Cruz Azul vs Puebla Predicción

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 2
FT
Post on X
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Llamada IA Cruz Azul gana o empata
77%
19%
4%
Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Cruz Azul vs Puebla: Sportiko le da a Cruz Azul un 77% de probabilidad de ganar, a Puebla un 4% y al empate un 19%. Última actualización: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 28'
Fernando Monarrez assist: Alberto Herrera
Luka Romero Yellow Card
37' ▮
Luka Romero assist: Jeremy Márquez
44' ⚽ 1–1
Nicolás Ibáñez Yellow Card
45+2' ▮
HT 1–1
⇄ 56'
Alberto Herrera ⇄ Carlos Baltazar
⇄ 56'
Luifer Hernández ⇄ Eduardo Mustre
Nicolás Ibáñez ⇄ Agustín Palavecino
58' ⇄
Gonzalo Piovi ⇄ Willer Ditta
58' ⇄
Luka Romero ⇄ Amaury Garcia
67' ⇄
Gabriel Fernández ⇄ Omar Campos
67' ⇄
Carlos Rotondi ⇄ Osinachi Ebere
68' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Alejandro Organista ⇄ Alonso Ramirez
⇄ 78'
Kevin Velasco ⇄ Brayan Garnica
Osinachi Ebere assist: José Paradela
82' ⚽ 2–1
▮ 84'
Alonso Ramirez Yellow Card
⇄ 87'
Sergio Sanabria ⇄ Mathías Tomás
▮ 90+1'
Eduardo Mustre Yellow Card
▮ 90+5'
Fernando Monarrez Yellow Card
FT 2–1
Cruz Azul

Match Stats

Puebla
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 1
6 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 4
12 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
564 Total passes 273
507 Passes accurate 209
7 Free Kicks 11
Cruz Azul
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Osinachi Ebere F 8.2 22' 1 – 3 7 (6%) –
18 Luka Romero M 8.2 67' 1 – 1 35 (31%) 2
20 José Paradela M 7.3 90' – 1 – 47 (39%) –
19 Carlos Rodríguez M 7.2 90' – – 2 78 (69%) –
33 Gonzalo Piovi D 7.0 58' – – – 77 (73%) 2
29 Carlos Rotondi D 6.9 68' – – 1 34 (29%) 2
5 Jesús Orozco D 6.9 90' – – 2 77 (75%) 2
6 Erik Lira M 6.8 90' – – 1 62 (58%) 3
3 Omar Campos D 6.7 23' – – 1 6 (6%) –
23 Kevin Mier G 6.6 90' – – – 24 (22%) –
8 Agustín Palavecino M 6.6 32' – – 4 15 (12%) 1
4 Willer Ditta D 6.4 32' – – – 22 (18%) 2
17 Amaury Garcia M 6.3 23' – – – 8 (7%) –
21 Gabriel Fernández F 6.3 67' – – 3 10 (9%) 1
7 Nicolás Ibáñez F 6.2 58' – – 1 9 (7%) –
Puebla
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Fernando Monarrez D 7.9 90' 1 – 2 29 (26%) 3
28 Daniel Gutierrez G 6.9 90' – – – 20 (12%) –
3 Alberto Herrera M 6.7 56' – 1 – 10 (8%) 2
11 Emiliano Gómez F 6.6 90' – – – 19 (14%) 1
2 Angel Leyva D 6.6 90' – 1 1 24 (18%) 3
26 Kevin Velasco F 6.5 78' – – 2 26 (19%) 1
5 Facundo Almada D 6.4 90' – – 2 24 (17%) 1
27 Brayan Garnica F 6.4 12' – – – 3 (3%) 1
4 Juan Pablo Vargas D 6.2 90' – – – 34 (27%) –
22 Carlos Baltazar M 6.2 34' – – – 10 (8%) 1
24 Alejandro Organista M 6.1 77' – – – 27 (22%) –
29 Eduardo Mustre F 6.1 34' – – 1 7 (6%) –
10 Mathías Tomás M 6.0 3' – – – 8 (6%) –
16 Alonso Ramirez M 5.8 13' – – – 6 (4%) –
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  • Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
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Confidence High (77%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación
Cruz Azul gana o empata
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Cruz Azul
LLWWW
Puebla
DLWLW
Last 2 meetings Cruz Azul · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

