Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC Predicción

Liga MX · Apertura - 3

Post on X

Atlante FC

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

Llamada IA Cruz Azul gana o empata

77%

16%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC: Sportiko le da a Cruz Azul un 77% de probabilidad de ganar, a Atlante FC un 7% y al empate un 16%. Última actualización: 2 Aug 2026, 05:04.

Picks Premium

Premium

Local anota 2+ 73%

Los miembros Premium tuvieron acceso a estas selecciones antes del inicio del partido. Ver predicciones Premium

Timeline

▮ 15'

Luis Calzadilla Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 44'

Luis Puente assist: Walter Portales

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 47'

Luis Calzadilla assist: Jhojan Julio

Gonzalo Piovi ⇄ Carlos Rodríguez

57' ⇄

Andres Montaño ⇄ José Paradela

57' ⇄

⇄ 59'

Luis Puente

Nicolás Ibáñez assist: Carlos Rodríguez

60' ⚽ 1–2

Osinachi Ebere ⇄ Gabriel Fernández

61' ⇄

Luka Romero ⇄ Erik Lira

61' ⇄

Carlos Rodríguez Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 69'

Eugenio Pizzuto ⇄ Leonardo Mejía

Willer Ditta Yellow Card

73' ▮

⚽ 1–3 75'

Jhojan Julio Penalty

⇄ 81'

Walter Portales ⇄ Armando Escobar

⇄ 81'

Luis Calzadilla ⇄ Walter Clar

Nicolás Ibáñez

86' ⇄

Gabriel Fernández Missed Penalty

90+3' ✗

Agustín Palavecino assist: Gabriel Fernández

90+10' ⚽ 2–3

FT 2–3

Cruz Azul

Match Stats

Atlante FC

61% Ball Possession 39%

2.72 Expected Goals (xG) 1.89

16 Total Shots 11

9 Shots on Goal 7

2 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 4

4 Shots outsidebox 7

7 Corner Kicks 5

4 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 7

444 Total passes 275

376 Passes accurate 210

85% Passes % 76%

0.97 goals_prevented 0.97

Cruz Azul

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Agustín Palavecino M	7.6	100'	1	–	2	71 (57%)	1
19 Carlos Rodríguez M	7.2	43'	–	1	–	28 (26%)	–
20 José Paradela F	6.9	43'	–	–	1	17 (11%)	–
6 Erik Lira M	6.6	39'	–	–	–	31 (26%)	–
16 Jeremy Márquez D	6.5	100'	–	–	–	57 (48%)	1
5 Jesús Orozco D	6.3	100'	–	–	–	55 (47%)	2
33 Gonzalo Piovi D	6.2	57'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	–
21 Gabriel Fernández F	5.6	39'	–	–	2	5 (3%)	–
4 Willer Ditta D	5.3	100'	–	–	–	44 (40%)	1

Atlante FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Luis Calzadilla M	8.2	81'	1	–	4	23 (20%)	2
7 Jhojan Julio F	7.7	100'	1	1	3	22 (18%)	3
1 Óscar Jiménez G	7.6	100'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	–
3 Luis Sánchez D	7.2	100'	–	–	–	33 (23%)	4
25 Martín Fernández M	7.2	100'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	2
29 Walter Portales D	6.9	81'	–	1	–	16 (13%)	2
6 Nicolas Carrera D	6.7	100'	–	–	–	31 (28%)	3
4 Eduardo Tercero D	6.6	100'	–	–	–	21 (14%)	2
8 Eugenio Pizzuto M	6.6	69'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	–
37 Walter Clar D	6.2	19'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	1

Premium

Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC

Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
Ventaja de Valor — modelo vs. mercado
Tipos de selección que eliges

Hazte Premium

Confidence High (77%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Cruz Azul gana o empata

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.4%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Atlante FC

WDLDD

Match summary

Cruz Azul enters this Liga MX clash against Atlante FC with a solid home record, having secured 60% of their points at home this season. They boast a robust attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Atlante has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but Cruz Azul's offensive capabilities could prove decisive. Key players to watch include Cruz Azul's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Atlante's reliance on set pieces for scoring. Overall, Cruz Azul will aim to capitalize on their advantages to secure a vital win.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

77%

45%

Draw

16%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlante FC goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	1
1	14	5	1
2	19	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	11	3	1
5	6	2

↑ Cruz Azul goals · most likely 2–0 (19.4%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

Atlante FC

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

¿Por qué esta selección? · Premium Análisis Profundo IA · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

70%

3.5

30%

87%

4.5

13%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

98% Home (No Draw) 2% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

65% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

86% Home Scores More 12% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

70%

3.5

30%

87%

4.5

13%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

24%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	1.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	14.1%	5.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.4%	5.8%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	17.1%	5.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	11.4%	3.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

17%

29%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruz Azul	Draw	Atlante FC
Cruz Azul	59.0%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	26.6%	8.5%	1.2%
Atlante FC	1.4%	1.0%	1.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

77%

3.5

23%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

90%

0.5

10%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

Atlante FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	H Monterrey	W	4 - 2
19 Sep	A Puebla	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 3
06 Sep	A Atlas	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Leon	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.