AC Milan vs Atalanta Πρόβλεψη
Πρόβλεψη AC Milan vs Atalanta: Το Sportiko δίνει στην AC Milan πιθανότητα νίκης 65%, στην Atalanta 14% και στην ισοπαλία 22%. Τελευταία ενημέρωση 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
AC Milan suffered a damaging home defeat to Atalanta at San Siro, going down 2-0 at the break despite dominating possession. Éderson opened the scoring in the seventh minute before Davide Zappacosta doubled the advantage on 29 minutes, with Rafael Leão also picking up a yellow card before half-time. The scoreline flattered the visitors, who managed just nine total shots to Milan's 20, with the hosts posting an expected goals figure of 2.21 against Atalanta's 1.38.
The second half brought further misery when Giacomo Raspadori extended Atalanta's lead to three shortly after the restart, effectively killing the contest. Milan's late rally produced two goals — Strahinja Pavlović pulling one back on 88 minutes before Christopher Nkunku converted a stoppage-time penalty — but it proved too little, too late.
Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 65%, a call that did not hold up. The result leaves Milan's Serie A campaign under significant pressure, while Atalanta claimed a composed and clinical victory on the road.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AC Milan
Match Stats
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Christopher Nkunku F | 8.5 | 45' | 1 | – | 4 | 20 (19%) | – |
| 4 Samuele Ricci M | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 51 (48%) | 2 |
| 31 Strahinja Pavlović D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 74 (70%) | 2 |
| 2 Pervis Estupiñán D | 7.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 7 Santiago Giménez F | 6.9 | 58' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 56 Alexis Saelemaekers M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (31%) | 2 |
| 12 Adrien Rabiot M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 42 (39%) | 1 |
| 24 Zachary Athekame D | 6.9 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 19 Youssouf Fofana M | 6.7 | 32' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | – |
| 46 Matteo Gabbia D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (62%) | 3 |
| 10 Rafael Leão F | 6.6 | 58' | – | – | 3 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 9 Niclas Füllkrug F | 6.6 | 32' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | – |
| 16 Mike Maignan G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 33 Davide Bartesaghi M | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | – |
| 5 Koni De Winter D | 6.0 | 58' | – | – | – | 65 (56%) | 1 |
Atalanta
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Marco Carnesecchi G | 8.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (19%) | – |
| 13 Éderson M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 (37%) | 2 |
| 18 Giacomo Raspadori F | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 77 Davide Zappacosta M | 7.2 | 55' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 4 Isak Hien D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (35%) | 4 |
| 42 Giorgio Scalvini D | 6.9 | 48' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 17 Charles De Ketelaere F | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 59 Nicola Zalewski M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (26%) | 1 |
| 3 Odilon Kossounou D | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 8 Mario Pašalić M | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (36%) | 3 |
| 16 Raoul Bellanova D | 6.2 | 35' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
| 69 Honest Ahanor D | 6.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 23 Sead Kolašinac D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (38%) | 1 |
| 90 Nikola Krstović F | 6.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 20 (17%) | 1 |
Ξεκλείδωσε την πλήρη ανάλυση AI για τον αγώνα AC Milan vs Atalanta
- Όλες οι 70+ αγορές πιθανοτήτων
- Αναλυτική αναφορά αγώνα AI Deep-Dive
- Value Edge — μοντέλο vs αγορά
- Τύποι επιλογών που διαλέγεις
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMost likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Diego Moreira
3 gls
A. Rabiot
2 gls
No scorer data.
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Milan vs Atalanta
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | Atalanta | 1 - 1 | AC Milan |
| 20 Apr 2025 | AC Milan | 0 - 1 | Atalanta |
| 06 Dec 2024 | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | AC Milan |
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lecce | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lazio | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Juventus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Venezia | W | 2 - 0 |
Atalanta — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Cagliari | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A AS Roma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | H Bologna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | A Hapoel Tel Aviv | W | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AC Milan
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | M. Maignan | G |
| 5 | K. De Winter | D |
| 46 | M. Gabbia | D |
| 31 | S. Pavlovic | D |
| 56 | A. Saelemaekers | M |
| 8 | R. Loftus-Cheek | M |
| 4 | S. Ricci | M |
| 12 | A. Rabiot | M |
| 33 | D. Bartesaghi | M |
| 7 | S. Gimenez | F |
| 10 | R. Leao | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | P. Terracciano | G |
| 37 | M. Pittarella | G |
| 18 | C. Nkunku | F |
| 2 | P. Estupinan | D |
| 24 | Z. Athekame | D |
| 9 | N. Fullkrug | F |
| 19 | Y. Fofana | M |
| 30 | A. Jashari | M |
| 27 | D. Odogu | D |
Atalanta
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | M. Carnesecchi | G |
| 42 | G. Scalvini | D |
| 4 | I. Hien | D |
| 23 | S. Kolasinac | D |
| 77 | D. Zappacosta | M |
| 15 | M. De Roon | M |
| 13 | Ederson | M |
| 59 | N. Zalewski | M |
| 17 | C. De Ketelaere | F |
| 18 | G. Raspadori | F |
| 90 | N. Krstovic | F |
Substitutes
| 57 | M. Sportiello | G |
| 31 | F. Rossi | G |
| 16 | R. Bellanova | D |
| 6 | Y. Musah | M |
| 7 | K. Sulemana | F |
| 45 | D. Vavassori | F |
| 40 | R. Obric | D |
| 69 | H. Ahanor | D |
| 8 | M. Pasalic | M |
| 9 | G. Scamacca | F |
| 5 | M. Bakker | D |
| 3 | O. Kossounou | D |
| 10 | L. Samardzic | M |