puga D | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 2 |
| 4 Einar Galilea D | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 64 (57%) | – |
| 11 Joaquín Muñoz M | 6.0 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 9 Chupete F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (7%) | – |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Celta Vigo vs Malaga
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Celta Vigo vs Malaga
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2018 | Celta Vigo | 0 - 0 | Malaga |
| 29 Oct 2017 | Malaga | 2 - 1 | Celta Vigo |
| 07 May 2017 | Malaga | 3 - 0 | Celta Vigo |
Celta Vigo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 5 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Omonia Nicosia | L | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Malaga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | A Getafe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | A Real Sociedad | D | 0 - 0 |
Malaga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Getafe | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | H Villarreal | L | 1 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | A Celta Vigo | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Levante | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Real Madrid | L | 4 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Celta Vigo
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Craig Bellamy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | I. Radu | G |
| 21 | S. Cáceres | D |
| 18 | Yoel Lago | D |
| 3 | Marcos Alonso | D |
| 17 | Javi Rueda | M |
| 8 | Miguel Román | M |
| 6 | I. Moriba | M |
| 5 | Sergio Carreira | M |
| 16 | Hugo González | F |
| 9 | Ferran Jutglà | F |
| 23 | Hugo Álvarez | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Iván Villar | G |
| 19 | W. Swedberg | M |
| 2 | C. Starfelt | D |
| 20 | Javi Rodríguez | D |
| 15 | Álvaro Núñez | D |
| 22 | Javi Galán | D |
| 11 | Pablo Durán | F |
| 24 | C. Driouech | F |
| 30 | H. Burcio | M |
| 1 | A. Bayındır | G |
| 10 | Iago Aspas | F |
| 4 | A. Faye | D |
Malaga
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Funes
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alfonso Herrero | G |
| 31 | Rafita | D |
| 15 | Ángel Recio | D |
| 4 | Einar Galilea | D |
| 12 | José Salinas | D |
| 10 | David Larrubia | M |
| 23 | Izan Merino | M |
| 18 | Pablo Martínez | M |
| 11 | Joaquín Muñoz | M |
| 22 | Dani Lorenzo | F |
| 9 | Chupe | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Juan Berrocal | D |
| 2 | J. Cajuste | M |
| 19 | Juan Cruz | M |
| 6 | Ramón Enríquez | M |
| 32 | J. Fernandez | F |
| 17 | Eneko Jauregi | F |
| 13 | Carlos López | G |
| 21 | Adrián Niño Heredia | F |
| 3 | Puga | D |
| 14 | Rafa Rodríguez | M |