Norway vs Senegal Predicción

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

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Senegal

Away

Llamada IA Norway o empate

40%

30%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Norway vs Senegal: Sportiko le da a Norway un 40% de probabilidad de ganar, a Senegal un 30% y al empate un 30%. Última actualización: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Local anota 75%
Menos de 3.5 goles 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

Norway edged a dramatic five-goal encounter against Senegal to claim three points in Group Stage matchday two. Marcus Pedersen broke the deadlock just before half-time, and Norway quickly doubled their advantage through Erling Haaland three minutes into the second half. Senegal hit back almost immediately via Ismaïla Sarr, but Haaland restored the two-goal cushion within five minutes to seemingly put the game to bed.

Senegal refused to fold and pressed relentlessly in the closing stages, with Sarr completing a brace deep into stoppage time to set up a nervy finish. Despite the late scare, Norway held on for a 3–2 victory that their overall play largely merited, though Senegal's expected goals figure of 2.10 — marginally higher than Norway's 1.70 — underlined how competitive the contest truly was.

The result keeps Norway firmly on course in the group, and the pre-match AI model's assessment of a Norway win as the most likely outcome, rated at 40%, proved correct. Haaland's brace will inevitably dominate the headlines, but Sarr's double ensured Senegal depart with plenty of encouragement heading into their next fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Julian Ryerson ⇄ Marcus Pedersen

13' ⇄

Marcus Pedersen

43' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Fredrik Aursnes ⇄ Patrick Berg

46' ⇄

Erling Haaland assist: Martin Ødegaard

48' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 53'

Ismaïla Sarr assist: Sadio Mané

⇄ 54'

El Hadji Malick Diouf ⇄ Ismail Jakobs

⇄ 54'

Pape Gueye ⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye

Erling Haaland assist: Patrick Berg

58' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 63'

Edouard Mendy ⇄ Mory Diaw

⇄ 63'

Lamine Camara ⇄ Pathé Ismaël Ciss

Antonio Nusa ⇄ Andreas Schjelderup

71' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Kalidou Koulibaly ⇄ Pape Matar Sarr

Torbjørn Heggem ⇄ Leo Østigård

84' ⇄

Alexander Sørloth ⇄ Oscar Bobb

84' ⇄

⚽ 3–2 90+3'

Ismaïla Sarr assist: Nicolas Jackson

FT 3–2

Norway

Match Stats

Senegal

42% Ball Possession 58%

2.10 Expected Goals (xG) 1.70

13 Total Shots 16

7 Shots on Goal 4

3 Shots off Goal 6

3 Blocked Shots 6

11 Shots insidebox 10

2 Shots outsidebox 6

5 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 4

13 Fouls 5

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

352 Total passes 487

283 Passes accurate 429

80% Passes % 88%

-1.19 goals_prevented -1.19

Norway

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Erling Haaland F	8.7	90'	2	–	4	11 (6%)	–
16 Marcus Pedersen D	7.5	77'	1	–	1	26 (23%)	–
10 Martin Ødegaard M	7.2	90'	–	1	2	45 (38%)	1
6 Patrick Berg M	7.2	45'	–	1	–	13 (13%)	–
17 Torbjørn Heggem D	7.0	84'	–	–	–	41 (38%)	2
26 Julian Ryerson D	6.9	13'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	1
21 Andreas Schjelderup F	6.9	19'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
3 Kristoffer Ajer D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	33 (29%)	3
5 David Møller Wolfe D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	1
8 Sander Berge M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	1
14 Fredrik Aursnes M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	16 (16%)	1
7 Alexander Sørloth F	6.7	84'	–	–	–	32 (23%)	1
1 Ørjan Nyland G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	40 (20%)	–
20 Antonio Nusa F	6.6	71'	–	–	1	10 (6%)	–
4 Leo Østigård D	6.3	17'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
22 Oscar Bobb M	6.3	17'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–

Senegal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Ismaïla Sarr M	8.2	90'	2	–	4	15 (12%)	1
19 Moussa Niakhaté D	7.9	90'	–	–	–	68 (60%)	2
5 Idrissa Gana Gueye M	7.3	90'	–	–	1	70 (63%)	1
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M	7.3	27'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	1
20 Ibrahim Mbaye F	7.2	36'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
10 Sadio Mané M	7.0	90'	–	1	–	34 (29%)	3
11 Nicolas Jackson F	6.9	90'	–	1	2	19 (16%)	–
23 Mory Diaw G	6.9	27'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
14 Ismail Jakobs D	6.7	36'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	2
26 Pape Gueye M	6.5	54'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	1
15 Krépin Diatta D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	61 (56%)	1
17 Pape Matar Sarr M	6.3	18'	–	–	1	21 (18%)	–
8 Lamine Camara M	6.2	63'	–	–	2	34 (29%)	1
16 Edouard Mendy G	6.0	63'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–
25 El Hadji Malick Diouf D	6.0	54'	–	–	–	20 (20%)	1
3 Kalidou Koulibaly D	5.2	72'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Norway o empate

