Uzbekistan vs Colombia Predicción

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

Post on X

Colombia

Away

Estadio Azteca, D.F.

Llamada IA Colombia gana o empata

22%

70%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Uzbekistan vs Colombia: Sportiko le da a Uzbekistan un 8% de probabilidad de ganar, a Colombia un 70% y al empate un 22%. Última actualización: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Más de 1.5 goles 70%

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Match Report

Colombia opened their World Cup campaign with a 3–1 victory over Uzbekistan, with Daniel Muñoz's goal just before half-time proving the decisive early blow. Despite Uzbekistan enjoying 62% possession and generating 14 total shots to Colombia's six, it was the South Americans who carried the greater cutting edge, taking a slender lead into the break.

The second half provided a dramatic twist when Abbosbek Fayzullaev levelled for Uzbekistan on the hour mark, briefly threatening an upset. Colombia responded swiftly, however, with Luis Díaz restoring the advantage just five minutes later. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Colombia win at 70%, and the Colombians ultimately justified that confidence by adding a third goal to seal a comfortable final margin. Fayzullaev, who had scored the equaliser, was substituted off at 77 minutes alongside several other changes from both sides as the game entered its closing stages.

The result leaves Colombia in a strong early position in their group, while Uzbekistan will reflect on a spirited but ultimately insufficient performance against higher-ranked opposition.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 7'

Johan Mojica Yellow Card

Abdukodir Khusanov Yellow Card

34' ▮

⚽ 0–1 40'

Daniel Muñoz assist: Luis Díaz

HT 0–1

Oston Urunov ⇄ Dostonbek Khamdamov

46' ⇄

Sherzod Nasrullaev

46' ⇄

Abbosbek Fayzullaev

60' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 65'

Luis Díaz assist: Gustavo Puerta

⇄ 72'

James Rodríguez ⇄ Jaminton Campaz

Abbosbek Fayzullaev ⇄ Azizbek Amanov

77' ⇄

Rustam Ashurmatov ⇄ Jakhongir Urozov

77' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Luis Javier Suárez ⇄ Cucho Hernández

⇄ 80'

Gustavo Puerta ⇄ Richard Ríos

⇄ 90+3'

Luis Díaz ⇄ Andrés Gómez

⇄ 90+3'

Jhon Arias ⇄ Kevin Castaño

Eldor Shomurodov ⇄ Igor Sergeev

90+3' ⇄

FT 1–3

Uzbekistan

Match Stats

Colombia

38% Ball Possession 62%

1.14 Expected Goals (xG) 1.43

6 Total Shots 14

2 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 7

1 Blocked Shots 4

4 Shots insidebox 9

2 Shots outsidebox 5

3 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 3

14 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

307 Total passes 516

236 Passes accurate 444

77% Passes % 86%

0.16 goals_prevented 0.16

Uzbekistan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Abdulla Abdullaev D	7.2	97'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	2
22 Abbosbek Fayzullaev F	7.2	77'	1	–	1	9 (5%)	1
7 Otabek Shukurov M	7.0	97'	–	–	–	49 (43%)	1
6 Akmal Mozgovoy M	6.7	97'	–	–	1	33 (26%)	–
4 Farrukh Sayfiev D	6.7	52'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
24 Bekhruz Karimov M	6.5	97'	–	–	1	21 (15%)	2
5 Rustam Ashurmatov D	6.3	77'	–	–	–	37 (24%)	–
11 Oston Urunov F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
26 Jakhongir Urozov D	6.3	20'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
17 Dostonbek Khamdamov M	6.3	52'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	2
20 Azizbek Amanov F	6.3	20'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
2 Abdukodir Khusanov D	6.2	97'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	2
13 Sherzod Nasrullaev M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
14 Eldor Shomurodov F	6.2	93'	–	–	1	18 (13%)	–
1 Utkir Yusupov G	5.6	97'	–	–	–	23 (12%)	–
21 Igor Sergeev F	—	4'	–	–	–	–	–

Colombia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Luis Díaz F	8.3	93'	1	1	2	24 (19%)	–
2 Daniel Muñoz D	7.5	97'	1	–	1	39 (33%)	2
16 Jefferson Lerma M	6.9	97'	–	–	2	60 (51%)	–
25 Luis Javier Suárez F	6.7	80'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
23 Davinson Sánchez D	6.6	97'	–	–	1	76 (67%)	2
11 Jhon Arias M	6.6	93'	–	–	1	43 (42%)	1
10 James Rodríguez F	6.6	72'	–	–	1	55 (48%)	–
21 Jaminton Campaz M	6.6	25'	–	–	1	3 (1%)	1
3 Jhon Lucumí D	6.5	97'	–	–	–	73 (67%)	–
17 Johan Mojica D	6.5	97'	–	–	1	32 (29%)	1
12 Camilo Vargas G	6.3	97'	–	–	–	36 (25%)	–
14 Gustavo Puerta M	6.3	80'	–	1	–	52 (45%)	–
6 Richard Ríos M	6.3	17'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
19 Cucho Hernández F	6.2	17'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
5 Kevin Castaño M	—	4'	–	–	–	–	–
26 Andrés Gómez F	—	4'	–	–	–	–	1

