Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 Predicción

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Ilves

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3 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Partido de ida 0-0 · Global 3-1

FC Differdange 03

Away

Llamada IA Ilves o empate

37%

33%

30%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Ilves vs FC Differdange 03: Sportiko le da a Ilves un 37% de probabilidad de ganar, a FC Differdange 03 un 30% y al empate un 33%. Última actualización: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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1st Half Draw or Away 72%

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Match Report

Ilves came from behind to defeat FC Differdange 03 3–1 in a dramatic UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round tie. The Luxembourg side took the lead before half-time, with a goal on 45 minutes giving them a slender advantage at the break. The Finnish hosts responded quickly after the interval, drawing level through Y. Raap on 57 minutes to set up a tense second half.

The match then exploded in a chaotic spell around the hour mark. Raap was shown a red card on 68 minutes, but Ilves immediately capitalised through a J. Kanga penalty to take the lead. The dismissals did not stop there, with two further red cards shown at 69 minutes alongside additional bookings, leaving both sides significantly disrupted. R. Riski added a third goal on 75 minutes to put the result beyond doubt.

Ilves held on comfortably despite the turbulent closing stages to secure a 3–1 victory and advance in the competition. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Ilves win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that ultimately proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

21' ▮

⚽ 0–1 45'

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

Y. Raap assist: J. Kanga

57' ⚽ 1–1

J. Veteli ⇄ J. Kilo

60' ⇄

T. Miettunen ⇄ R. Riski

60' ⇄

Y. Raap Red Card

68' ▮

J. Kanga Penalty

68' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 69'

Red Card

▮ 69'

Red Card

▮ 69'

Yellow Card

R. Riski assist: J. Kanga

75' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 75'

⇄ 78'

T. Hytönen ⇄ O. Multala

78' ⇄

V. Kumpu Yellow Card

81' ▮

J. Kanga ⇄ S. Väisänen

85' ⇄

▮ 88'

Yellow Card

FT 3–1

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Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Ilves vs FC Differdange 03

Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Ilves o empate

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Ilves

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FC Differdange 03

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Last 1 meetings Ilves · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Ilves will face FC Differdange 03. Ilves has shown resilience in their domestic league, boasting a solid defensive record with an average of only 1 goal conceded per match. Conversely, FC Differdange 03 has been more attack-oriented, averaging 2 goals scored per game in their recent fixtures. This match could hinge on Ilves' ability to neutralize Differdange’s attacking threats while capitalizing on set-pieces, where they have been particularly effective. The outcome will likely depend on which team can impose their game plan effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Differdange 03 goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	10	6	2
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Ilves goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

33%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

33%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	9.9%	5.8%	1.9%	0.5%
1	11.7%	15.2%	6.7%	2.2%	0.6%
2	7.7%	7.7%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
3	3.0%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.9%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ilves	Draw	FC Differdange 03
Ilves	22.0%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	14.9%	22.4%	12.4%
FC Differdange 03	1.6%	4.2%	17.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ilves vs FC Differdange 03

0 Ilves Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Differdange 03 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Jul 2026	FC Differdange 03	0 - 0	Ilves

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

FC Differdange 03 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Swift Hesperange	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Etzella Ettelbruck	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	H UN Kaerjeng 97	W	4 - 1
30 Aug	A US Hostert	W	0 - 2
23 Aug	H Racing FC Union Luxembourg	W	3 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Differdange 03

Formation: 3-5-1-1 Coach: Pedro Resende

1 Felipe

14 Bedouret

77 Leandro

4 D'Anzico

24 Rivas

21 Rauch

16 Grilo

8 Reis

25 Franzoni

31 Thill

95 Vintecinco

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Felipe	G
4	Kevin D'Anzico	D
77	Leandro	M
14	Juan Bedouret	D
25	Geoffrey Franzoni	D
8	Bruno Reis	M
16	Marco Grilo	D
21	Ludovic Rauch	M
24	Elison Rivas	D
31	Sebastien Thill	M
95	Gustavo Vintecinco	F

Substitutes

99	Hugo Wolf	G
30	Raphaël Da Silva Correia	G
26	Fonseca Mendes	D
88	Simão	D
42	Mhleli Mabuza	D
20	Rafa Pinto	M
17	Marceu Delgado	M
7	Boris Mfoumou	F
13	Ivo Nabais	F

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joni Lehtonen

12 Krkalić

3 Rale

16 Miettunen

24 Kumpu

13 Wallius

14 Popovitch

6 Raap

19 Goudouss

7 Veteli

30 Kanga

9 Hytönen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Faris Krkalić	G
24	Ville Kumpu	D
16	Tatu Miettunen	D
3	Matias Rale	D
19	Bamba Abdoul Goudouss	D
6	Yiandro Raap	D
14	Anton Popovitch	M
13	Kalle Wallius	M
30	Jardell Kanga	M
7	Joona Veteli	M
9	Teemu Hytönen	F

Substitutes

4	Oliver Pettersson	D
28	Jesse Kilo	M
10	Roope Riski	F
1	Otso Virtanen	G
31	Rasmus Leislahti	G
5	Sauli Väisänen	D
25	Sebastian Suvanne	D
15	Lauri Ala-Myllymäki	M
20	Otto Tiitinen	M
17	Stanislav Baranov	M
22	Oskari Multala	M