Cruz Azul faces Puebla in a Liga MX clash on July 22, 2026. Historically, Cruz Azul has a stronger head-to-head record, boasting a higher win percentage in their encounters. Their recent form shows an uptick in attacking efficiency, averaging 2 goals per match in the last five games. Puebla, however, has demonstrated resilience, with a solid defensive structure that has yielded only 1.2 goals conceded per match in the same period. This match could hinge on Cruz Azul's ability to break through Puebla's defense while maintaining robust defensive discipline against counterattacks.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
77%
45%
Draw
19%
45%
Away
4%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Cruz Azul
J. Márquez 3 gls
N. Ibáñez 3 gls
Puebla
E. Mustre 3 gls

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Head to Head: Cruz Azul vs Puebla

2 Cruz Azul Wins
0 Draws
0 Puebla Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Jan 2026 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Puebla
01 Nov 2025 Puebla 0 - 3 Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Monterrey L 1 - 0
17 Sep A Inter Miami L 2 - 0
13 Sep H Club America W 4 - 3
06 Sep H Santos Laguna W 1 - 0
29 Aug A Necaxa W 1 - 3

Puebla — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Atlante FC D 1 - 1
16 Sep H Toluca L 0 - 1
12 Sep A Necaxa W 0 - 1
30 Aug A Club America L 2 - 0
23 Aug H Santos Laguna W 3 - 2

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toluca
9 6 1 2 +11 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 +9 18
3
Club America
8 5 2 1 +9 17
4
Cruz Azul
9 5 0 4 +1 15
5
Club Queretaro
8 4 2 2 +3 14
6
Club Tijuana
8 4 2 2 +2 14
7
Leon
9 4 2 3 +2 14
8
Puebla
9 4 2 3 0 14
9
Atlas
9 4 2 3 -2 14
10
Monterrey
8 4 1 3 +4 13
11
CF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 +5 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Atletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 -5 9
14
Atlante FC
9 1 5 3 -5 8
15
Necaxa
9 2 2 5 -6 8
16
Tigres UANL
9 1 4 4 -4 7
17
Santos Laguna
9 2 1 6 -6 7
18
FC Juarez
9 1 0 8 -17 3

Puebla

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Alberto Espigares
28 Gutierrez
7 Monarrez
4 Vargas
5 Almada
2 Leyva
3 Herrera
21 Sanabria
24 Organista
11 Gómez
9 Hernández
26 Velasco

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 Daniel Gutierrez G
2 Angel Leyva D
5 Facundo Almada D
4 Juan Pablo Vargas D
7 Fernando Monarrez D
24 Alejandro Organista M
21 Sergio Sanabria M
3 Alberto Herrera M
26 Kevin Velasco F
9 Luifer Hernández F
11 Emiliano Gómez F

Substitutes

22 Carlos Baltazar M
29 Eduardo Mustre F
33 Jesús Rodríguez G
15 Óscar Villa D
13 Eduardo Navarro D
27 Brayan Garnica F
8 Omar Moreno F
10 Mathías Tomás M
17 Raúl Castillo M
16 Alonso Ramirez M

Cruz Azul

Formation: 4-2-2-2 Coach: Joel Huiqui
23 Mier
29 Rotondi
5 Orozco
33 Piovi
16 Márquez
19 Rodríguez
6 Lira
18 Romero
20 Paradela
21 Fernández
7 Ibáñez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Kevin Mier G
16 Jeremy Márquez D
33 Gonzalo Piovi D
5 Jesús Orozco D
29 Carlos Rotondi D
6 Erik Lira M
19 Carlos Rodríguez M
20 José Paradela M
18 Luka Romero M
7 Nicolás Ibáñez F
21 Gabriel Fernández F

Substitutes

4 Willer Ditta D
8 Agustín Palavecino M
17 Amaury Garcia M
3 Omar Campos D
11 Osinachi Ebere F
1 Andrés Gudiño G
12 Alan Montes D
22 Jorge Rodarte Barragan D
10 Andres Montaño M
14 Juan Calero F

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