Espanyol vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

22 Aug 2026, 19:30

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Real Madrid

Away

Llamada IA Real Madrid o empate

27%

30%

43%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Espanyol vs Real Madrid prediction: Sportiko gives Espanyol a 27% chance of winning, Real Madrid 43% and the draw 30%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:43.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Espanyol

DDDDW

Real Madrid

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings Espanyol · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this La Liga matchup, Espanyol faces Real Madrid, a team that has historically dominated this fixture, winning 67% of their encounters over the last decade. Real Madrid's attacking prowess, led by their high goal-scoring forwards, contrasts with Espanyol's defensive struggles, as they conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match last season. Additionally, Madrid's midfield control will be crucial against Espanyol's sporadic pressing. Given these factors, Real Madrid is favored to secure a victory, though Espanyol will aim to capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	10	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Espanyol goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

30%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

30%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	9.8%	8.3%	4.0%	1.5%
1	7.0%	14.1%	9.1%	4.4%	1.6%
2	4.8%	6.9%	5.0%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.7%	2.5%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Espanyol	Draw	Real Madrid
Espanyol	15.6%	4.1%	1.8%
Draw	10.7%	18.6%	14.5%
Real Madrid	1.7%	4.7%	28.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Espanyol vs Real Madrid

1 Espanyol Wins

0 Draws

2 Real Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Espanyol	0 - 2	Real Madrid
20 Sep 2025	Real Madrid	2 - 0	Espanyol
01 Feb 2025	Espanyol	1 - 0	Real Madrid

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Espanyol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Middlesbrough	D	3 - 3
29 Jul	A Burnley	D	2 - 2
25 Jul	H Sabadell	D	1 - 1
23 May	H Real Sociedad	D	1 - 1
17 May	A Osasuna	W	1 - 2

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Fiorentina	D	2 - 2
28 Jul	H Leganes	W	2 - 1
23 May	H Athletic Club	W	4 - 2
17 May	A Sevilla	W	0 - 1
14 May	H Oviedo	W	2 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.