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Norway

WLWWL

Senegal

LWLLD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match, Norway faces Senegal, set for June 23, 2026. Norway has shown a strong attacking presence, led by striker Erling Haaland, who has consistently been a top scorer in international fixtures. Conversely, Senegal boasts a robust defense and quick transitions, with players like Sadio Mané capable of capitalizing on counter-attacks.

Historically, Norway has struggled against African teams, while Senegal's physical style could pose challenges for the Nordic side. Expect a tactical battle where Norway will aim to dominate possession, while Senegal looks to exploit any defensive lapses. The outcome may hinge on whether Norway can break through Senegal's disciplined backline.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Senegal goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Norway goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Norway

E. Haaland 7 gls

Senegal

I. Sarr 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

30%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

30%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	7.5%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
1	9.1%	14.3%	7.5%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.4%	8.7%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.4%	4.0%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Norway	Draw	Senegal
Norway	23.9%	4.5%	1.7%
Draw	14.9%	18.8%	11.9%
Senegal	2.1%	4.5%	17.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Norway vs Senegal

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Norway — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	H Denmark	W	3 - 2
11 Jul	H England	L	1 - 2
05 Jul	A Brazil	W	1 - 2
30 Jun	A Ivory Coast	W	1 - 2
26 Jun	H France	L	1 - 4

Senegal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Jul	A Belgium	L	3 - 2
26 Jun	H Iraq	W	5 - 0
23 Jun	A Norway	L	3 - 2
16 Jun	A France	L	3 - 1
09 Jun	A Saudi Arabia	D	0 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Senegal

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Bouna Thiaw Pape

16 Mendy

25 Diouf

19 Niakhaté

3 Koulibaly

15 Diatta

26 Gueye

5 Gueye

10 Mané

8 Camara

18 Sarr

11 Jackson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Edouard Mendy	G
15	Krépin Diatta	D
3	Kalidou Koulibaly	D
19	Moussa Niakhaté	D
25	El Hadji Malick Diouf	D
5	Idrissa Gana Gueye	M
26	Pape Gueye	M
18	Ismaïla Sarr	M
8	Lamine Camara	M
10	Sadio Mané	M
11	Nicolas Jackson	F

Substitutes

14	Ismail Jakobs	D
20	Ibrahim Mbaye	F
23	Mory Diaw	G
6	Pathé Ismaël Ciss	M
1	Yehvann Diouf	G
2	Mamadou Sarr	D
4	Abdoulaye Seck	D
24	Antoine Mendy	D
22	Bara Sapoko Ndiaye	M
13	Iliman Ndiaye	F
17	Pape Matar Sarr	M
21	Habib Diarra	M
7	Assane Diao	F
9	Ahmadou Bamba Dieng	F
12	Cherif Ndiaye	F

Norway

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: S. Solbakken

1 Nyland

5 Wolfe

17 Heggem

3 Ajer

26 Ryerson

14 Aursnes

8 Berge

10 Ødegaard

20 Nusa

9 Haaland

7 Sørloth

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ørjan Nyland	G
26	Julian Ryerson	D
3	Kristoffer Ajer	D
17	Torbjørn Heggem	D
5	David Møller Wolfe	D
10	Martin Ødegaard	M
8	Sander Berge	M
14	Fredrik Aursnes	M
7	Alexander Sørloth	F
9	Erling Haaland	F
20	Antonio Nusa	F

Substitutes

16	Marcus Pedersen	D
6	Patrick Berg	M
12	Sander Tangvik	G
13	Egil Selvik	G
4	Leo Østigård	D
15	Fredrik André Bjørkan	D
24	Sondre Langås	D
25	Henrik Sælebakke Falchener	D
19	Thelo Aasgaard	M
22	Oscar Bobb	M
21	Andreas Schjelderup	F
18	Kristian Thorstvedt	M
2	Morten Thorsby	M
11	Jørgen Strand Larsen	F
23	Jens Petter Hauge	M