Bournemouth vs Liverpool Predicción
Predicción Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Sportiko le da a Bournemouth un 31% de probabilidad de ganar, a Liverpool un 44% y al empate un 26%. Última actualización: 20 Sep 2026, 14:51.
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Match Report
Bournemouth and Liverpool played out a tight, goalless first half at the Vitality Stadium, with neither side able to create a clear breakthrough despite Liverpool edging possession and shots across the opening 45 minutes.
The decisive moment arrived just after the interval when Alexander Isak broke the deadlock in the 57th minute, giving Liverpool the lead. Isak's afternoon was eventful in the shortest space of time — he was booked just a minute after scoring and was eventually withdrawn in the 81st minute alongside Dominik Szoboszlai, who had also picked up a yellow card early in the second half. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Liverpool win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved correct.
Bournemouth pushed for an equaliser, making a triple substitution in the 75th minute to inject fresh energy, but they could not find a way through despite finishing with nine total shots. Liverpool held firm, limiting the hosts to just two shots on target, and secured all three points with a narrow but controlled victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Bournemouth
Match Stats
Bournemouth
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 António Silva D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (42%) | 2 |
| 5 James Hill D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 4 |
| 8 Alex Scott M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (42%) | – |
| 12 Tyler Adams M | 6.6 | 88' | – | – | – | 45 (39%) | 2 |
| 37 Rayan M | 6.5 | 88' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 2 |
| 3 Adrien Truffert D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (27%) | 2 |
| 11 Ben Gannon-Doak F | 6.4 | 2' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 4 Lewis Cook M | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 1 Đorđe Petrović G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (13%) | – |
| 9 Evanilson F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (17%) | 2 |
| 7 David Brooks M | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 15 Adam Smith D | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | – |
| 29 Daniel Jebbison F | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 10 Ryan Christie M | 6.1 | 75' | – | – | 4 | 26 (20%) | – |
| 16 Marcus Tavernier M | 6.1 | 75' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 3 |
| 27 Alex Tóth M | 5.9 | 2' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Liverpool
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 V. van Dijk D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 76 (68%) | – |
| 9 Alexander Isak F | 7.6 | 81' | 1 | – | 3 | 16 (11%) | – |
| 5 Jérémy Jacquet D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (51%) | 2 |
| 1 Alisson G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | – |
| 18 C. Gakpo M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 27 (21%) | 2 |
| 33 Ronald Araújo D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (32%) | 2 |
| 42 Trey Nyoni M | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 10 Alexis Mac Allister M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | 1 |
| 6 Miloš Kerkez D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (27%) | 1 |
| 7 Florian Wirtz M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 37 (26%) | 3 |
| 23 Victor Muñoz F | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 29 Bradley Barcola M | 6.6 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 8 Dominik Szoboszlai M | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 39 (34%) | 2 |
| 38 R. Gravenberch M | 6.4 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 67 Lewis Koumas F | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Bournemouth vs Liverpool
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 76: Liverpool leads 0-1. Win probability: 84.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.5%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Liverpool win: 76.4%. BTTS: 40.7%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Liverpool win: 73.6%. BTTS: 52%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
M. Tavernier
3 gls
A. Isak
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bournemouth vs Liverpool
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 3 - 2 | Liverpool |
| 15 Aug 2025 | Liverpool | 4 - 2 | Bournemouth |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | Liverpool |
Bournemouth — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Liverpool | L | 0 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Real Sociedad | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Brentford | D | 2 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | H Lincoln | W | 4 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Newcastle | D | 2 - 2 |
Liverpool — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Bournemouth | W | 0 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Tottenham | W | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Fulham | D | 0 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | H Atletico Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Ipswich | W | 0 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Bournemouth
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Rose
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Đ. Petrović | G |
| 15 | A. Smith | D |
| 5 | J. Hill | D |
| 14 | António Silva | D |
| 3 | A. Truffert | D |
| 12 | T. Adams | M |
| 8 | A. Scott | M |
| 37 | Rayan | M |
| 10 | R. Christie | M |
| 16 | M. Tavernier | M |
| 9 | Evanilson | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | D. Jebbison | F |
| 27 | A. Tóth | M |
| 24 | Juanlu Sánchez | M |
| 11 | B. Doak | F |
| 7 | D. Brooks | M |
| 4 | L. Cook | M |
| 18 | B. Diakité | D |
| 6 | J. Soler | D |
| 20 | M. Di Gregorio | G |
Liverpool
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alisson Becker | G |
| 33 | R. Araújo | D |
| 5 | J. Jacquet | D |
| 4 | V. van Dijk | D |
| 6 | M. Kerkez | D |
| 8 | D. Szoboszlai | M |
| 10 | A. Mac Allister | M |
| 18 | C. Gakpo | M |
| 7 | F. Wirtz | M |
| 29 | B. Barcola | M |
| 9 | A. Isak | F |
Substitutes
| 73 | R. Ngumoha | F |
| 67 | L. Koumas | F |
| 23 | Víctor Muñoz | F |
| 42 | T. Nyoni | M |
| 38 | R. Gravenberch | M |
| 30 | J. Frimpong | D |
| 21 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 2 | J. Gomez | D |
| 25 | G. Mamardashvili | G |