HNK Rijeka vs Omonia Nicosia Πρόβλεψη

UEFA Europa Conference League · Round of 32

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Omonia Nicosia

Away

Πρόβλεψη AI Δύσκολη νίκη ή ισοπαλία για HNK Rijeka

58%

26%

17%

Νίκη Γηπεδούχου Ισοπαλία Νίκη Φιλοξενούμενης

Πρόβλεψη HNK Rijeka vs Omonia Nicosia: Το Sportiko δίνει στην HNK Rijeka πιθανότητα νίκης 58%, στην Omonia Nicosia 17% και στην ισοπαλία 26%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

HNK Rijeka overturned a first-half deficit to beat Omonia Nicosia 3–1 and advance in the UEFA Europa Conference League Round of 32. Omonia struck early, taking the lead in the 13th minute, and despite a flurry of yellow cards on both sides before the break, the visitors held their advantage into half-time.

Rijeka came out transformed after the interval, with Toni Fruk proving the decisive figure. The forward equalised in the 52nd minute and added a second just 15 minutes later to put the hosts in front, turning the tie on its head. A fourth goal arrived in the 79th minute to seal a convincing home victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rijeka win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved well-founded.

The statistics told an interesting story — Omonia actually edged both total shots (15–13) and expected goals (1.46–1.11) — but Rijeka's clinical finishing and second-half momentum proved the difference, sending them through on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 13'

assist: Ryan Mmaee

17' ⇄

▮ 25'

Yellow Card

▮ 40'

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 0–1

Toni Fruk

52' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 56'

Yellow Card

⇄ 61'

Toni Fruk

67' ⚽ 2–1

70' ⇄

⇄ 70'

79' ⚽ 3–1

80' ⇄

Toni Fruk

80' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Willy Semedo

⇄ 84'

▮ 90+2'

Yellow Card

FT 3–1

HNK Rijeka

Match Stats

Omonia Nicosia

58% Ball Possession 42%

1.11 Expected Goals (xG) 1.46

13 Total Shots 15

5 Shots on Goal 6

8 Shots off Goal 6

0 Blocked Shots 3

7 Shots insidebox 12

6 Shots outsidebox 3

1 Corner Kicks 7

0 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

435 Total passes 300

346 Passes accurate 223

80% Passes % 74%

-1.05 goals_prevented -1.05

HNK Rijeka

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Toni Fruk F	9.3	81'	2	–	2	30 (24%)	–
18 Daniel Adu-Adjei F	7.9	81'	1	–	3	12 (8%)	1
26 Tiago Dantas M	7.6	90'	–	1	2	66 (57%)	3
6 Stjepan Radeljić D	6.9	90'	–	1	1	55 (41%)	3
45 Ante Majstorović D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	50 (44%)	2
13 Martin Zlomislić G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	34 (26%)	–
22 Ante Oreč M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	28 (19%)	3
23 Justas Lasickas M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	34 (27%)	2
34 Mladen Devetak D	6.7	20'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
14 Amer Gojak M	6.7	9'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
19 Samuele Vignato F	6.6	81'	–	–	3	30 (22%)	1
8 Dejan Petrovič M	6.6	73'	–	–	–	42 (34%)	1
11 Gabriel Rukavina F	6.5	9'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
55 Alfonso Barco M	6.3	70'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	1
77 Ante Matej Jurić F	6.2	9'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
28 Téo Barišić D	5.9	17'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–

Omonia Nicosia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Muamer Tanković M	7.3	84'	1	–	3	29 (22%)	–
19 Ryan Mmaee F	6.9	90'	–	1	1	19 (17%)	1
74 Panagiotis Andreou M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	38 (27%)	3
14 Mateo Marić M	6.9	11'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	2
7 Willy Semedo M	6.7	84'	–	–	3	10 (9%)	–
11 Ewandro Costa M	6.7	61'	–	–	2	26 (18%)	4
85 Angelos Neophytou F	6.7	20'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
21 Giannis Masouras D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	31 (22%)	3
5 Senou Coulibaly D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	24 (18%)	1
6 Carel Eiting M	6.3	70'	–	–	–	21 (15%)	–
2 Alpha Dionkou D	6.3	20'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
10 Anastasios Chatzigiovanis M	6.3	11'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
23 Francis Uzoho G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–
82 Andreas Christou M	6.2	29'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	1
29 Jure Balkovec D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (23%)	–
28 Moses Odubajo D	5.9	70'	–	–	–	17 (9%)	2

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

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Δύσκολη νίκη ή ισοπαλία για HNK Rijeka

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HNK Rijeka

WWDWD

Omonia Nicosia

WWDWL

Last 1 meetings HNK Rijeka · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Omonia Nicosia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	3	1
1	17	11	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	4	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ HNK Rijeka goals · most likely 1–0 (16.9%)

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Head to Head: HNK Rijeka vs Omonia Nicosia

1 HNK Rijeka Wins

0 Draws

0 Omonia Nicosia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Feb 2026	Omonia Nicosia	0 - 1	HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H HNK Hajduk Split	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Vrbovec	W	0 - 6
12 Sep	A NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H NK Osijek	W	4 - 1
31 Aug	A HNK Gorica	D	0 - 0

Omonia Nicosia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Krasava Ypsonas	W	4 - 1
16 Sep	H Celta Vigo	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Apollon Limassol	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Aris	W	1 - 4
03 Sep	H Pafos	L	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

HNK Rijeka

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Victor Sanchez

13 Zlomislic

28 Barisic

45 Majstorovic

6 Radeljic

23 Lasickas

26 Dantas

55 Barco

22 Orec

19 Vignato

10 Fruk

18 Adjei

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	M. Zlomislic	G
6	S. Radeljic	D
45	A. Majstorovic	D
28	T. Barisic	D
22	A. Orec	M
55	A. Barco	M
26	T. Dantas	M
23	J. Lasickas	M
19	S. Vignato	F
18	D. Adu Adjei	F
10	T. Fruk	F

Substitutes

1	V. Kovac	G
99	A. Todorovic	G
2	L. Kitin	D
8	D. Petrovic	M
9	D. Cop	F
11	G. Rukavina	F
14	A. Gojak	M
25	D. Thaqi	F
34	M. Devetak	D
51	A. Husic	D
77	A. Juric	F
91	N. Bodetic	D

Omonia Nicosia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Henning Berg

23 Uzoho

28 Odubajo

29 Balkovec

5 Coulibaly

21 Masouras

6 Eiting

74 Andreou

7 Semedo

22 Tankovic

11 Ewandro

19 Mmaee

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	F. Uzoho	G
21	G. Masouras	D
5	S. Coulibaly	D
29	J. Balkovec	D
28	M. Odubajo	D
74	P. Andreou	M
6	C. Eiting	M
11	Ewandro	M
22	M. Tankovic	M
7	W. Semedo	M
19	R. Mmaee	F

Substitutes

98	C. Kyriakidis	-
2	A. Dionkou	D
10	A. Chatzigiovanis	M
14	M. Maric	M
27	S. Simic	D
30	N. Panagiotou	D
31	I. Kousoulos	M
44	N. Erakovic	M
82	A. Christou	-
85	A. Neofytou	F
90	C. Konstantinidis	D