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Confidence High (70%)

At a glance

Nuestra inclinación

Colombia gana o empata

Most likely score

0:2 · 16.8%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Uzbekistan

WLLLL

Colombia

DWDWW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 18, 2026, Uzbekistan will face Colombia in a crucial group stage encounter. Uzbekistan has shown improvement in recent years, particularly in defensive organization, allowing only 1.2 goals per match in their last five fixtures. Conversely, Colombia boasts a more potent attacking threat, averaging 1.8 goals per game, led by their experienced forwards. Historically, Colombia has a strong track record in World Cup competitions, which could give them a psychological edge. The match will likely hinge on Uzbekistan's ability to contain Colombia's attack while capitalizing on counter-attacking opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Colombia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	16	17	11	5	2
1	3	10	8	5	3	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Uzbekistan goals · most likely 0–2 (16.8%)

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Players in form

Uzbekistan

O. O'runov 4 gls

Colombia

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

70%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

70%

Draw

22%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

90% Away (No Draw) 10% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 8% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	16.4%	16.8%	10.7%	5.2%
1	3.4%	9.7%	8.2%	5.3%	2.5%
2	1.1%	2.1%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Uzbekistan	Draw	Colombia
Uzbekistan	4.0%	2.5%	1.8%
Draw	3.6%	15.5%	23.3%
Colombia	0.4%	2.4%	46.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

61%

30%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Uzbekistan vs Colombia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Uzbekistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	H Iran	W	3 - 1
27 Jun	A Congo DR	L	3 - 1
23 Jun	A Portugal	L	5 - 0
18 Jun	H Colombia	L	1 - 3
08 Jun	A Netherlands	L	2 - 1

Colombia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Jul	A Switzerland	D	0 - 0
04 Jul	H Ghana	W	1 - 0
27 Jun	H Portugal	D	0 - 0
24 Jun	H Congo DR	W	1 - 0
18 Jun	A Uzbekistan	W	1 - 3

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Colombia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Nestor Lorenzo

12 Vargas

17 Mojica

3 Lucumí

23 Sánchez

2 Muñoz

11 Arias

16 Lerma

14 Puerta

7 Díaz

25 Suárez

10 Rodríguez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Camilo Vargas	G
2	Daniel Muñoz	D
23	Davinson Sánchez	D
3	Jhon Lucumí	D
17	Johan Mojica	D
14	Gustavo Puerta	M
16	Jefferson Lerma	M
11	Jhon Arias	M
10	James Rodríguez	F
25	Luis Javier Suárez	F
7	Luis Díaz	F

Substitutes

24	Álvaro Montero	G
1	David Ospina	G
22	Deiver Machado	D
4	Santiago Arias	D
18	Willer Ditta	D
13	Yerry Mina	D
5	Kevin Castaño	M
6	Richard Ríos	M
8	Jorge Carrascal	M
15	Juan Portilla	M
20	Juan Fernando Quintero	M
21	Jaminton Campaz	M
26	Andrés Gómez	F
9	Jhon Córdoba	F
19	Cucho Hernández	F

Uzbekistan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Fabio Cannavaro

1 Yusupov

5 Ashurmatov

18 Abdullaev

2 Khusanov

13 Nasrullaev

7 Shukurov

6 Mozgovoy

24 Karimov

11 Urunov

22 Fayzullaev

14 Shomurodov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Utkir Yusupov	G
2	Abdukodir Khusanov	D
18	Abdulla Abdullaev	D
5	Rustam Ashurmatov	D
24	Bekhruz Karimov	M
6	Akmal Mozgovoy	M
7	Otabek Shukurov	M
13	Sherzod Nasrullaev	M
22	Abbosbek Fayzullaev	F
11	Oston Urunov	F
14	Eldor Shomurodov	F

Substitutes

4	Farrukh Sayfiev	D
17	Dostonbek Khamdamov	M
12	Abduvokhid Nematov	G
16	Botirali Ergashev	G
3	Khozhiakbar Alizhonov	D
15	Umarbek Eshmuradov	D
25	Avazbek Ulmasaliyev	D
26	Jakhongir Urozov	D
8	Jamshid Iskandarov	M
9	Odiljon Khamrobekov	M
10	Ruslanbek Jiyanov	M
19	Azizjon Ganiev	M
23	Sherzod Esanov	M
20	Azizbek Amanov	F
21	Igor Sergeev	F