Gremio vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 22
08 Aug 2026, 19:00
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At a glance

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Gremio
WDLDL
Sao Paulo
DLLDD
Last 3 meetings Gremio · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Gremio faces Sao Paulo on August 9, 2026. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Gremio currently averaging 1.8 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.1 goals per game. Sao Paulo, meanwhile, boasts a slightly lower scoring rate at 1.5 goals per match but has a strong midfield presence that can disrupt Gremio's rhythm. Key players to watch include Gremio's striker, who has been prolific this season, and Sao Paulo's creative midfielder, known for his playmaking abilities. This matchup promises to be closely contested, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
38%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
31%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Gremio
Carlos Vinícius 10 gls
Sao Paulo
J. Calleri 7 gls
Luciano 6 gls

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Head to Head: Gremio vs Sao Paulo

1 Gremio Wins
0 Draws
2 Sao Paulo Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Feb 2026 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Gremio
16 Oct 2025 Gremio 2 - 0 Sao Paulo
17 May 2025 Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Gremio
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Gremio — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Aug H Mirassol W 1 - 0
02 Aug A Mirassol D 1 - 1
30 Jul H Bolívar L 0 - 1
26 Jul H Fluminense D 1 - 1
23 Jul A Bolívar L 3 - 2

Sao Paulo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
26 Jul A Flamengo D 1 - 1
23 Jul H Atletico Paranaense L 1 - 2
31 May A Remo L 1 - 0
23 May H Botafogo D 1 - 1
20 May H Millonarios D 1 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras
21 14 5 2 +22 47
2
Flamengo
20 11 6 3 +19 39
3
Atletico Paranaense
21 11 4 6 +9 37
4
Fluminense
21 9 7 5 +5 34
5
Bahia
21 8 8 5 +4 32
6
RB Bragantino
20 9 4 7 +6 31
7
Cruzeiro
21 8 6 7 -3 30
8
Botafogo
20 8 5 7 +2 29
9
Corinthians
21 7 8 6 +2 29
10
Atletico-MG
20 8 4 8 0 28
11
Coritiba
21 7 6 8 -3 27
12
Sao Paulo
20 7 5 8 +2 26
13
Vitoria
21 7 5 9 -9 26
14
Mirassol
20 6 5 9 -4 23
15
Santos
20 5 7 8 -4 22
16
Internacional
21 5 7 9 -4 22
17
Gremio
20 5 7 8 -4 22
18
Vasco DA Gama
20 5 6 9 -8 21
19
Remo
21 5 6 10 -10 21
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
20 1 7 12 -22 10

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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