AC Oulu vs Ilves Predicción

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Ilves

Away

Raatin stadion, Oulu

Llamada IA AC Oulu o empate

41%

28%

31%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción AC Oulu vs Ilves: Sportiko le da a AC Oulu un 41% de probabilidad de ganar, a Ilves un 31% y al empate un 28%. Última actualización: 2 Aug 2026, 15:53.

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Local anota 75%
Menos de 3.5 goles 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

▮ 43'

S. Väisänen Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

J. Kilo ⇄ J. Kanga

assist: R. Karjalainen

55' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 63'

S. Väisänen

⇄ 63'

M. Rale

⇄ 69'

S. Baranov

⇄ N. Jokelainen

74' ⇄

⇄ 80'

A. Popovitch

R. Karjalainen ⇄ M. Ojala

85' ⇄

J. Paananen

85' ⇄

J. Lietsa Yellow Card

86' ▮

FT 1–0

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

AC Oulu o empate

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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AC Oulu

LLLDW

Ilves

WWWLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, AC Oulu will face Ilves. AC Oulu has shown a solid home record, leveraging their offensive capabilities, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Ilves has struggled on the road, with a defensive record that has seen them concede an average of 1.8 goals per away game. This matchup presents a potential advantage for Oulu, particularly if they can exploit Ilves' defensive vulnerabilities. Key players to watch will be Oulu's leading scorer and Ilves' goalkeeper, who will be crucial in determining the match outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ilves goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ AC Oulu goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

AC Oulu

J. Körkkö 2 gls

E. Kallio 2 gls

Ilves

T. Hytönen 7 gls

J. Kanga 4 gls

E. Tamminen 3 gls

M. Stjopin 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	7.4%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
1	9.5%	14.3%	7.2%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.8%	8.9%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.6%	4.1%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Oulu	Draw	Ilves
AC Oulu	24.8%	3.8%	1.2%
Draw	15.2%	18.8%	9.6%
Ilves	2.3%	5.1%	19.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Oulu vs Ilves

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Inter Turku	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Gnistan	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A VPS	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H SJK	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	A FF Jaro	W	0 - 1

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joni Lehtonen

12 Krkalić

3 Rale

5 Väisänen

16 Miettunen

13 Wallius

14 Popovitch

22 Multala

24 Kumpu

28 Kilo

17 Baranov

9 Hytönen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Faris Krkalić	G
16	Tatu Miettunen	D
5	Sauli Väisänen	D
3	Matias Rale	D
24	Ville Kumpu	D
22	Oskari Multala	M
14	Anton Popovitch	M
13	Kalle Wallius	M
17	Stanislav Baranov	M
28	Jesse Kilo	M
9	Teemu Hytönen	F

Substitutes

30	Jardell Kanga	M
4	Oliver Pettersson	D
19	Abdoul Goudouss Bamba	D
25	Sebastian Suvanne	D
1	Otso Virtanen	G
15	Lauri Ala-Myllymäki	M
33	Yacouba Sacko	M
10	Roope Riski	F
45	Elias Tamminen	F

AC Oulu

Formation: 3-2-4-1 Coach: Mikko Isokangas

13 Santos

18 Cassama

66 Pirinen

3 Lietsa

6 Paananen

25 Arsalo

22 Kaukua

27 Kallio

7 Karjalainen

11 Ghezali

32 Koné

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Miguel Santos	G
3	Alex Lietsa	D
66	Juha Pirinen	D
18	Adramane Cassama	M
25	Markus Arsalo	M
6	Julius Paananen	M
11	Lamine Ghezali	M
7	Rasmus Karjalainen	M
27	Elias Kallio	M
22	Tuomas Kaukua	M
32	Abdoulaye Koné	F

Substitutes

14	Niklas Jokelainen	M
99	Niklas Schulz	G
2	Sami Sipola	D
5	Mikko Pitkänen	D
16	Otto Kemppainen	D
29	Santeri Silander	D
8	Matias Ojala	M
20	Kalifa Jatta	M